** WTPQ20 RJTD 141200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0610 WUKONG (0610) ANALYSIS PSTN 141200UTC 26.7N 137.9E FAIR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 230NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 151200UTC 28.7N 136.6E 80NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 975HPA MXWD 055KT 48HF 161200UTC 28.8N 134.6E 150NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 965HPA MXWD 060KT 72HF 171200UTC 28.8N 133.4E 220NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 955HPA MXWD 070KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 141200 *** WARNING 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0610 WUKONG (0610) 985 HPA AT 26.7N 137.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 28.7N 136.6E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 28.8N 134.6E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 28.8N 133.4E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 141200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS WUKONG 0610 (0610) INITIAL TIME 141200 UTC 00HR 26.8N 137.8E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 250KM P12HR NW 10KM/H P+24HR 28.8N 137.0E 975HPA 30M/S P+48HR 29.1N 135.0E 970HPA 33M/S P+72HR 29.4N 133.0E 960HPA 38M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 141200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS SONAMU 0611 (0611) INITIAL TIME 141200 UTC 00HR 19.5N 132.2E 995HPA 20M/S 30KTS 150KM P12HR NE 20KM/H P+24HR 21.7N 135.7E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 24.4N 138.1E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 30.5N 141.4E 985HPA 25M/S= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 141200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0611 SONAMU (0611) ANALYSIS PSTN 141200UTC 19.8N 132.2E FAIR MOVE NE 13KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 130NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 151200UTC 23.7N 138.7E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 18KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT 48HF 161200UTC 30.0N 140.4E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP22 RJTD 141200 *** WARNING 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0611 SONAMU (0611) 992 HPA AT 19.8N 132.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 23.7N 138.7E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 30.0N 140.4E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPH20 RPMM 141200 *** T T T GALE WARNING 04 AT 1200 14 AUGUST TROPICAL STORM (SONAMU) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE NINE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE THREE TWO POINT TWO EAST MOVING NORTHEAST AT ZERO SEVEN METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 151200 TWO THREE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE THREE SIX POINT SEVEN EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA = ** WTPN32 PGTW 141500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141351Z AUG 06// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12W (SONAMU) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z --- NEAR 19.6N 132.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N 132.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z --- 21.1N 134.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 23.2N 136.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 25.6N 138.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 28.6N 139.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 32.4N 140.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 36.1N 143.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 39.4N 146.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 141500Z POSITION NEAR 20.0N 132.9E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12W (SONAMU) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-EASTWARD AT 12 KTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z AND 151500Z.REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 11W (WUKONG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 141500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141352Z AUG 06// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11W (WUKONG) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z --- NEAR 26.8N 137.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N 137.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z --- 27.2N 137.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 27.8N 136.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 28.3N 135.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 28.5N 133.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 29.2N 131.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 30.6N 130.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z --- 32.2N 128.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 141500Z POSITION NEAR 26.9N 137.4E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (WUKONG) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 545 NM SOUTHEAST OF SASEBO, JAPAN HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 15 FEET NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z AND 151500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12W (SONAMU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPH RPLL 141200 *** TTT GALE WARNING 04 AT 1200 14 AUGUST TROP STORM (SONAMU) (0611) WAS ESTMD BASED ON SAT. AND SFC DATA AT 19.8N 132.2E MVG NE AT 07MPS ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 250KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTMD CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 18MPS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 151200 23.8N 136.7E ALL HSIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTJP31 RJTD 141500 *** WARNING 141500. WARNING VALID 151500. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0610 WUKONG (0610) 985 HPA AT 26.8N 137.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151500UTC AT 28.7N 136.4E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 141500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0610 WUKONG (0610) ANALYSIS PSTN 141500UTC 26.8N 137.9E FAIR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 985HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 230NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 151500UTC 28.7N 136.4E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 975HPA MXWD 055KT 45HF 161200UTC 28.8N 134.6E 150NM 70% MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 965HPA MXWD 060KT 69HF 171200UTC 28.8N 133.4E 220NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 955HPA MXWD 070KT = ** WTPQ21 RJTD 141500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0611 SONAMU (0611) ANALYSIS PSTN 141500UTC 20.1N 132.8E FAIR MOVE NE 10KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 130NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 151500UTC 24.2N 138.9E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 18KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT 45HF 161200UTC 30.0N 140.4E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTNT80 EGRR 141749 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.08.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 141749