** WTPQ20 BABJ 141800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS WUKONG 0610 (0610) INITIAL TIME 141800 UTC 00HR 27.0N 137.8E 985HPA 25M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NW 5KM/H P+24HR 28.3N 136.3E 975HPA 30M/S P+48HR 28.9N 133.8E 970HPA 33M/S P+72HR 29.3N 131.8E 960HPA 38M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 141800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS SONAMU 0611 (0611) INITIAL TIME 141800 UTC 00HR 20.2N 133.5E 995HPA 20M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR NE 20KM/H P+24HR 23.7N 137.5E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 29.2N 140.0E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 33.0N 141.4E 985HPA 25M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 141800 *** WARNING 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0610 WUKONG (0610) 985 HPA AT 26.8N 137.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 30.0N 137.3E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 31.7N 134.8E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 33.5N 132.8E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 141800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0610 WUKONG (0610) ANALYSIS PSTN 141800UTC 26.8N 137.9E FAIR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 230NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 151800UTC 30.0N 137.3E 80NM 70% MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 055KT 48HF 161800UTC 31.7N 134.8E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 060KT 72HF 171800UTC 33.5N 132.8E 220NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 060KT = ** WTPQ21 RJTD 141800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0611 SONAMU (0611) ANALYSIS PSTN 141800UTC 20.2N 133.5E FAIR MOVE ENE 12KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 130NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 151800UTC 24.7N 137.3E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 14KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT 48HF 161800UTC 29.4N 138.0E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP22 RJTD 141800 *** WARNING 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0611 SONAMU (0611) 992 HPA AT 20.2N 133.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 24.7N 137.3E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 29.4N 138.0E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 141800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 4 NAME TS 0610 WUKONG ANALYSIS POSITION 141800UTC 26.8N 137.9E MOVEMENT NE 2KT PRES/VMAX 985HPA 41KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 151800UTC 28.9N 136.5E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 975HPA 49KT 48HR POSITION 161800UTC 30.0N 134.6E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 56KT 72HR POSITION 171800UTC 31.4N 132.6E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 955HPA 64KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTKO20 RKSL 141800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 3 NAME TS 0611 SONAMU ANALYSIS POSITION 141800UTC 20.2N 133.5E MOVEMENT ENE 12KT PRES/VMAX 992HPA 35KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 151800UTC 24.5N 137.3E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT 48HR POSITION 161800UTC 29.5N 139.0E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT 72HR POSITION 171800UTC 33.5N 139.7E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 995HPA 35KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPN31 PGTW 142100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141352Z AUG 06// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11W (WUKONG) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z --- NEAR 27.1N 137.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N 137.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 28.0N 137.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 28.6N 136.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 29.1N 135.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 29.6N 134.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 31.1N 132.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 32.5N 131.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 34.0N 129.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 142100Z POSITION NEAR 27.3N 137.6E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (WUKONG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 545 NM SOUTHEAST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z, 150900Z, 151500Z AND 152100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12W (SONAMU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 142100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/141951AUG2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// 1. TROPICAL STORM 12W (SONAMU) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z --- NEAR 20.2N 133.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N 133.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 22.4N 136.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 25.7N 137.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 29.3N 138.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 32.5N 137.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 36.6N 136.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 142100Z POSITION NEAR 20.7N 134.2E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12W (SONAMU) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 485 NM SOUTH- EAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST FOR TS 12W HAS DEVIATED FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TS 12W HAS RAPIDLY TRACKED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST, WHILE TS 11W HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. AS TS 12W BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH TS 11W NEAR TAU 36, THE OUTFLOW OF TS 11W COMBINED WITH LAND INTERACTION WILL CAUSE TS 12W TO DISSIPATE BY TAU 72. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z, 150900Z, 151500Z AND 152100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W (WUKONG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPH20 RPMM 141800 *** T T T GALE WARNING 05 AT 1800 AUGUST TROPICAL STORM (SONAMU)(0611) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO ZERO POINT TWO NORTH ONE THREE THREE POINT FIVE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH EAST AT ZERO SIX METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METER PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITION AT 151800 TWO FOUR POINT FOUR NORTH ONE THREE SEVEN POINT FOUR EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 142100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0610 WUKONG (0610) ANALYSIS PSTN 142100UTC 26.9N 137.9E FAIR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 230NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 152100UTC 30.1N 136.8E 80NM 70% MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 055KT 45HF 161800UTC 31.7N 134.8E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 060KT 69HF 171800UTC 33.5N 132.8E 220NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 060KT = ** WTJP31 RJTD 142100 *** WARNING 142100. WARNING VALID 152100. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0610 WUKONG (0610) 985 HPA AT 26.9N 137.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 152100UTC AT 30.1N 136.8E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPH RPLL 141800 *** TTT GALE WARNING 05 AT 1800 14 AUGUST TROPICAL STORM (SONAMU) (0611) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 20.2N 133.5E FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AT 06MPS ROUGH VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 250KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 18MPS NEAR CENTER 13MPS WITHIN 250KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 151800 24.4N 137.4E ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 142100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0611 SONAMU (0611) ANALYSIS PSTN 142100UTC 20.3N 134.4E FAIR MOVE E 13KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 150NM SOUTH 130NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 152100UTC 25.2N 137.9E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 14KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT 45HF 161800UTC 29.4N 138.0E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =