** WTPN31 PHNC 041600 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/040935SEP2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E (JOHN) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z --- NEAR 29.2N 113.3W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 29.2N 113.3W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 29.9N 113.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 30.6N 114.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 041600Z POSITION NEAR 29.4N 113.5W. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MON- ITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 7 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E (KRISTY) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PHNC 041600 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/041530SEP2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E (KRISTY) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z --- NEAR 16.7N 119.0W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 119.0W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z --- 16.6N 119.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 16.7N 121.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z --- 16.9N 122.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 17.2N 125.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 041600Z POSITION NEAR 16.7N 119.2W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 7 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042200Z, 050400Z, 051000Z AND 051600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E (JOHN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ20 RJTD 041800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0612 IOKE (0612) ANALYSIS PSTN 041800UTC 32.4N 147.5E GOOD MOVE N 16KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 160NM NORTHEAST 100NM SOUTHWEST 30KT 300NM NORTHEAST 240NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 051800UTC 39.6N 149.9E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 24KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 48HF 061800UTC 49.1N 162.9E 160NM 70% MOVE NNE 33KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 72HF 071800UTC 52.5N 174.8W 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTJP21 RJTD 041800 *** WARNING 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0612 IOKE (0612) 960 HPA AT 32.4N 147.5E EAST OF HACHIJOJIMA MOVING NORTH 16 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 35.2N 147.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 39.6N 149.9E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 49.1N 162.9E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 52.5N 174.8W WITH 290 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 041800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY IOKE 0612 (0612) INITIAL TIME 041800 UTC 00HR 32.5N 147.5E 960HPA 38M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 200KM P12HR NNE 30KM/H P+24HR 41.1N 150.8E 975HPA 30M/S P+48HR 49.7N 164.0E 990HPA 20M/S= ** WTKO20 RKSL 041800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 16 NAME TY 0612 IOKE ANALYSIS POSITION 041800UTC 32.4N 147.5E MOVEMENT N 16KT PRES/VMAX 960HPA 74KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 051800UTC 40.0N 149.6E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 70KT 48HR POSITION 061800UTC 49.8N 162.1E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 970HPA 66KT 72HR POSITION 071800UTC 54.2N 175.0E WITHIN 0NM PRES 985HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPZ42 KNHC 042035 *** TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 200 PM PDT MON SEP 04 2006 THERE WAS ANOTHER SMALL PUFF OF CONVECTION...SINCE DISSIPATED... EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON. A QUIKSCAT PASS FROM 14Z HAD A FEW BELIEVABLE 30 KT VECTORS...AND THAT WILL BE THE ADVISORY INTENSITY. OVERALL...KRISTY'S CIRCULATION LOOKS LESS VIGOROUS THAN 24 HOURS AGO...AND IT IS SLOWLY SPINNING DOWN. HOWEVER...THE RECENT CONVECTION MEANS WE WILL NEED TO WAIT A BIT LONGER BEFORE TERMINATING ADVISORIES. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 225/5. TRACK GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW AN INCREASING WESTWARD MOTION...IN RESPONSE TO THE MID AND UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLIES...THAT KRISTY WITH ITS ANEMIC CONVECTION CONTINUES TO IGNORE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST PRESUMES THAT KRISTY WILL REMAIN MOSTLY NON-CONVECTIVE AND INTERACT MINIMALLY WITH THE EASTERLIES. AS A RESULT...IT IS CONSIDERABLY SLOWER THAN JUST ABOUT ALL OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE. BOTH THE SHIPS AND GFDL GUIDANCE RE-INTENSIFY THE CYCLONE TO A STRONG TROPICAL STORM. HOWEVER...EASTERLY SHEAR AND UNFAVORABLE ATMOSPHERIC THERMODYNAMICS HAVE BEEN LIMITING CONVECTION...AND I SEE NO REASON WHY THIS SHOULD NOT CONTINUE. GLOBAL MODELS PREDICT A DECREASE IN EASTERLY SHEAR...BUT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG EASTERLIES UPSTREAM AND HEADED KRISTY'S WAY. THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS THAT KRISTY WILL DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/2100Z 16.2N 119.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 05/0600Z 16.1N 120.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 05/1800Z 16.1N 121.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 06/0600Z 16.2N 122.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 06/1800Z 16.4N 123.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN ** WTPZ22 KNHC 042036 *** TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 2100 UTC MON SEP 04 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 119.3W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 119.3W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 119.1W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 16.1N 120.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.1N 121.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.2N 122.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.4N 123.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 119.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN ** WTPN31 PGTW 042100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 01C (IOKE) WARNING NR 064 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z --- NEAR 32.5N 147.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 32.5N 147.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 35.8N 147.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 39.8N 149.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 44.7N 154.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 042100Z POSITION NEAR 33.3N 147.5E. TYPHOON (TY) 01C (IOKE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 435 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z AND 052100Z.// ** WTNT41 KNHC 042045 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 500 PM EDT MON SEP 04 2006 SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS NOT STRENGTHENED. IN FACT... IT LOOKS LESS ORGANIZED THAN 6 HOURS AGO AND HAS A SOMEWHAT DISHEVELED APPEARANCE. THE CENTER... AS BEST WE CAN TELL... IS BETWEEN TWO BANDING FEATURES THAT ARE LOOKING INCREASINGLY LINEAR. SATELLITE ESTIMATES ARE UNCHANGED FROM EARLIER AT TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY... BUT THERE IS NO GOOD REASON TO UPGRADE THE SYSTEM AS DISORGANIZED AS IT LOOKS NOW. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LEFT AT 30 KT. SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR SEEMS TO BE INHIBITING STRENGTHENING AT THIS TIME. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY FORECAST THE SHEAR TO DIMINISH... ESPECIALLY AFTER 48 HOURS... AFTER WHICH MORE SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION COULD BEGIN. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS LOWERED IN THE NEAR-TERM TO REFLECT THE DISORGANIZED INITIAL STATE... BUT IS KEPT ALMOST THE SAME IN THE LATER TERM OUT OF RESPECT FOR THE GLOBAL MODELS... WHICH ALMOST UNANIMOUSLY HAVE THE SYSTEM IN A LOW-SHEAR ENVIRONMENT FROM DAYS 3-5. THE INITIAL MOTION APPEARS TO BE ABOUT THE SAME AS BEFORE... 305/10. COMPUTER MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT ON THE TRACK OF THE DEPRESSION WITH A STRONG RIDGE FORECAST TO BUILD IN A COUPLE DAYS...AFTER A LARGE TROUGH DEPARTS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN. HOWEVER...THE BIG DIFFERENCE AMONG THE MODELS IS THE SYSTEM'S SPEED. NOGAPS SHOOTS THE DEPRESSION WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AN UNBELIEVABLY FAST RATE. THE GFDL CONTINUES TO BE ON THE FASTER SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE AND THE UKMET... AFTER BEING ONE OF THE SLOWEST MODELS... HAS MADE A LARGE WESTWARD SHIFT AND IS NOW SIMILAR TO THE GFS POSITION. WITH SUCH A STRONG RIDGE FORECAST... WE'VE CONTINUED THE IDEA OF BEING A LITTLE FASTER THAN A MODEL CONSENSUS THAT EXCLUDES THE NOGAPS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/2100Z 16.9N 43.8W 30 KT 12HR VT 05/0600Z 17.6N 45.0W 30 KT 24HR VT 05/1800Z 18.3N 46.5W 35 KT 36HR VT 06/0600Z 19.0N 48.1W 40 KT 48HR VT 06/1800Z 19.5N 50.0W 45 KT 72HR VT 07/1800Z 20.5N 54.0W 55 KT 96HR VT 08/1800Z 21.5N 58.0W 65 KT 120HR VT 09/1800Z 23.0N 62.0W 75 KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN ** WTNT31 KNHC 042046 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 500 PM EDT MON SEP 04 2006 ...DEPRESSION A LITTLE DISORGANIZED... AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.8 WEST OR ABOUT 1165 MILES...1875 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...16.9 N...43.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN ** WTNT21 KNHC 042046 *** TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006 2100 UTC MON SEP 04 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 43.8W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 43.8W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 43.3W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 17.6N 45.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.3N 46.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.0N 48.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.5N 50.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.5N 54.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 21.5N 58.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 23.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 43.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN ** WTCA41 TJSJ 042049 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 5 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL062006 500 PM EDT LUNES 4 DE SEPTIEMBRE DE 2006 ...DEPRESION UN POCO DESORGANIZADA... A LAS 500 PM EDT...2100Z...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL SEIS FUE ESTIMADA CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 43.8 OESTE O COMO A 1165 MILLAS...1875 KILOMETROS...AL ESTE DE LAS ANTILLAS MENORES. LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. POCOS CAMBIOS EN FUERZA SE PRONOSTICA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1005 MB...29.68 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 500 PM EDT...16.9 NORTE...43.8 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 1100 PM EDT. $$ PRONOSTICADOR BLAKE/FRANKLIN ** WTPN32 PHNC 042200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E (KRISTY) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z --- NEAR 16.4N 119.1W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N 119.1W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 16.1N 120.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 16.1N 121.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 16.2N 122.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 16.4N 123.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 042200Z POSITION NEAR 16.3N 119.4W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 7 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050400Z, 051000Z, 051600Z AND 052200Z.// ** WTJP31 RJTD 042100 *** WARNING 042100. WARNING VALID 052100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0612 IOKE (0612) 960 HPA AT 33.1N 147.1E EAST OF HACHIJOJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050900UTC AT 36.5N 147.6E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 052100UTC AT 41.4N 150.9E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 042100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0612 IOKE (0612) ANALYSIS PSTN 042100UTC 33.1N 147.1E GOOD MOVE NNW 15KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 160NM EAST 100NM WEST 30KT 300NM EAST 240NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 052100UTC 41.4N 150.9E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 27KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 065KT 45HF 061800UTC 49.1N 162.9E 160NM 70% MOVE NNE 33KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 69HF 071800UTC 52.5N 174.8W 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =