** WTPQ20 BABJ 200600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY YAGI 0614 (0614) INITIAL TIME 200600 UTC 00HR 19.6N 154.1E 930HPA 55M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR W 25KM/H P+24HR 20.2N 148.0E 930HPA 55M/S P+48HR 23.1N 142.9E 930HPA 55M/S P+72HR 28.3N 140.1E 940HPA 50M/S= ** WTIN20 DEMS 200645 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 20-09-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER CENTRAL AND NORTH BAY OF BENGAL ,NORTH ANDAMAN SEA AND EAST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 24 DEG. NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.) MSG OVER ?????????? ** WTPQ21 RJTD 200600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0614 YAGI (0614) ANALYSIS PSTN 200600UTC 19.6N 154.1E GOOD MOVE W 14KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 170NM FORECAST 24HF 210600UTC 20.0N 147.8E 80NM 70% MOVE W 14KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 48HF 220600UTC 23.2N 142.3E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 72HF 230600UTC 27.6N 140.2E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW 11KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT = ** WTJP22 RJTD 200600 *** WARNING 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0614 YAGI (0614) 940 HPA AT 19.6N 154.1E SOUTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 20.0N 147.8E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 23.2N 142.3E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 27.6N 140.2E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ31 RJTD 200600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 8 FOR TY 0614 YAGI (0614) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 200600 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL ACCELERATE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN MOVE GRADUALLY TO NORTHWEST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 6.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 200600 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 7 NAME TY 0614 YAGI ANALYSIS POSITION 200600UTC 19.6N 154.1E MOVEMENT W 14KT PRES/VMAX 940HPA 89KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 210600UTC 20.1N 148.7E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 930HPA 95KT 48HR POSITION 220600UTC 22.9N 144.0E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 930HPA 95KT 72HR POSITION 230600UTC 27.2N 141.3E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 940HPA 89KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTNT22 KNHC 200833 *** TCMAT2 HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 0900 UTC WED SEP 20 2006 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN AZORES. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 24.2W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 30 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 40SE 40SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 80SE 80SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 150SE 200SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 225SE 225SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 24.2W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 26.1W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.3N 19.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 150SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 42.7N 13.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 175SE 175SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...MERGED WITH FRONTAL ZONE REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.8N 24.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART ** WTPN32 PGTW 200900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (YAGI) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z --- NEAR 19.6N 154.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N 154.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 19.9N 151.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 20.8N 148.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 22.2N 145.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 24.1N 144.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 28.6N 142.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 34.7N 144.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 39.5N 153.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 200900Z POSITION NEAR 19.7N 153.3E. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (YAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 545 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 39 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z, 202100Z, 210300Z AND 210900Z.// ** WTNT23 KNHC 200838 *** TCMAT3 HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 0900 UTC WED SEP 20 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 55.4W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 150SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..375NE 300SE 225SW 350NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 55.4W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 55.1W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.4N 56.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 150SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 28.6N 56.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 31.0N 56.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 33.9N 55.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 39.7N 48.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...125NE 150SE 75SW 125NW. 34 KT...225NE 250SE 150SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 45.0N 38.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 49.0N 29.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 55.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART ** WTNT43 KNHC 200838 *** TCDAT3 HURRICANE HELENE DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 500 AM EDT WED SEP 20 2006 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE A CONSENSUS T5.5/102 KT. HOWEVER...THE EYE FEATURE IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS BECOME RAGGED AND LESS DISTINCT...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 95 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS EXCELLENT IN ALL QUADRANTS...EXCEPT SLIGHTLY RESTRICTED TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 305/08 KT. THE LONG ANTICIPATED TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST THAT ALL OF THE GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS HAVE BEEN ADVERTISING FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS APPEARS TO FINALLY BE UNDERWAY. A NARROW AND ELONGATED MID-LEVEL TROUGH BETWEEN 65W-70W LONGITUDE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TURN HELENE MORE NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS...WITH A LARGER AND MORE HIGHLY-AMPLIFIED TROUGH FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST AND ACCELERATING THE CYCLONE NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO BUT A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AFTER 48 HOURS...AND IS CLOSE TO THE MIDDLE OF THE TIGHTLY PACKED NHC MODEL GUIDANCE. THE OUTFLOW PATTERN ON THE WEST SIDE HAS BECOME FLATTENED A LITTLE BIT AS SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH ALONG 65W-70W LONGITUDE IS BEGINNING TO IMPINGE ON THE CYCLONE. THIS SLIGHTLY UNFAVORABLE FLOW PATTERN SHOULD INHIBIT THE INTENSIFICATION PROCESS...BUT THE SHEAR WILL STILL BE LOW ENOUGH AND THE SSTS WARM ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR SOME STRENGTHENING...AND HELENE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE AGAIN BEFORE IT BEGINS TO RECURVE IN 36 HOURS. AFTER THAT...STEADILY INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR COUPLED WITH DECREASING SSTS SHOULD INITIATE A SLOW WEAKENING TREND. BY 72-96 HOURS...A TRANSITION OVER TO A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED AS THE LARGE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. MOVES EASTWARD AND EVENTUALLY CAPTURES HELENE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0900Z 25.3N 55.4W 95 KT 12HR VT 20/1800Z 26.4N 56.3W 100 KT 24HR VT 21/0600Z 28.6N 56.9W 100 KT 36HR VT 21/1800Z 31.0N 56.7W 95 KT 48HR VT 22/0600Z 33.9N 55.0W 90 KT 72HR VT 23/0600Z 39.7N 48.0W 80 KT 96HR VT 24/0600Z 45.0N 38.0W 70 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 25/0600Z 49.0N 29.0W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ FORECASTER STEWART ** WTPA33 PHFO 200840 *** TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006 1100 PM HST TUE SEP 19 2006 AT 1100 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 163.0 WEST OR ABOUT 795 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII AND ABOUT 590 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 PM HST POSITION...10.9 N...163.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM HST. $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON ** WTNT33 KNHC 200844 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE HELENE ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006 500 AM AST WED SEP 20 2006 ...HELENE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AND EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL TO THE EAST OF BERMUDA... AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.4 WEST OR ABOUT 745 MILES... 1200 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. HELENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ...AND HELENE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WELL TO THE EAST OF BERMUDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND HELENE COULD REGAIN MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS LATER TODAY OR THURSDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...25.3 N...55.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART ** WTPA23 PHFO 200845 *** TCMCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006 0900 UTC WED SEP 20 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 163.0W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 163.0W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 162.3W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.6N 165.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 5SE 5SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.3N 167.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.2N 170.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.8N 172.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.2N 176.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 14.4N 179.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 14.8N 177.5E MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N 163.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON ** WTCA43 TJSJ 200853 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN HURACAN HELENE ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 32 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL082006 500 AM AST MIERCOLES 20 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2006 ...HELENE SE MUEVE AL NOROESTE Y SE ESPERA QUE SE MANTENDRA BIEN AL ESTE DE BERMUDA... A LAS 500 AM AST...0900Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN HELENE ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 25.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 55.4 OESTE O COMO A 745 MILLAS...1200 KILOMETROS...AL SURESTE DE BERMUDA. HELENE SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 9 MPH... 15 KM/HR Y SE ESPERA UN GIRO AL NOROESTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...Y SE PRONOSTICA QUE HELENE SE MANTENDRA BIEN AL ESTE DE BERMUDA. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 110 MPH...175 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ES POSIBLE UN LEVE FORTALECIMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS Y HELENE PODRIA CONVERTIRSE NUEVAMENTE EN UN HURACAN MAYOR MAS TARDE DURANTE HOY O EL JUEVES. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA UNAS 45 MILLAS...75 KILOMETROS...DESDE EL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 200 MILLAS...325 KILOMETROS DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA FUE DE 958 MILIBARAS...28.29 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 500 AM AST...25.3 NORTE...55.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NOROESTE A CERCA DE 9 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...110 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...958 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 1100 AM AST. $$ PRONOSTICADOR STEWART ** WTPA43 PHFO 200856 *** TCDCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006 1100 PM HST TUE SEP 19 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C CONTINUES TO LOOK WEAK AND DISORGANIZED. SINCE THE SYSTEM IS DISORGANIZED BUT CONTINUES TO HAVE COLD CLOUD TOPS OVER THE CENTER...IT IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE THE CENTER VERY PRECISELY. DVORAK ESTIMATES WERE 1.5 EXCEPT 2.0 FROM SAB AND THE SATELLITE FIXES ALL SHOWED A WEAKENING TREND. TWO-C WAS ON THE WEST EDGE OF A QUIKSCAT PASS THAT SHOWED 30 KT WINDS NORTH OF THE CENTER. WE HAVE KEPT THE INITIAL INTENSITY AT 30 KT. THERE HAVE BEEN NO BIG CHANGES IN THE LARGE-SCALE SYNOPTIC PATTERN OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC. THE DEEP LAYER FLOW AROUND TWO-C REMAINS FROM THE EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT. TWO-C HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KT. THE OBJECTIVE AIDS ARE VERY CLOSELY CLUSTERED. WE HAVE SHIFTED THE FORECAST TRACK SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH AND INCREASED THE FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY TO KEEP IT IN LINE WITH THE MODEL CONSENSUS. THE FORECAST TRACK KEEPS TWO-C FAR FROM ANY INHABITED ISLANDS. THE LATEST OBJECTIVE AIDS HAVE CONTINUED TO TREND DOWN THE FORECAST INTENSITIES SO WE HAVE FOLLOWED THAT TREND. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SEEM ADEQUATELY WARM...AT 28 TO 29 DEGREES C...AND SHEAR IS NIL...BUT TWO-C HAS SHOWN NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPING VERY RAPIDLY. WITHOUT ANY MORE CONVINCING EVIDENCE FOR MORE RAPID DEVELOPMENT...IT SEEMS PRUDENT TO TREND DOWN THE INTENSITY FORECAST IN LINE WITH THE OBJECTIVE AIDS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0900Z 10.9N 163.0W 30 KT 12HR VT 20/1800Z 11.6N 165.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 21/0600Z 12.3N 167.7W 35 KT 36HR VT 21/1800Z 13.2N 170.1W 40 KT 48HR VT 22/0600Z 13.8N 172.3W 45 KT 72HR VT 23/0600Z 14.2N 176.2W 50 KT 96HR VT 24/0600Z 14.4N 179.3W 55 KT 120HR VT 25/0600Z 14.8N 177.5E 55 KT $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON ** WTNT32 KNHC 200858 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE GORDON ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 500 AM AST WED SEP 20 2006 ...HURRICANE GORDON RAPIDLY MOVING EAST OF SAO MIGUEL... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN AZORES. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 24.2 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 85 KM...EAST OF THE ISLAND OF SAO MIGUEL IN THE EASTERN AZORES...AND ABOUT 165 MILES...265 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLAND OF TERCEIRA IN THE CENTRAL AZORES. GORDON IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 35 MPH...56 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE ELEVATED TERRAIN OF THE EASTERN AZORES. GORDON IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. GORDON IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL STORM SYSTEM LATER TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. THE AZORES METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE REPORTED DURING THE PAST HOUR THAT A 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND OF 56 MPH...90 KM/HR... WITH A GUST TO 82 MPH...130 KM/HR...HAS OCCURRED AT SANTA MARIA AIRPORT IN THE EASTERN AZORES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. GORDON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS NEAR ONE INCH OVER THE AZORES THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...37.8 N...24.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NEAR 35 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART ** WTNT42 KNHC 200900 *** TCDAT2 HURRICANE GORDON DISCUSSION NUMBER 38 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 500 AM EDT WED SEP 20 2006 AN EARLIER 0350Z AMSR-E MICROWAVE OVERPASS INDICATED THAT THE STRONG UPPER WESTERLY MID-LATITUDE FLOW HAS FINALLY BEGUN TO AFFECT THE VERTICAL STRUCTURE OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE...WITH THE CENTER DISPLACED AROUND 60 N MI WEST OF THE LIMITED DEEP CONVECTION. BASED ON DVORAK DATA-T NUMBERS OF 65 KT FROM ALL AGENCIES...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 65 KT. A SURFACE OBSERVATION WORTHY OF NOTE...AZORES METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE REPORTED A 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND OF 49 KT WITH A GUST OF 71 KT FROM SANTA MARIA AIRPORT. COOLER SEA SURFACES TEMPERATURES AND STABILIZING THERMODYNAMIC AFFECTS FROM THE APPROACHING BAROCLINIC ZONE SHOULD SUPPORT FURTHER WEAKENING AS THE SYSTEM COMPLETES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS...AND ULTIMATELY MERGING WITH A FRONT AND BECOMING A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 080/30. GORDON IS MOVING WITHIN THE DEEP WESTERLY FLOW OF A LARGE BAROCLINIC LOW LOCATED ABOUT 500 N MI WEST-NORTHWEST OF IRELAND. THE UKMET...NOGAPS...AND THE ECMWF MODELS ALL INDICATE THAT GORDON WILL MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHEAST PERIPHERY OF THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW TOWARD THE BRITISH ISLES. POSSIBLE IMPACTS TO THE IBERIAN PENINSULA AND THE BRITISH ISLES SHOULD BE AS AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE UKMET...ECMWF...AND NOGAPS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0900Z 37.8N 24.2W 65 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 12HR VT 20/1800Z 39.3N 19.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 21/0600Z 42.7N 13.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 21/1800Z...MERGED WITH FRONTAL ZONE $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART ** WTJP32 RJTD 200900 *** WARNING 200900. WARNING VALID 210900. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0614 YAGI (0614) 940 HPA AT 19.6N 153.3E SOUTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210900UTC AT 20.5N 146.6E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 200900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0614 YAGI (0614) ANALYSIS PSTN 200900UTC 19.6N 153.3E GOOD MOVE W 14KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 170NM FORECAST 24HF 210900UTC 20.5N 146.6E 80NM 70% MOVE W 15KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 45HF 220600UTC 23.2N 142.3E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 095KT 69HF 230600UTC 27.6N 140.2E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW 11KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT = ** WTPA33 PHFO 200947 CCA *** TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006 1100 PM HST TUE SEP 19 2006 AT 1100 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 163.0 WEST OR ABOUT 795 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII AND ABOUT 590 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 PM HST POSITION...10.9 N...163.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM HST. $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON ** WTPN31 PHNC 201000 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z --- NEAR 10.7N 162.3W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N 162.3W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 11.6N 165.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 12.3N 167.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 13.2N 170.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 13.8N 172.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 14.2N 176.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 14.4N 179.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z --- 14.8N 177.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: 201000Z POSITION NEAR 11.1N 163.7W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201600Z, 202200Z, 210400Z AND 211000Z.// ** WTPQ32 PGUM 201057 *** TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON YAGI (16W) ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 800 PM GUAM LST WED SEP 20 2006 ...TYPHOON YAGI MOVING WEST AND INTENSIFYING... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. HOWEVER...INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS NORTH OF SAIPAN SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TYPHOON YAGI. THIS INCLUDES ALAMAGAN...PAGAN AND AGRIHAN. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON YAGI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 153.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF ALAMAGAN...PAGAN AND AGRIHAN 590 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN 710 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TYPHOON YAGI IS MOVING WEST AT 17 MPH. YAGI IS EXPECTED TO TURN GRADUALLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. YAGI IS A CATEGORY 4 TYPHOON WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 140 MPH. TYPHOON YAGI IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER OVERNIGHT. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...19.7 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 153.3 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 17 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 130 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM GUAM LST THURSDAY MORNING. $$ AHN ** WTNT32 KNHC 201137 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GORDON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 38A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006 800 AM AST WED SEP 20 2006 ...GORDON WEAKENING AS IT RAPIDLY MOVES AWAY FROM THE AZORES... AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EASTERN AZORES HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 22.8 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES..205 KM...EAST OF THE ISLAND OF SAO MIGUEL IN THE EASTERN AZORES. GORDON IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 35 MPH...56 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GORDON IS WEAKENING AND THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GORDON IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...37.8 N...22.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NEAR 35 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA