** WTSR20 WSSS 261800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTCA31 MHTG 270030Z *** MHTG SIGMET2 VALID 270030/270630Z MHTG- CENTRO AMERICA FIR ACT. AREA TS OBS SATELITE IMAGERY BTN 20.0 LTAN 78.0 LONGW,16.LAT N, 84 LON W, 88.5 LONG W, 16.0 LAT N, 20.0LATN, 90.0 LONG W. FRQ TS CB. FL 450 MOVN WNW INTSF. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 270000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY XANGSANE 0616 (0615) INITIAL TIME 270000 UTC 00HR 12.5N 125.5E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 260KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 14.1N 123.1E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 15.6N 120.0E 970HPA 35M/S P+72HR 16.3N 115.6E 960HPA 40M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 270000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0615 XANGSANE (0615) ANALYSIS PSTN 270000UTC 12.5N 125.5E FAIR MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 970HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 160NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 280000UTC 13.5N 123.2E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 06KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 48HF 290000UTC 14.9N 119.3E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 72HF 300000UTC 15.6N 115.3E 220NM 70% MOVE W 09KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 270000 *** WARNING 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0615 XANGSANE (0615) 970 HPA AT 12.5N 125.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 13.5N 123.2E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 14.9N 119.3E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 15.6N 115.3E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ30 RJTD 270000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 3 FOR STS 0615 XANGSANE (0615) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 270000 UTC IS FAIR. STS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. STS WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST STS WILL BE GRADED UP TO TY WITHIN 12 HOURS. STS WILL DEVELOP BECAUSE EYE HAS BECOME DISTINCT AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE NEAR CYCLONE CENTER HAS BECOME COLDER. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPN31 PGTW 270300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 18W (XANGSANE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z --- NEAR 12.5N 125.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N 125.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 13.2N 124.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 14.0N 122.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 14.7N 121.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 15.3N 119.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 16.0N 115.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 16.2N 111.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 16.2N 107.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT --- REMARKS: 270300Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 125.2E. TYPHOON (TY) 18W (XANGSANE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z.// ** WTPA24 PHFO 270241 *** TCMCP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032006 0300 UTC WED SEP 27 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 178.7W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 292 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 178.7W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 178.2W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 12.2N 179.9E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.8N 177.9E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.4N 175.9E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 13.8N 173.5E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 14.4N 168.7E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 15.5N 163.7E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 16.7N 158.7E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 178.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWNING ** WTPA34 PHFO 270242 *** TCPCP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032006 500 PM HST TUE SEP 26 2006 AT 500 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.7 WEST OR ABOUT 1530 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...OAHU AND ABOUT 710 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM HST POSITION...11.6 N...178.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM HST. $$ FORECASTER BROWNING ** WTPA44 PHFO 270242 *** TCDCP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032006 500 PM HST TUE SEP 26 2006 SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A RELATIVELY UNORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION. DEEP CONVECTION IS PERSISTENT ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM...BUT ONLY ISOLATED AND SPORADIC CONVECTION EXISTS ELSEWHERE. LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPOSED IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE AND CONTINUE TO SHOW MOTION FROM WEST TO EAST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE FIX POSITION. AN EARLIER ISOLATED BURST OF CONVECTION ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THE SYSTEM WAS SHORT LIVED...AND BLOWOFF ANVIL MOVEMENT EASTWARD INDICATES THAT THE DEPRESSION IS UNDERGOING SOME WESTERLY SHEAR. THIS CONVECTION ALSO PRODUCED A VERY WELL DEFINED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT RACED WESTWARD. NO SUCH OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES HAVE BEEN SEEN WITH THE CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH...AND THIS MAY BE DUE TO A SHARP PRECIPITABLE WATER GRADIENT SEEN IN SSMI IMAGERY NEAR 15N. IT APPEARS THAT THE DEPRESSION MAY NOT DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL STORM DUE TO SOME WESTERLY SHEAR AND THE PROXIMITY OF RELATIVELY DRY MID LEVEL AIR. HAVE KEPT THE INTENSITY AT 30 KNOTS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...AND MODEL GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS STRATEGY. SHIPS DOES BRING THE DEPRESSION TO MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY WITHIN 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...THIS IS HEAVILY INFLUENCED BY SST ALONG THE TRAJECTORY...WHILE SHEAR BECOMES INCREASINGLY UNFAVORABLE. THE TRACK IS LITTLE CHANGED OVER THE PREVIOUS ONE AND GENERALLY FOLLOWS A RELATIVELY TIGHT CLUSTER OF GUIDANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT THE TRACK IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE NEAR A BLEND OF BAMS AND BAMM AS THE SYSTEM TRAVELS SOUTH OF A LARGE MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE NEAR 30N. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0300Z 11.6N 178.7W 30 KT 12HR VT 27/1200Z 12.2N 179.9E 30 KT 24HR VT 28/0000Z 12.8N 177.9E 30 KT 36HR VT 28/1200Z 13.4N 175.9E 30 KT 48HR VT 29/0000Z 13.8N 173.5E 30 KT 72HR VT 30/0000Z 14.4N 168.7E 30 KT 96HR VT 01/0000Z 15.5N 163.7E 30 KT 120HR VT 02/0000Z 16.7N 158.7E 30 KT $$ FORECASTER BROWNING ** WTJP31 RJTD 270300 *** WARNING 270300. WARNING VALID 280300. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0615 XANGSANE (0615) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 960 HPA AT 12.7N 125.1E PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280300UTC AT 14.0N 122.5E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 270300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0615 XANGSANE (0615) UPGRADED FROM STS ANALYSIS PSTN 270300UTC 12.7N 125.1E GOOD MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 70NM 30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 140NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 280300UTC 14.0N 122.5E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 45HF 290000UTC 14.9N 119.3E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 69HF 300000UTC 15.6N 115.3E 220NM 70% MOVE W 09KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT = ** WTPH RPLL 270000 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 09 AT 0000 27 SEPTEMBER TYPHOON (XANGSANE) (0615) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WAS LOCATED BY RADAR SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE TWO POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT FIVE EAST MOVINGWEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADUIS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SEVEN SIX HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADUIS FROM CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADUIS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 280000 ONE FOUR POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO POINT NINE EAST AT 290000 ONE FIVE POINT NINE NORTH ONW TWO ZERO POINT ZERO EAST AND AT 300000 ONE SEVEN POINT TWO NORTH ONE ONE SIX POINT ZERO EAST . ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD. WEATHER MANILA ** WTCA31 MHTG 270500Z *** MHTG SIGMET2 VALID 270300/270630Z MHTG- CENTRO AMERICA FIR ACT. TO CANCEL. ** WTPQ20 VHHH 270445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 270300 UTC, TYPHOON XANGSANE (0615) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (12.7 N) ONE TWO FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (125.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280300 UTC ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (14.6 N) ONE TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (122.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290300 UTC ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (118.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (114.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. ** WTNT80 EGRR 270507 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 27.09.2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03C ANALYSED POSITION : 11.7N 177.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP032006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 27.09.2006 11.7N 177.5W WEAK 12UTC 27.09.2006 12.6N 178.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2006 13.0N 179.1E MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.09.2006 13.0N 177.4E MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.09.2006 13.8N 175.2E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.09.2006 14.0N 172.9E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.09.2006 14.2N 170.7E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.09.2006 15.6N 168.9E MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.10.2006 16.6N 167.5E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.10.2006 17.4N 166.2E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.10.2006 18.1N 165.0E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.10.2006 18.9N 164.0E MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.10.2006 19.0N 162.4E MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 270507