** WTSR20 WSSS 190600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 191200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WUKONG 0610 (0610) INITIAL TIME 191200 UTC 00HR 36.0N 129.8E 994HPA 18M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR NNW 15KM/H P+24HR 39.4N 127.0E 996HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 191200 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WUKONG 0610 (0610) INITIAL TIME 191200 UTC 00HR 36.0N 129.8E 994HPA 18M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR NNW 15KM/H P+24HR 39.4N 130.0E 996HPA 15M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 191200 *** WARNING 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0610 WUKONG (0610) 996 HPA AT 36.2N 129.9E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 37.9N 128.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 39.8N 128.8E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 42.3N 133.7E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 191200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0610 WUKONG (0610) ANALYSIS PSTN 191200UTC 36.2N 129.9E FAIR MOVE N 10KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 160NM NORTH 100NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 201200UTC 39.8N 128.8E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 10KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT 48HF 211200UTC 42.3N 133.7E 160NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPZ44 KNHC 191439 *** TCDEP4 HURRICANE HECTOR DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006 800 AM PDT SAT AUG 19 2006 SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY... THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION HAS DETERIORATED OVERNIGHT WITH A LOSS OF ANY EYE FEATURE. AN AQUA PASS AT 1030 UTC SHOWS THE EYEWALL OPEN IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE WITH SOME INDICATION FROM THE LOW CLOUD LINES THAT THE VERTICAL CIRCULATION COULD BE A LITTLE TILTED FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. T-NUMBERS FROM ALL AGENCIES ARE DROPPING AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED CONSERVATIVELY TO 85 KT. HECTOR HAS MAINTAINED STRENGTH LONGER THAN INITIALLY ANTICIPATED DUE TO A LONGER TRACK OVER WARMER WATER AND LESS SHEAR THAN FORECAST. A SLOW WEAKENING SHOULD COMMENCE LATER TODAY AS SSTS COOL BELOW 26C AND SHEAR REMAINS LOW. THE WEAKENING COULD BE A LOT FASTER TOMORROW AS SSTS DROP BELOW 24C AND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE BY MOST RELIABLE GLOBAL MODELS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE FSU SUPERENSEMBLE AND A LITTLE ABOVE SHIPS WHICH SEEMS TO BE DIAGNOSING TOO MUCH SHEAR IN THE NEAR-TERM REMINISCENT OF YESTERDAY. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN BEFORE...290/10... AND THE LAST FEW SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THE SYSTEM MIGHT BE MOVING A LITTLE MORE TO THE RIGHT THAN RECENTLY SEEN. MOST OF THE MODELS SUGGEST THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL CONTINUE MOVING GENERALLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE NOGAPS/UKMET REMAIN THE NORTH/SOUTH OUTLIERS.. THOUGH THE SOUTHWARD TRACK HAS WORKED OUT BETTER AS OF LATE. AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS A LEFTWARD TURN IS FORESEEN DUE TO ITS EXPECTED SHALLOW NATURE. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST... IN BETWEEN THE UKMET AND THE MODEL CONSENSUS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/1500Z 17.7N 130.1W 85 KT 12HR VT 20/0000Z 18.3N 131.5W 75 KT 24HR VT 20/1200Z 19.2N 133.0W 65 KT 36HR VT 21/0000Z 19.9N 134.3W 50 KT 48HR VT 21/1200Z 20.5N 135.5W 35 KT 72HR VT 22/1200Z 21.0N 138.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 23/1200Z 21.5N 142.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB ** WTPZ24 KNHC 191440 *** TCMEP4 HURRICANE HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006 1500 UTC SAT AUG 19 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 130.1W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 293 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 75SW 125NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 175SE 125SW 225NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 130.1W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 129.6W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.3N 131.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.2N 133.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.9N 134.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.5N 135.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.0N 138.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 21.5N 142.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 130.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB ** WTPZ24 KNHC 191446 CCA *** TCMEP4 HURRICANE HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006 1500 UTC SAT AUG 19 2006 ...CORRECTED FOR INITIAL MOTION... HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 130.1W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......125NE 125SE 75SW 125NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 175SE 125SW 225NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 130.1W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 129.6W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.3N 131.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.2N 133.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.9N 134.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.5N 135.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.0N 138.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 21.5N 142.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 130.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB ** WTPN31 PHNC 191600 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z --- NEAR 17.5N 130.1W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N 130.1W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 18.3N 131.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 19.2N 133.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 19.9N 134.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 20.5N 135.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 21.0N 138.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 21.5N 142.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191600Z POSITION NEAR 17.8N 130.6W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192200Z, 200400Z, 201000Z AND 201600Z. // ** WTPN31 PHNC 191000 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z --- NEAR 17.2N 128.6W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N 128.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 18.0N 132.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 18.9N 132.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 19.6N 133.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 20.3N 135.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 21.0N 137.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 21.5N 140.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191000Z POSITION NEAR 17.5N 129.9W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191600Z, 192200Z, 200400Z AND 201000Z. // ** WTPN31 PHNC 190400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (HECTOR) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z --- NEAR 16.8N 127.5W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N 127.5W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 17.6N 129.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 18.4N 131.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 19.3N 132.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 20.0N 134.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 21.0N 136.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 21.5N 139.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 22.0N 142.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190400Z POSITION NEAR 17.1N 128.2W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 27 FEET. AT 081900 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED 1584 NM W OF ACAPULCO. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191000Z, 191600Z, 192200Z AND 200400Z. // ** WTPQ20 RJTD 191500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0610 WUKONG (0610) ANALYSIS PSTN 191500UTC 36.8N 129.9E FAIR MOVE N 12KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 160NM NORTH 100NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 201500UTC 40.0N 129.2E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 09KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT 45HF 211200UTC 42.3N 133.7E 160NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =