** WTIN20 DEMS 120855 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 12-08-2006(.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) SUBJECT: DEPRESSION OVER BAY OF BENGAL A DEPRESSION HAS FORMED OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL AND LAY CENTRED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY,THE 12TH AUGUST,2006 NEAR LAT.21.0 DEG N AND LONG 88.0 DEG E ABOUT 100 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BALASORE.THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO MOVE SLOWLY IN A WEST- NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION AND CROSS NORTH ORISSA AND ADJOINING WEST BENGAL COAST BETWEEN CHANDBALI AND DIGHA BY TOMORROW MORNING. BROKEN INTENSE TO VERY INTENCE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER NORTHWEST OF ORISSA AND ADJOINING WEST BENGAL IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM. ** WTPQ20 RJTD 121200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 121200UTC 22.5N 141.5E POOR MOVE NNW 10KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 131200UTC 25.1N 139.7E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 07KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTPN31 PGTW 121500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z --- NEAR 21.7N 140.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N 140.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z --- 24.4N 140.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 26.1N 138.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z --- 27.2N 137.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 28.1N 135.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 30.0N 134.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 121500Z POSITION NEAR 22.4N 140.6E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11W LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM SOUTH OF IWO-JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20KTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 120221Z AUG 06 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 120230) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z, 130300Z, 130900Z AND 131500Z.// ** WTPQ20 RJTD 121500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 121500UTC 22.8N 141.5E POOR MOVE NNW 07KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 131500UTC 25.6N 139.4E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 07KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTNT80 EGRR 121656 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.08.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 121656 ** WTIN20 DEMS 121640 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 12-08-2006(.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 1700 UTC (.) SUBJECT: DEPRESSION OVER BAY OF BENGAL MORNING'S DEPRESSION OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED SLIGHTLY WESTWARDS AND LAY CENTRED AT 1200 UTC OF TODAY, THE 12TH AUGUST, 2006 NEAR LAT.21.0 DEG N AND LONG 87.5 DEG E, ABOUT 80 KM SOUTHEAST OF BALASORE. THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO MOVE IN A WEST-NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION AND CROSS NORTH ORISSA COAST BETWEEN BALASORE AND CHANDBALI TONIGHT OR EARLY MORNING. BROKEN INTENSE TO VERY INTENCE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER ORISSA, NORTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH AND WEST BENGAL IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM (.)