** WTPZ24 KNHC 202025 *** TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006 2100 UTC SUN AUG 20 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 134.2W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 125SE 100SW 175NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 134.2W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 133.9W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.1N 135.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.9N 136.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.5N 138.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.0N 139.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 23.5N 143.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 134.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN ** WTPZ44 KNHC 202026 *** TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM HECTOR DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006 200 PM PDT SUN AUG 20 2006 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A SHEARED CYCLONE WITH A PARTIALLY- EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER TO THE SOUTHWEST OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS CONTINUE TO PLUMMET AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 50 KT. A RAPID WEAKENING IS LIKELY DUE TO COLD WATER... HIGH SHEAR AND STABLE AIR. ALL SIGNS POINT TO THE TROPICAL CYCLONE DISSIPATING SOMETIME TOMORROW... AS INDICATED BY THE SHIPS AND FSU SUPERENSEMBLE MODELS. HECTOR IS MOVING BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST ABOUT AT 9 KT... AND SHOULD CONTINUE IN ABOUT THIS FASHION FOR A DAY OR SO. THEREAFTER A LEFT TURN IS LIKELY DUE TO THE CYCLONE BECOMING MUCH WEAKER AND BECOMING STEERED BY ONLY LOW-LEVEL RIDGING. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE... STILL DISCOUNTING THE MODELS THAT KEEP HECTOR AS A POWERFUL SYSTEM DURING THE PERIOD... AND IS CLOSEST TO THE BAM SHALLOW WHICH OFTEN HANDLES THESE TYPES OF WEAKENING EASTERN PACIFIC SYSTEMS EFFECTIVELY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 20.4N 134.2W 50 KT 12HR VT 21/0600Z 21.1N 135.4W 35 KT 24HR VT 21/1800Z 21.9N 136.7W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 22/0600Z 22.5N 138.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 22/1800Z 23.0N 139.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 23/1800Z 23.5N 143.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN ** WTPA32 PHFO 202049 *** TCPCP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IOKE ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006 1100 AM HST SUN AUG 20 2006 TROPICAL STORM IOKE IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE ON MONDAY BUT WILL CONTINUE ON A TRACK SAFELY AWAY FROM HAWAII. AT 1100 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IOKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 162.6 WEST OR ABOUT 760 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. IOKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM HST POSITION...11.3 N...162.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM HST. $$ FORECASTER NASH ** WTPA42 PHFO 202049 *** TCDCP2 TROPICAL STORM IOKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006 1100 AM HST SUN AUG 20 2006 IOKE CONTINUES TO STEADILY DEVELOP THIS MORNING. LOOKING PRETTY DECENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH A WELL DEVELOPED CDO AROUND THE CENTER. DVORAK FIXES ARE PRETTY MUCH A T3.0 FROM ALL THE AGENCIES...WHICH CORRELATES TO ROUGHLY 45KT STORM. UNFORTUNATELY THERE IS A PROBLEM WITH QUIKSCAT DATA TRANSMISSION BUT AN SSMI PASS AROUND 1718Z DID INDICATE SOME WINDS NEAR 40KTS ON THE EDGE OF THE CDO. THAT SAME SSMI PASS ALSO INDICATED CORE OF CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND THE WEST AND SOUTH SIDES CLOSE TO THE CENTER. COULD BE A POSSIBLE EYE WALL DEVELOPMENT. GIVEN ALL THIS...HAVE UPPED INITIAL INTENSITY TO 45 KTS. NO BIG CHANGES IN THE FORECAST PHILOSPHY. SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM CIMSS STILL SHOW IOKE SITTING IN A NICE AREA OF LESS THAN 5KT SHEAR. SSTS ARE ALSO AROUND 28C SO IT HAS PLENTY OF FUEL FOR IT TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP. GIVEN THE BUMP UP IN INTENSITY HAVE ALSO ADJUSTED INTENSITY UPWARD A BIT THRU 36HRS SO NOW HAVE IOKE REACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH IN ABOUT 24HRS. GIVEN THE PRIME CONDITIONS THIS COULD HAPPEN EARLIER. EXPECT IOKE TO CONTINUE MOVING ROUGHLY WNW OR 280 DEGREES THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO THEN BEING MAKING A SLOW TURN MORE NORTHWEST AS IT STARTS FEELING SOME INFLUENCE FROM THE UPPER TROF LOCATED NEAR AND JUST WEST OF THE DATELINE. DESPITE THE TURN...THE FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW SOME IN 3 TO 4 DAYS AS IOKE SHOULD BE GETTING CLOSE TO A COL AREA BETWEEN THAT DATELINE TROF AND ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW EXPECTED TO FORM NORTH OF HAWAII. ALTHOUGH GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO...THERE IS A LITTLE MORE SPREAD OUT AT DAYS 4 AND 5 SO CONFIDENCE IS A BIT LOWER. GUIDANCE HAS ALSO CONTINUED THE TREND OF A SLIGHT SHIFT WEST AT THE LONGER TIME RANGE SO HAVE FOLLOWED IN LINE AND STAYED FAIRLY CLOSE TO CONU THEN. FORECAST IS TO THE RIGHT OR EAST OF GFS AND UKMET BY DAY 4. OUTSIDE OF THE MINOR INTENSITY ADJUSTMENTS MENTIONED ABOVE...STICKING FAIRLY CLOSE TO PREVIOUS PACKAGE. SHIPS STILL WANTING TO WEAKEN IOKE BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...BUT ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE COIN...12Z GFDL KEEPS IOKE STRENGTHENING ALL 5 DAYS REACHING 105KT AT 120 HOURS. THIS PACKAGE PRETTY MUCH MAINTAINS PREVIOUS APPROACH DISTANCE AND TIMING TO JOHNSTON ATOLL...WITH IOKE PASSING ABOUT 125NM SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON EARLY TUESDAY. THIS WOULD PUT IT WITHIN THE RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM /35KT AND HIGHER/ WINDS. HIGHER SURF IS ALSO A POTENTIAL IMPACT AS IOKE PASSES BY. INTERESTS IN JOHNSTON ATOLL AND THE WILDLIFE REFUGE SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FROM CPHC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 11.3N 162.6W 45 KT 12HR VT 21/0600Z 12.1N 164.9W 55 KT 24HR VT 21/1800Z 13.3N 167.8W 65 KT 36HR VT 22/0600Z 14.5N 170.0W 70 KT 48HR VT 22/1800Z 15.9N 172.0W 75 KT 72HR VT 23/1800Z 18.4N 174.9W 75 KT 96HR VT 24/1800Z 20.8N 177.1W 70 KT 120HR VT 25/1800Z 22.7N 178.2W 65 KT $$ FORECASTER NASH ** WTPA22 PHFO 202049 *** TCMCP2 TROPICAL STORM IOKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012006 2100 UTC SUN AUG 20 2006 TROPICAL STORM IOKE IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE ON MONDAY BUT WILL CONTINUE ON A TRACK SAFELY AWAY FROM HAWAII. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 162.6W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 15SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 15SW 25NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 162.6W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 161.9W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.1N 164.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.3N 167.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 65NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 14.5N 170.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...115NE 60SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.9N 172.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...135NE 75SE 75SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.4N 174.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...155NE 75SE 75SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 20.8N 177.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 22.7N 178.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 162.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z $$ FORECASTER NASH ** WTPN21 PHNC 202030 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.7N 99.5W TO 11.9N 103.1W WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IM- AGERY AT 201800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 99.6W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 10.7N 099.6W, APPROXIMATELY 365 NM SOUTH OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EVIDENT IN A 200108Z QUIKSCAT PASS AND A 201702Z TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED UPON INCREASED ORGANIZATION OF THE LOW LEVEL SIGNATURE AND THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 212030Z. // ** WTPN31 PHNC 202200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z --- NEAR 20.1N 133.9W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N 134.2W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 21.1N 135.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 21.9N 136.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 22.5N 138.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 23.0N 139.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 23.5N 143.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202200Z POSITION NEAR 20.6N 134.6W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210400Z, 211000Z, 211600Z AND 212200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01C (IOKE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PHNC 202200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/202130AUG2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (IOKE) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z --- NEAR 11.0N 161.9W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.0N 161.9W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 12.1N 164.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 13.3N 167.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 14.5N 170.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 15.9N 172.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 18.4N 174.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 20.8N 177.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z --- 22.7N 178.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 202200Z POSITION NEAR 11.4N 162.9W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210400Z, 211000Z, 211600Z AND 212200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 09E (HECTOR) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. //