** WTPQ20 BABJ 221200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY YAGI 0614 (0614) INITIAL TIME 221200 UTC 00HR 26.1N 142.1E 910HPA 65M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 170KM P12HR NNW 25KM/H P+24HR 31.3N 142.3E 920HPA 60M/S P+48HR 36.5N 147.9E 940HPA 50M/S P+72HR 41.0N 157.9E 975HPA 33M/S= ** WTJP22 RJTD 221200 *** WARNING 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0614 YAGI (0614) 920 HPA AT 26.1N 142.1E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 28.6N 141.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 31.3N 143.5E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 36.1N 150.1E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 40.7N 164.6E WITH 290 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 221200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0614 YAGI (0614) ANALYSIS PSTN 221200UTC 26.1N 142.1E GOOD MOVE NNW 11KT PRES 920HPA MXWD 100KT 50KT 90NM 30KT 220NM NORTHEAST 180NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 231200UTC 31.3N 143.5E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 15KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 48HF 241200UTC 36.1N 150.1E 160NM 70% MOVE NE 18KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 72HF 251200UTC 40.7N 164.6E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTIN01 DEMS 221200 *** SHIPPING BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII(N) NORTH OF EQUATOR VALID FOR 12 HRS. FROM 1200 UTC 22 SEPT. 2006 PART-I :-MORNINGS CYCLONIC STORM (MUKDA) OVER EAST CENTRAL AND ADJOINING NORTH EAST ARABIAN SEA REMAINED PRACTICALLY STATIONARY AND LAY CENTERED ABOUT 400KM SOUTH-WEST OF PORBANDER AT 1430 HRS IST OF TODAY (.)IT IS LIKELY TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AND MOVE SLOWLY IN A NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION TOWARDS GUJARAT COAST(.) NOTE-NEXT SPECIAL BULLETIN WILL ORIGINATE AT 0100 UTC ON DATED 23 RD IN ADDITION TO ROUTINE TWO DAILY BULLETINS. ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT ** WTPN32 PGTW 221500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (YAGI) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z --- NEAR 26.1N 142.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N 142.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 28.5N 141.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 31.2N 142.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 34.0N 144.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 36.6N 148.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 41.3N 160.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z POSITION NEAR 26.7N 141.9E. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z.// ** WTSS20 VHHH 221345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 HECTOPASCALS. AT 221200 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (114.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231200 UTC ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (14.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (112.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241200 UTC ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (109.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251200 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (107.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 221345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 HECTOPASCALS. AT 221200 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (114.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231200 UTC ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (14.6 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (112.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241200 UTC ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (109.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251200 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (107.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. ** WTNT43 KNHC 221441 *** TCDAT3 HURRICANE HELENE DISCUSSION NUMBER 41 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 1100 AM EDT FRI SEP 22 2006 THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF HELENE HAS DEGRADED SLIGHTLY OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS...WITH INNER CORE CONVECTION STARTING TO SPUTTER AND FAVOR THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. ACCORDINGLY...DVORAK DATA T NUMBERS HAVE DECREASED...BUT THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT 75 KT FOR NOW IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE DVORAK CI NUMBERS. INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AND DECREASING SSTS APPEAR TO BE TAKING THEIR TOLL ON HELENE...AND THE CYCLONE SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT SLOWLY LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON DAYS 2 AND 3...STRONG BAROCLINIC ENERGY IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT FURTHER WEAKENING...WITH HELENE FORECAST BY ALL THE GLOBAL MODELS TO BE A LARGE AND POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE PRECISE TIMING OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS DIFFICULT TO DISCERN GIVEN SOME DIFFERENCES IN STRUCTURAL EVOLUTION AMONG THE MODELS...AS SHOWN BY THE FSU PHASE SPACE DIAGRAMS. TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST...GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT HELENE WILL LOSE SOME OF ITS BAROCLINIC SUPPORT WHICH WOULD INDUCE A WEAKENING TREND. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A LITTLE MORE WEAKENING DURING THE FIRST 24 HOURS GIVEN THE RECENT TRENDS IN THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN. BEYOND 24 HOURS...THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. HELENE IS STARTING TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD AS IT ROUNDS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE...AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 040/18. THE HURRICANE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THE GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED THROUGH 72 HOURS...AND MODELS ARE NOW IN BETTER AGREEMENT AT DAYS 4 AND 5. