** WTIN20 DEMS 070626 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 07-09-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTH WEST BAY OF BENGAL, AND PARTS OF COMORIN AREA (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG LAT. 30.0 DEG. NORTH OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTPZ22 KNHC 070831 *** TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 0900 UTC THU SEP 07 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 129.6W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 129.6W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 129.1W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.5N 131.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.5N 132.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.5N 134.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.5N 135.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.5N 138.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 16.5N 141.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 16.0N 144.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 129.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN ** WTPZ42 KNHC 070835 *** TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 34 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 200 AM PDT THU SEP 07 2006 KRISTY CONTINUES TO PRODUCE ONLY A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH NO REAL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 25 KT FROM TAFB AND AFWA...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 25 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR 19N132W MAY BE PRODUCING SOME SOUTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/9...A LITTLE SLOWER THAN 6 HR AGO. KRISTY IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A LOW/MID-LEVEL RIDGE...WHICH SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST KRISTY TO MOVE WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 5 DAYS AT A FAIRLY SLOW SPEED...WITH THE NOGAPS CALLING FOR THE CYCLONE TO STALL NEAR 16N132W AFTER 24 HR. THAT IS PROBABLY TOO SLOW. THE NEW TRACK FORECAST CALLS FOR KRISTY TO MOVE WESTWARD FOR 96 HR JUST NORTH OF AND A BIT FASTER THAN THE CONSENSUS MODELS. AFTER THAT...IT CALLS FOR A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TURN. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS SOUTH OF AND SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. KRISTY REMAINS OVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 26-27C...AND THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO STAY LIGHT FOR 48-60 HR. THIS SUGGESTS THE POSSIBILITY OF KRISTY STRENGTHENING BACK TO A TROPICAL STORM AS FORECAST BY THE SHIPS AND GFDL MODELS. ON THE OTHER HAND...THE LIMITED CONVECTION AND ENTRAINMENT OF STABLE STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS INTO THE CIRCULATION ARGUES AGAINST SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL SHOW SLIGHT STRENGTHENING TO REFLECT THE POSSIBILITY THE CONVECTION WILL RETURN. HOWEVER...AN ALTERNATE FORECAST SCENARIO HAS KRISTY BECOMING A REMNANT LOW IN 12-24 HR IF THE CONVECTION DOES NOT RETURN. EVEN IF STRENGTHENING DOES OCCUR...THE SHEAR SHOULD INCREASE AFTER 60 HR RESULTING IN EVENTUAL DISSIPATION BY 120 HR. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0900Z 16.5N 129.6W 25 KT 12HR VT 07/1800Z 16.5N 131.0W 25 KT 24HR VT 08/0600Z 16.5N 132.7W 30 KT 36HR VT 08/1800Z 16.5N 134.3W 30 KT 48HR VT 09/0600Z 16.5N 135.7W 30 KT 72HR VT 10/0600Z 16.5N 138.5W 30 KT 96HR VT 11/0600Z 16.5N 141.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 12/0600Z 16.0N 144.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ FORECASTER BEVEN ** WTNT21 KNHC 070837 *** TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 0900 UTC THU SEP 07 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 53.2W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......225NE 250SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 100SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 53.2W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 52.7W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.1N 54.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...225NE 225SE 50SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 22.6N 57.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 50SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 24.0N 60.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 60SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 25.0N 63.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 60SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...250NE 225SE 90SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 30.5N 67.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 35.0N 66.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 53.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN ** WTNT41 KNHC 070837 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 500 AM EDT THU SEP 07 2006 FRUSTRATION CONTINUES OVERNIGHT TRYING TO LOCATE THE PRIMARY LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF FLORENCE. A 0345 UTC TRMM OVERPASS AND A 0507 UTC AMSU OVERPASS PROVIDED SOME INDICATIONS OF AN OVERALL SYSTEM CENTER...BUT ALSO SHOWED AT LEAST ONE WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CENTER TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THAT LOCATION. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE APPEARANCE OF FLORENCE VERY SIMILAR TO 24 HOURS AGO...WITH A SLIGHT CURVED BANDING FEATURE AND WARMER CLOUD TOPS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 45 KT IN AGREEMENT WITH DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB...AS WELL AS A RECENT AMSU INTENSITY ESTIMATE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 300/9. DESPITE THE QUANDARY IN FINDING THE INITIAL POSITION...THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE CONSISTENT AND IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT. CONSEQUENTLY THE REASONING IN THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS UNCHANGED. FLORENCE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...THEN SLOW A BIT AS THE CYCLONE TURNS MORE TO THE NORTH AS IT IS STEERED AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A STRONG ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTHEAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS CLOSELY THROUGH 5 DAYS. FLORENCE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER WARM WATERS AND ENCOUNTER LESS SHEAR IN 24 TO 36 HOURS AS THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW...LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE CYCLONE...MOVES WESTWARD AND WEAKENS. THIS SCENARIO SHOULD ALLOW FLORENCE TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST HOLDS FLORENCE TO JUST UNDER MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS...HOWEVER IT STILL COULD REACH CATEGORY THREE IN BETWEEN THE FORECAST PERIODS. THIS FOLLOWS CLOSELY WITH THE GUIDANCE FROM BOTH SHIPS AND THE FSU SUPERENSEMBLE. ONCE AGAIN...IT IS IMPORTANT TO REMEMBER THAT THERE IS LIMITED SKILL IN TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY PREDICTION PARTICULARLY IN THE 3 TO 5 DAY TIME FRAME. A SHIP REPORT AT 0600 UTC...FROM MSJZ8...REPORTED A 34 KT SUSTAINED WIND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THIS REPORT JUSTIFIED EXPANDING THE WIND RADII OUT TO 250 N MI OVER THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0900Z 20.1N 53.2W 45 KT 12HR VT 07/1800Z 21.1N 54.9W 50 KT 24HR VT 08/0600Z 22.6N 57.7W 55 KT 36HR VT 08/1800Z 24.0N 60.5W 65 KT 48HR VT 09/0600Z 25.0N 63.0W 75 KT 72HR VT 10/0600Z 27.5N 66.0W 90 KT 96HR VT 11/0600Z 30.5N 67.0W 95 KT 120HR VT 12/0600Z 35.0N 66.0W 95 KT $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN ** WTNT31 KNHC 070838 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 500 AM AST THU SEP 07 2006 ...FLORENCE HOLDING STEADY AND MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST.... AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.2 WEST OR ABOUT 660 MILES...1060 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 1105 MILES...1780 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. FLORENCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR ...AND AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND FLORENCE COULD BE A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM MAINLY EAST FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...20.1 N...53.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN ** WTCA41 TJSJ 070905 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL FLORENCE ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 15 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL062006 500 AM AST JUEVES 7 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2006 ...FLORENCE MANTENIENDOSE Y MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE... A LAS 500 AM AST...0900Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL FLORENCE ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 53.2 OESTE O COMO A 660 MILLAS...1060 KILOMETROS...AL ESTE-NORESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE Y COMO A 1105 MILLAS...1780 KILOMETROS... AL SURESTE DE BERMUDA. FLORENCE SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH...17 KILOMETROS POR HORA...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE CON ALGUN AUMENTO EN LA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS Y FLORENCE PUDIERA CONVERTIRSE EN UN HURACAN DURANTE EL PROXIMO O LOS PROXIMOS DIAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 290 MILLAS...465 KILOMETROS MAYORMENTE AL ESTE DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 999 MB...29.50 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 500 AM AST...20.1 NORTE...53.2 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...999 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 1100 AM AST. $$ PRONOSTICADOR MAINELLI/BEVEN ** WTPN32 PGTW 071000 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E (KRISTY) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z --- NEAR 16.5N 129.6W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 129.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 16.5N 131.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 16.5N 132.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 16.5N 134.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 16.5N 135.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 16.5N 138.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 16.5N 141.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 16.0N 144.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071000Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 130.1W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071600Z, 072200Z, 080400Z AND 081000Z. // ** WTPN32 PHNC 071000 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E (KRISTY) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z --- NEAR 16.5N 129.6W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 129.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 16.5N 131.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 16.5N 132.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 16.5N 134.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 16.5N 135.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 16.5N 138.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 16.5N 141.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 16.0N 144.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071000Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 130.1W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071600Z, 072200Z, 080400Z AND 081000Z. //