** WTSR20 WSSS 050600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 051200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS IOKE 0612 (0612) INITIAL TIME 051200 UTC 00HR 37.4N 149.1E 975HPA 30M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 180KM P12HR NW 40KM/H P+24HR 46.5N 160.9E 985HPA 25M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 051200 *** WARNING 051200. WARNING VALID 061200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0612 IOKE (0612) 965 HPA AT 37.4N 149.1E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 21 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 42.7N 153.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 48.3N 163.0E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 55.0N 175.0W WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 051200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0612 IOKE (0612) ANALYSIS PSTN 051200UTC 37.4N 149.1E GOOD MOVE NE 21KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 160NM EAST 100NM WEST 30KT 300NM EAST 240NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 061200UTC 48.3N 163.0E 150NM 70% MOVE NE 42KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 48HF 071200UTC 55.0N 175.0W 220NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPZ22 KNHC 051430 *** TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 1500 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 121.5W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 121.5W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 121.0W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.7N 123.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.1N 125.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.5N 127.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.5N 128.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.5N 131.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 17.5N 134.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 17.5N 137.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 121.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART ** WTPZ42 KNHC 051430 *** TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM KRISTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 800 AM PDT TUE SEP 05 2006 JUST WHEN WE THINK THAT KRISTY IS DONE FOR... A STRONG BURST OF CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER HAS PERSISTED FOR THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. DVORAK T-NUMBERS NOW SUPPORT TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... AND KRISTY HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO BE A TROPICAL STORM... AGAIN. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE SURVIVED THE STRONG EASTERLY SHEAR... RELAXING SOMEWHAT DUE TO AN INVERTED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE EAST... BUT THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT AROUND THE STORM IS PRETTY MARGINAL FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING. A STABLE STRATOCUMULUS CLOUD LAYER IS TRYING TO WRAP INTO THE STORM'S CIRCULATION AND SHIPS DIAGNOSES RATHER DRY CONDITIONS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS BEYOND 48 HOURS. HOWEVER... SSTS STAY NEAR OR ABOVE 26C FOR THE PERIOD... AND SHEAR SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THEREFORE... KRISTY ISN'T EXPECT TO FLOURISH BUT... UNFORTUNATELY... DISSIPATION IS NO LONGER ANTICIPATED. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY HOLD ON TO THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT 5 DAYS... AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE WEST... 275/7. A DEVELOPING RIDGE TO THE NORTH SHOULD PUSH KRISTY WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT A FASTER RATE FOR THE FIRST 24-36 HOURS. THEREAFTER... THE RIDGE COULD STRENGTHEN A LITTLE... CAUSING THE STORM TO FOLLOW A WESTWARD COURSE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH THAN PREVIOUS.. BUT NOT AS FAR TO THE NORTH AS THE MODEL CONSENSUS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/1500Z 16.4N 121.5W 35 KT 12HR VT 06/0000Z 16.7N 123.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 06/1200Z 17.1N 125.1W 35 KT 36HR VT 07/0000Z 17.5N 127.0W 35 KT 48HR VT 07/1200Z 17.5N 128.5W 35 KT 72HR VT 08/1200Z 17.5N 131.5W 35 KT 96HR VT 09/1200Z 17.5N 134.5W 35 KT 120HR VT 10/1200Z 17.5N 137.5W 35 KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART ** WTNT41 KNHC 051439 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 05 2006 CONVENTIONAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT TD-6 HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS INTENSIFIED INTO VERY LARGE TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KT IS BASED ON WIND DATA FROM 05/0836Z QUIKSCAT AND 05/1002 SSMI OVERPASSES THAT REVEALED LARGE PATCHES OF 30-35 KT UNCONTAMINATED WINDS IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. IT COULD BE ARGUED THAT STRONGER WINDS EXIST IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT...BUT THAT ASSESSMENT CAN WAIT UNTIL THE NEXT ADVISORY PACKAGE TO SEE IF CONVECTION PERSISTS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/11. THE AFOREMENTIONED QUIKSCAT OVERPASS AND ALSO ONE AT 04/2130Z NOW CLEARLY INDICATE THAT THE BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER IS FARTHER SOUTH BY AT LEAST 40 NMI THAN INDICATED IN PREVIOUS ADVISORIES. THE ADVISORY POSITION IS ROUGHLY MIDWAY BETWEEN TWO SMALLER CIRCULATIONS -- ONE IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND ONE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT THAT PASSED BY NOAA BUOY 41041 EARLIER THIS MORNING. OTHER THAN RELOCATING THE CENTER FARTHER TO THE SOUTH...THE FORECAST REASONING REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS SEVERAL ADVISORIES. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE ENVELOPE ...WHICH IS MAINLY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE MORE SOUTHERLY INITIAL POSITION. THE LARGE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH THAT WILL BE THE MAIN STEERING MECHANISM FOR THE NEXT 4-5 DAYS IS EXPECTED TO KEEP FLORENCE MOVING IN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION. BY DAY 5...ALL OF THE GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO INSIST THAT A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO ERODE THE RIDGE TO NORTH OF FLORENCE AND ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND INTO THE WEAKNESS. THE VERDICT IS STILL OUT ON THE SCENARIO GIVEN THE RELATIVE WEAKNESS OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH INDICATED IN THE MODEL WIND FIELDS. SINCE FLORENCE HAS A RATHER LARGE WIND FIELD THAT IS AT LEAST 400 NMI IN DIAMETER ALONG WITH A RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS OF 90-100 NMI...ONLY SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. AFTER THAT...THE INNER CORE WIND FIELD IS EXPECTED TO CONTRACT IN THE PRESENCE OF LOWER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND OVER 29C SSTS...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING TO OCCUR. THE ONLY REASON THAT THE INTENSITY FORECAST DOES NOT CALL FOR FLORENCE TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY 120 HOURS AS INDICATED BY THE GFDL AND FSU SUPERENSEMBLE MODELS IS THE UNCERTAINTY IN EXACTLY HOW THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REGIME WILL EVOLVE BY THAT TIME. ALL OF THE MODELS INDICATE THAT FLORENCE WILL BE NEAR A NARROW 200 MB ANTICYCLONE...BUT THE EXACT POSITION OF THE CYCLONE RELATIVE TO THAT UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE CRITICAL IN DETERMINING JUST HOW INTENSE FLORENCE COULD BECOME BY THAT TIME. THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS CONSERVATIVE AND IS SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN THE SHIPS MODEL. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/1500Z 17.3N 47.3W 35 KT 12HR VT 06/0000Z 17.9N 48.9W 40 KT 24HR VT 06/1200Z 18.6N 50.9W 45 KT 36HR VT 07/0000Z 19.3N 53.0W 50 KT 48HR VT 07/1200Z 20.1N 55.3W 55 KT 72HR VT 08/1200Z 21.6N 59.5W 65 KT 96HR VT 09/1200Z 23.3N 63.8W 75 KT 120HR VT 10/1200Z 25.5N 67.5W 85 KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART ** WTNT21 KNHC 051439 *** TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 1500 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 47.3W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..110NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 47.3W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 46.8W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.9N 48.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.6N 50.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.3N 53.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.1N 55.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.6N 59.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 23.3N 63.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 25.5N 67.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 47.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART ** WTNT31 KNHC 051442 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 1100 AM AST TUE SEP 05 2006 ...THE SIXTH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN... AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST OR ABOUT 935 MILES...1510 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. FLORENCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...17.3 N...47.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART ** WTCA41 TJSJ 051515 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL FLORENCE ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 8 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL062006 1100 AM AST MARTES 5 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2006 ...LA SEXTA TORMENTA NOMBRADA SE FORMA SOBRE EL CENTRO DEL OCEANO ATLANTICO TROPICAL... A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL FLORENCE ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 17.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 47.3 OESTE O COMO A 935 MILLAS...15160 KILOMETROS...AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES. LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. NO SE PRONOSTICA UN FORTALECIMIENTO LENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1005 MB...29.68 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 1100 AM AST...17.3 NORTE...47.3 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...OESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 500 PM AST. $$ PRONOSTICADOR STEWART ** WTJP31 RJTD 051500 *** WARNING 051500. WARNING VALID 061500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0612 IOKE (0612) 965 HPA AT 38.3N 150.2E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 21 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060300UTC AT 43.9N 155.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061500UTC AT 50.2N 165.5E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 051500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0612 IOKE (0612) ANALYSIS PSTN 051500UTC 38.3N 150.2E GOOD MOVE NE 21KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 160NM EAST 100NM WEST 30KT 300NM EAST 240NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 061500UTC 50.2N 165.5E 150NM 70% MOVE NE 46KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 45HF 071200UTC 55.0N 175.0W 220NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTNT80 EGRR 051730 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.09.2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 120.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2006 16.4N 120.5W WEAK 00UTC 06.09.2006 17.0N 122.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2006 16.4N 124.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2006 16.7N 126.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2006 16.1N 128.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2006 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE ANALYSED POSITION : 17.5N 47.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2006 17.5N 47.3W WEAK 00UTC 06.09.2006 17.5N 49.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2006 18.6N 51.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2006 19.0N 53.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2006 19.0N 56.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2006 20.5N 57.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2006 21.4N 60.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2006 23.4N 62.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2006 24.2N 65.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2006 26.0N 67.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.09.2006 26.6N 68.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.09.2006 29.4N 69.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2006 31.3N 69.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 051730