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE NOGAPS MODEL AND IS A LITTLE SLOWER AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/1500Z 34.4N 54.2W 75 KT 12HR VT 23/0000Z 36.2N 51.6W 70 KT 24HR VT 23/1200Z 37.9N 47.4W 65 KT 36HR VT 24/0000Z 40.0N 42.8W 65 KT 48HR VT 24/1200Z 42.4N 37.5W 65 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 25/1200Z 47.5N 29.0W 65 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 26/1200Z 52.5N 20.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 27/1200Z 56.5N 15.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB ** WTNT23 KNHC 221441 *** TCMAT3 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 1500 UTC FRI SEP 22 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 54.2W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 300SE 350SW 400NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 54.2W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 55.0W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 36.2N 51.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 75SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 225SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 37.9N 47.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 240SW 275NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 40.0N 42.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 50SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 100SW 120NW. 34 KT...225NE 225SE 240SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 42.4N 37.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 100SW 120NW. 34 KT...225NE 225SE 240SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 47.5N 29.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...100NE 125SE 125SW 100NW. 34 KT...225NE 300SE 360SW 275NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 52.5N 20.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 56.5N 15.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 54.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB ** WTNT33 KNHC 221445 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE HELENE ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 1100 AM AST FRI SEP 22 2006 ...HELENE ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC... AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.2 WEST OR ABOUT 630 MILES... 1010 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA. HELENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...34.4 N...54.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB ** WTCA43 TJSJ 221452 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN HURACAN HELENE ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 41 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL082006 1100 AM AST VIERNES 22 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2006 ...HELENE ESTA ACELERANDO HACIA EL NORESTE SOBRE LAS AGUAS ABIERTAS DEL ATLANTICO NORTE CENTRAL... A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN HELENE ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 34.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 54.2 OESTE O COMO A 630 MILLAS...1010 KILOMETROS...AL ESTE-NORESTE DE BERMUDA. HELENE SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORESTE A CERCA DE 21 MPH...33 KM/HR Y SE ESPERA UN AUMENTO GRADUAL DE VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 85 MPH...140 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO GRADUAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA UNAS 50 MILLAS...85 KILOMETROS...DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS...370 KILOMETROS DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA FUE DE 970 MILIBARAS...28.64 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 1100 AM AST...34.4 NORTE...54.2 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORESTE A CERCA DE 21 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...85 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...970 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 500 PM AST. $$ PRONOSTICADOR RHOME/KNABB ** WTPQ21 RJTD 221500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0614 YAGI (0614) ANALYSIS PSTN 221500UTC 26.9N 141.8E GOOD MOVE NNW 14KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 90NM 30KT 220NM NORTHEAST 180NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 231500UTC 31.9N 143.9E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 13KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 45HF 241200UTC 36.1N 150.1E 160NM 70% MOVE NE 18KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 69HF 251200UTC 40.7N 164.6E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTJP32 RJTD 221500 *** WARNING 221500. WARNING VALID 231500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0614 YAGI (0614) 925 HPA AT 26.9N 141.8E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230300UTC AT 29.2N 141.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231500UTC AT 31.9N 143.9E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTSS20 VHHH 221645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 221500 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (114.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231500 UTC ONE FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (14.8 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241500 UTC ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (109.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (17.1 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (107.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 221645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 221500 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (114.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231500 UTC ONE FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (14.8 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241500 UTC ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (109.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (17.1 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (107.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.