** WTPQ21 RJTD 201800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0614 YAGI (0614) ANALYSIS PSTN 201800UTC 19.6N 150.8E GOOD MOVE W 16KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 170NM FORECAST 24HF 211800UTC 21.6N 145.0E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 14KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 48HF 221800UTC 25.4N 141.2E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 12KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 72HF 231800UTC 31.0N 143.8E 290NM 70% MOVE NNE 15KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT = ** WTJP22 RJTD 201800 *** WARNING 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0614 YAGI (0614) 940 HPA AT 19.6N 150.8E SOUTHSOUTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 21.6N 145.0E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 25.4N 141.2E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 31.0N 143.8E WITH 290 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 201800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY YAGI 0614 (0614) INITIAL TIME 201800 UTC 00HR 19.6N 150.8E 925HPA 55M/S 30KTS 320KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR W 25KM/H P+24HR 21.2N 144.7E 920HPA 60M/S P+48HR 25.1N 140.6E 925HPA 60M/S P+72HR 30.4N 139.1E 935HPA 50M/S= ** WTKO20 RKSL 201800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 8 NAME TY 0614 YAGI ANALYSIS POSITION 201800UTC 19.6N 150.8E MOVEMENT W 16KT PRES/VMAX 940HPA 89KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 211800UTC 21.4N 145.5E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 930HPA 95KT 48HR POSITION 221800UTC 24.7N 141.2E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 930HPA 95KT 72HR POSITION 231800UTC 30.6N 142.7E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 945HPA 86KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTNT42 KNHC 202015 *** TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM GORDON DISCUSSION NUMBER 40 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 500 PM EDT WED SEP 20 2006 AFTER NEARLY 10 DAYS TRAVELING ACROSS THE ATLANTIC...TENACIOUS GORDON IS FINALLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AS A STRONG COLD FRONT INTERACTS WITH THE CYCLONE'S CIRCULATION. THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM WILL CONTINUE RACING ON A GENERAL EAST TO EAST-NORTHEAST TRACK UNTIL IT BECOME ABSORBED BY THE COLD FRONT. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON GORDON. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEOFRANCE UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 39.2N 16.6W 45 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 12HR VT 21/0600Z 42.0N 12.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA ** WTNT32 KNHC 202022 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GORDON ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 500 PM AST WED SEP 20 2006 ...GORDON FINALLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL...THIS THE LAST ADVISORY.. AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 16.6 WEST OR ABOUT 380 MILES...625 KM...WEST OF LISBON PORTUGAL. GORDON IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 35 MPH...56 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GORDON IS EXPECTED TO BECOME ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...39.2 N...16.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 35 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEOFRANCE UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW. $$ FORECASTER AVILA ** WTNT23 KNHC 202031 *** TCMAT3 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 2100 UTC WED SEP 20 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 57.1W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 90SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 75SE 100SW 75NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..375NE 300SE 225SW 350NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 57.1W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 56.8W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 27.9N 57.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 90SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 100SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 30.6N 57.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 90SW 45NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 100SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 175SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 33.9N 55.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 90SW 45NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 100SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 175SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 37.5N 52.3W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 100SW 125NW. 34 KT...200NE 240SE 240SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 43.5N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 180SW 150NW. 34 KT...240NE 275SE 300SW 275NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 48.5N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 52.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 57.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA ** WTNT43 KNHC 202031 *** TCDAT3 HURRICANE HELENE DISCUSSION NUMBER 34 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 500 PM EDT WED SEP 20 2006 A NOAA P-3 EQUIPPED WITH THE SFMR INSTRUMENT HAS BEEN SAMPLING HELENE THIS AFTERNOON. THUS FAR...THE DATA CONFIRMS THAT THE EYEWALL IS POORLY DEFINED AND THE SYSTEM HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD. AS A RESULT...THE INTENSITY SHOULD BE SLOW TO RESPOND TO CHANGES IN THE ENVIRONMENT. WHILE THE DATA FROM THE SFMR AND THE LARGE WIND FIELD ARGUE AGAINST A 90 KT HURRICANE...AN EYEWALL DROP REPORTED AN IMPRESSIVE 960 MB. IN LIGHT OF THE PRESSURE AND THE FACT THAT THE PLANE HAS NOT YET SAMPLED THE ENTIRE STORM...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 90 KT. IF THE PLANE DOES NOT FIND HIGHER WINDS IN SUBSEQUENT PASSES...THE INTENSITY WILL NEED TO BE LOWERED LATER. THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS HIGHLY PROBLEMATIC DUE TO THE CYCLONE INTERACTING WITH A STRONG MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS FOLLOWED BY EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. WHILE IT IS DIFFICULT TO ANTICIPATE TROUGH INTERACTIONS...GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT HELENE MAY ENCOUNTER WEAKER SHEAR IN THE SHORT-TERM PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH. ALL OF THE AVAILABLE INTENSITY GUIDANCE INDICATES HELENE MAY STRENGTHEN AS A RESULT OF THIS MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. BY DAY 2...HELENE STARTS TO GET TANGLED UP WITH A BAROCLINIC ZONE ULTIMATELY RESULTING IN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. SINCE BAROCLINIC FORCING IS EXPECTED DURING THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION...ONLY SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST. INDEED HELENE MAY BE A LARGE AND POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL STORM OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS LITTLE CHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. HELENE IS IN THE PROCESS OF A NORTHWARD TURN AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/08. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO BE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED THROUGH 72 HOURS AND ONLY MINOR CHANGES ARE REQUIRED TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. BEYOND 72 HOURS...MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE SHIFTED CONSIDERABLY NORTH WITH THE GFS AND GFDL ALONG THE NORTH SIDE OF THE MODEL SUITE AND THE NOGAPS NEAR THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE. SINCE THE NOGAPS PERFORMED WELL DURING GORDON...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ONLY SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE NORTH AND CURRENTLY LIES JUST SOUTH OF THE DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS. EVEN THOUGH HELENE IS FORECAST TO RECURVE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...LONG PERIOD SWELLS ARE ALREADY REGISTERING AT SEVERAL EAST COAST BUOYS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 26.6N 57.1W 90 KT 12HR VT 21/0600Z 27.9N 57.5W 90 KT 24HR VT 21/1800Z 30.6N 57.2W 95 KT 36HR VT 22/0600Z 33.9N 55.5W 90 KT 48HR VT 22/1800Z 37.5N 52.3W 85 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 23/1800Z 43.5N 43.0W 75 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 24/1800Z 48.5N 35.0W 65 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 25/1800Z 52.0N 28.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA ** WTNT22 KNHC 202035 *** TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 2100 UTC WED SEP 20 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.2N 16.6W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 30 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 150SE 200SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 225SE 225SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.2N 16.6W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 18.1W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 42.0N 12.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 150SE 200SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.2N 16.6W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEOFRANCE UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW. $$ FORECASTER AVILA ** WTNT33 KNHC 202035 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE HELENE ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 500 PM AST WED SEP 20 2006 ...HELENE MAKING NORTHWARD TURN OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.1 WEST OR ABOUT 610 MILES... 980 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. HELENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...26.6 N...57.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA ** WTPA43 PHFO 202045 *** TCDCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006 1100 AM HST WED SEP 20 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS NEVER ABLE TO MAKE IT PAST THE MAKE IT OR BREAK IT POINT IT REACHED LATE YESTERDAY. IT LOOKS LIKE THAT ALTHOUGH CONVECTION IN THE ITCZ HAD WANED YESTERDAY INTO LAST EVENING...THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW WITH TWO-C FADED QUICKER. QUIKSCAT PASS LAST EVENING SHOWED A MINIMAL CIRCULATION WITH A FEW WESTERLY WINDS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE CENTER...BUT THIS MORNINGS PASS AROUND 17Z SHOWED NOTHING MORE THAN AN OPEN TROUGH. EARLY MORNING VIS IMAGERY LOOPS ALSO SUPPORT THE IDEA THAT THERE IS NO LONGER A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION...THUS BY DEFINITION TWO-C IS NO LONGER A LOW OR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. CONVECTION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO FLARE ON AND OFF FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE REMNANTS OF TWO-C GET PUSHED WESTWARD IN THE TRADE FLOW. WITH WARM SSTS AND WEAK WINDS ALOFT... THERE IS STILL SMALL PROBABILITY THAT TWO-C COULD REGENERATE. WITH ITCZ CONVECTION ONCE AGAIN FILLING IN TO THE SOUTH OF TWO-C...THAT PROBABILITY IS JUST BARELY ABOVE ZERO. IN ADDITION 06Z GFDL RUN HAS REALLY BACKED OFF FROM PREVIOUS RUNS AND KEEPS IT REAL WEAK THRU DAY 5. SHIPS STILL BRINGS IT UP IN INTENSITY BUT THIS IS SOLELY BASED ON SST POTENTIAL. ALL OTHER INPUTS TO THAT BASICALLY SAY STEADY STATE. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SYSTEM HOWEVER. THUS THIS WILL BE THE LAST BULLETIN ON TWO-C UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FOR NOW IT LOOKS LIKE TWO-C WILL TAKE ITS PLACE IN HISTORY WITH MANY OTHER CENTRAL PACIFIC SYSTEMS THAT FELL SHORT OF A PROMISING FUTURE. PROOF THAT DESPITE THE SEEMINGLY POWERFUL NATURE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES...IT TAKES A VERY DELICATE BALANCE WITHIN THE ATMOSPHERE TO HAVE ONE ACTUALLY DEVELOP. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 11.3N 165.6W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 21/0600Z 11.6N 167.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 21/1800Z 12.0N 169.8W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER NASH ** WTPA23 PHFO 202045 *** TCMCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006 2100 UTC WED SEP 20 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 165.6W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 165.6W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 165.0W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 11.6N 167.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 12.0N 169.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 165.6W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM...UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. $$ FORECASTER NASH ** WTPA33 PHFO 202045 *** TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006 1100 AM HST WED SEP 20 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C DISSIPATING FAR SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AT 1100 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.6 WEST OR ABOUT 860 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...OAHU AND ABOUT 455 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS THE DEPRESSION DISSIPATES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL DECREASE FURTHER AS TWO-C CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM HST POSITION...11.3 N...165.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM...UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. $$ FORECASTER NASH ** WTPN32 PGTW 202100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (YAGI) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z --- NEAR 19.7N 150.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 150.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 20.7N 147.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 22.3N 145.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 23.7N 143.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 25.4N 141.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 30.7N 142.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 19 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 36.9N 147.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 41.0N 159.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 202100Z POSITION NEAR 20.0N 150.0E. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 39 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z, 210900Z, 211500Z AND 212100Z.// ** WTPQ32 PGUM 202127 *** TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON YAGI (16W) ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 800 AM GUAM LST THU SEP 21 2006 ...TYPHOON YAGI QUICKLY MOVING WEST... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. HOWEVER...INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS NORTH OF SAIPAN SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TYPHOON YAGI. THIS INCLUDES ALAMAGAN...PAGAN AND AGRIHAN. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON YAGI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 290 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF AGRIHAN 300 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGAN 310 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ALAMAGAN 440 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN 570 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TYPHOON YAGI IS MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH. YAGI IS EXPECTED TO TURN GRADUALLY TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. YAGI REMAINS A CATEGORY 4 TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 140 MPH. TYPHOON YAGI IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER TODAY. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...20.0 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 150.0 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 140 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ HENDRICKS ** WTPN31 PHNC 202200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z --- NEAR 11.2N 165.0W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N 165.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 11.6N 167.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 12.0N 169.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202200Z POSITION NEAR 11.4N 166.2W. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MON- ITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 7 FEET. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTCA43 TJSJ 202138 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN HURACAN HELENE ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 33 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL082006 500 PM AST MIERCOLES 20 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2006 ...HELENE GIRANDO AL NORTE SOBRE EL ATLANTICO CENTRAL... A LAS 500 PM AST...2100Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN HELENE ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 26.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 57.1 OESTE O COMO A 610 MILLAS...980 KILOMETROS...AL SURESTE DE BERMUDA. HELENE SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 9 MPH... 15 KM/HR Y SE ESPERA UN GIRO GRADUAL AL NORTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 105 MPH...165 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. POCOS CAMBIOS EN INTENSIDAD SE PRONOSTICAN DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA UNAS 105 MILLAS...165 KILOMETROS...DESDE EL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 175 MILLAS...280 KILOMETROS DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA FUE DE 960 MILIBARAS...28.35 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 500 PM AST...26.6 NORTE...57.1 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NOROESTE A CERCA DE 9 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...105 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...960 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 1100 PM AST. $$ PRONOSTICADOR RHOME/AVILA ** WTPQ21 RJTD 202100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0614 YAGI (0614) ANALYSIS PSTN 202100UTC 19.8N 150.1E GOOD MOVE W 14KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 170NM FORECAST 24HF 212100UTC 21.9N 144.3E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 14KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 45HF 221800UTC 25.4N 141.2E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 12KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 69HF 231800UTC 31.0N 143.8E 290NM 70% MOVE NNE 15KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT = ** WTJP32 RJTD 202100 *** WARNING 202100. WARNING VALID 212100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0614 YAGI (0614) 940 HPA AT 19.8N 150.1E SOUTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 212100UTC AT 21.9N 144.3E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTIO21 PGTW 202230 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 202221Z SEP 06// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS OF 19.8N 66.2E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CY- CLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 202100Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 66.2E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 19.8N 66.2E APPROXIMATELY 380 NM WEST OF BOMBAY, INDIA HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 201757Z AMSU IMAGE DEPICTED IMPROVED CONSOLIDATION OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH TIGHTLY-CURVED BANDING WRAPPING FROM THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT INTO THE SYSTEM CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS UNDER WEAK TO MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, JUST SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS (OVER THE NORTH ARABIAN SEA), BUT HAS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. BASED ON THE IMPROVED CONSOLIDATION AND GENERALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 212230Z.//