** WTNT80 EGRR 061800 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.09.2006 TROPICAL STORM KRISTY ANALYSED POSITION : 17.1N 125.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.09.2006 17.1N 125.7W WEAK 00UTC 07.09.2006 17.8N 128.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2006 18.8N 130.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2006 18.2N 131.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2006 18.4N 133.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2006 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N 50.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.09.2006 18.9N 50.5W WEAK 00UTC 07.09.2006 20.3N 52.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2006 21.8N 54.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2006 23.0N 57.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2006 23.9N 61.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2006 25.0N 63.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.09.2006 26.5N 65.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2006 28.6N 67.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.09.2006 30.9N 67.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.09.2006 33.1N 66.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.09.2006 35.0N 65.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.09.2006 37.6N 63.1W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.09.2006 40.3N 58.8W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 061800 ** WTJP21 RJTD 061800 *** WARNING 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0612 IOKE (0612) 980 HPA AT 49.7N 166.4E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 53.5N 177.6E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 976 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 56.0N 170.0W WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 976 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 061800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0612 IOKE (0612) ANALYSIS PSTN 061800UTC 49.7N 166.4E FAIR MOVE ENE 40KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 50KT 160NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST 30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 250NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 071800UTC 56.0N 170.0W 150NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTKO20 RKSL 061800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 20 NAME STS 0612 IOKE ANALYSIS POSITION 061800UTC 49.7N 166.4E MOVEMENT ENE 40KT PRES/VMAX 980HPA 54KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 071800UTC 55.4N 173.0E WITHIN 0NM PRES 985HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPZ22 KNHC 062028 *** TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 2100 UTC WED SEP 06 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 127.9W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 127.9W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 127.3W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.6N 129.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.8N 131.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.8N 134.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.9N 135.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.0N 139.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 17.0N 142.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 17.0N 144.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 127.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN ** WTPZ42 KNHC 062028 *** TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 200 PM PDT WED SEP 06 2006 VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS SPARSE DEEP CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPED EARLIER THIS MORNING...NEAR THE CENTER AND OVER THE SOUTHEAST PERIPHERY...HAS DIMINISHED CONSIDERABLY. APPARENTLY...ENTRAINMENT OF THE DRY STABLE AIR MASS FROM THE NORTHWEST IS THE MAIN CONTRIBUTOR TO THE WEAKENING TREND BECAUSE THE SHEAR IS LOW AND THE WATER IS STILL WARM. CONSEQUENTLY...BASED ON THE LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION...SUPPORTED BY THE UNCLASSIFIABLE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND AN EARLIER 0208Z QUIKSCAT AMBIGUITY SOLUTION THAT INDICATED SURFACE WINDS NO GREATER THAN 33 KT...KRISTY IS DECREASED TO DEPRESSION STRENGTH ON THIS ADVISORY. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS...ALTHOUGH A SIGNIFICANT DIURNAL BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION COULD TEMPORARILY BRING KRISTY BACK UP TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR AND COOLER WATER SHOULD INDUCE FURTHER WEAKENING...ULTIMATELY TO A REMNANT LOW BY DAY 5. INITIAL MOTION IS 270/12...WITHIN THE LOW TO MID TROPOSPHERIC EASTERLY FLOW OF A RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE DYNAMICAL MODELS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/2100Z 16.5N 127.9W 30 KT 12HR VT 07/0600Z 16.6N 129.8W 30 KT 24HR VT 07/1800Z 16.8N 131.9W 30 KT 36HR VT 08/0600Z 16.8N 134.1W 30 KT 48HR VT 08/1800Z 16.9N 135.8W 30 KT 72HR VT 09/1800Z 17.0N 139.0W 30 KT 96HR VT 10/1800Z 17.0N 142.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 11/1800Z 17.0N 144.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN ** WTNT31 KNHC 062031 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 500 PM AST WED SEP 06 2006 ...FLORENCE GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED...SHOULD STRENGTHEN SOON... AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.4 WEST OR ABOUT 770 MILES...1235 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND ABOUT 1240 MILES...1995 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. FLORENCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR ...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND FLORENCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...19.0 N...51.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN ** WTNT21 KNHC 062032 *** TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 2100 UTC WED SEP 06 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 51.4W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......225NE 100SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 90SE 90SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 51.4W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 51.1W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.0N 53.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 100SE 50SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.5N 55.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 100SE 50SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 22.7N 58.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...200NE 100SE 60SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 23.7N 60.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...175NE 100SE 60SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...175NE 100SE 60SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 29.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 32.5N 67.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 51.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN ** WTNT41 KNHC 062034 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 500 PM EDT WED SEP 06 2006 EVEN AS FLORENCE SHOWS SIGNS OF BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...THE CENTER REMAINS MADDENINGLY DIFFICULT TO TRACK. THE WELL-DEFINED LOW-CLOUD SWIRL HAS BEEN ROTATING NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON AROUND A PRESUMED BUT INVISIBLE OVERALL SYSTEM CENTER TO ITS WEST. AN 18 HOUR AVERAGE GIVES 295/8 FOR THE ADVISORY MOTION. THERE HAS BEEN NO CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING...SO I'LL JUST PLAGIARIZE THIS MORNING'S DISCUSSION. THE KEY SYNOPTIC FEATURE IN THE SHORT TERM REMAINS THE UPPER LOW CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES NORTHWEST OF FLORENCE. THIS COULD IMPART MORE OF A NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AS INDICATED BY THE GFDL MODEL...BUT THE REMAINING GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED ON A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS AS FLORENCE MOVES TO THE SOUTH OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...FLORENCE IS EXPECTED TO ROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE IN ADVANCE OF A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON A NORTHWARD TURN BY DAY 4. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS JUST AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND IS CLOSE TO A CONSENSUS OF THE WELL-CLUSTERED PRIMARY DYNAMICAL MODELS. THE MAJOR CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY IS THAT THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN GRADUALLY MIGRATING CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS CONVECTION HAS ALSO BEEN INCREASING OVER THE NOW-OBSCURED CLOUD SWIRL...AND THIS MAY BE THE BEGINNING OF A MORE SUBSTANTIAL INTENSIFICATION. AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES WESTWARD...SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE AND THE ENVIRONMENT SHOULD BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON DEVELOPING A LARGE ANTICYCLONE OVER FLORENCE IN THREE DAYS OR SO AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS A BLEND OF THE SHIPS AND GFDL GUIDANCE IN MAKING FLORENCE A MAJOR HURRICANE. TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...GUIDANCE IS ALSO IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT FLORENCE...ALREADY A LARGE CYCLONE...WILL GET EVEN LARGER. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/2100Z 19.0N 51.4W 45 KT 12HR VT 07/0600Z 20.0N 53.0W 50 KT 24HR VT 07/1800Z 21.5N 55.5W 60 KT 36HR VT 08/0600Z 22.7N 58.2W 70 KT 48HR VT 08/1800Z 23.7N 60.7W 80 KT 72HR VT 09/1800Z 26.0N 65.0W 95 KT 96HR VT 10/1800Z 29.0N 67.0W 100 KT 120HR VT 11/1800Z 32.5N 67.0W 95 KT $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN ** WTCA41 TJSJ 062045 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL FLORENCE ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 13 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL062006 500 PM AST MIERCOLES 6 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2006 ...FLORENCE TORNANDOSE MEJOR ORGANIZADA...DEBE DE INTENSIFICARSE PRONTO... A LAS 500 PM AST...2100Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL FLORENCE ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.0 NORTE...LONGITUD 51.4 OESTE O COMO A 770 MILLAS...1235 KILOMETROS...AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO DEL NORTE Y ALREDEDOR DE 1240 MILLAS...1995 KM... AL SURESTE DE BERMUDA. FLORENCE SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 9 MPH...15 KILOMETROS POR HORA...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO...Y FLORENCE PUEDE CONVERTIRSE EN HURACAN EL JUEVES. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 260 MILLAS...415 KILOMETROS AL NORESTE DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 999 MB...29.50 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 500 PM AST...19.0 NORTE...51.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 9 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...999 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 11 PM AST. $$ PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN ** WTPN32 PHNC 062200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E (KRISTY) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z --- NEAR 16.5N 127.3W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 127.3W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 16.6N 129.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 16.8N 131.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 16.8N 134.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 16.9N 135.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 17.0N 139.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 17.0N 142.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 17.0N 144.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 062200Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 128.1W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 10 FEET. AT 090618 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED 1574 NM W OF ACAPULCO. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070400Z, 071000Z, 071600Z AND 072200Z.// ** WTJP31 RJTD 062100 *** WARNING 062100. WARNING VALID 072100. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0612 IOKE (0612) 980 HPA AT 52.1N 169.7E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 50 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070900UTC AT 56.6N 178.6W WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 976 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 072100UTC AT 59.4N 166.1W WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 976 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 062100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0612 IOKE (0612) ANALYSIS PSTN 062100UTC 52.1N 169.7E FAIR MOVE NE 50KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 50KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 100NM NORTHWEST 30KT 350NM SOUTHEAST 250NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 072100UTC 59.4N 166.1W 150NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =