** WTPQ20 BABJ 100000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 100000 UTC 00HR 26.5N 122.4E 915HPA 60M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H P+24HR 28.0N 116.4E 985HPA 25M/S P+48HR 28.3N 112.4E 998HPA 18M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 100000 UTC 00HR 21.5N 116.6E 998HPA 13M/S= P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTJP21 RJTD 100000 *** WARNING 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0608 SAOMAI (0608) 930 HPA AT 26.5N 122.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 27.7N 120.1E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 28.7N 117.7E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 30.8N 113.5E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 100000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608) ANALYSIS PSTN 100000UTC 26.5N 122.5E GOOD MOVE WNW 14KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 60NM EAST 50NM WEST 30KT 120NM FORECAST 24HF 110000UTC 28.7N 117.7E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT 48HF 120000UTC 30.8N 113.5E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP22 RJTD 100000 *** WARNING 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0607 MARIA (0607) 998 HPA AT 36.9N 143.9E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 37.6N 145.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 38.4N 147.1E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 100000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0607 MARIA (0607) ANALYSIS PSTN 100000UTC 36.9N 143.9E GOOD MOVE E 07KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 140NM EAST 70NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 110000UTC 38.4N 147.1E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP23 RJTD 100000 *** WARNING 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0609 BOPHA (0609) 992 HPA AT 21.2N 116.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 21.3N 113.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 21.4N 111.8E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ22 RJTD 100000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0609 BOPHA (0609) ANALYSIS PSTN 100000UTC 21.2N 116.2E FAIR MOVE WSW 07KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 90NM FORECAST 24HF 110000UTC 21.4N 111.8E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 100100 UTC 00HR 26.6N 122.2E 915HPA 60M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 100100 UTC 00HR 21.5N 116.4E 998HPA 13M/S= P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTPQ30 RJTD 100000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.11 FOR TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 100000 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL BE GRADED DOWN TO TS WITHIN 24 HOURS. TY WILL WEAKEN BECAUSE LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 100000 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 8 NAME TS 0609 BOPHA ANALYSIS POSITION 100000UTC 21.3N 116.2E MOVEMENT WSW 7KT PRES/VMAX 992HPA 37KT FORECAST 12HR POSITION 101200UTC 21.1N 114.1E WITHIN 0NM PRES 998HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ31 RJTD 100000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.11 FOR TS 0607 MARIA (0607) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 100000 UTC IS GOOD. TS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TS WILL BE GRADED DOWN TO TD WITHIN 12 HOURS. TS WILL WEAKEN BECAUSE CYCLONE WILL MOVE INTO LOW SST AREA FI-NUMBER WILL BE 1.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ32 RJTD 100000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 9 FOR TS 0609 BOPHA (0609) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 100000 UTC IS FAIR. TS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TS WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TS WILL BE GRADED DOWN TO TD WITHIN 12 HOURS. TS WILL WEAKEN BECAUSE ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTER HAS SEPARATED FROM LOW LEVEL CIRCURATION CENTER AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE NEAR CYCLONE CENTER HAS BECOME WARMER. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 1.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ20 VHHH 100145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 100000 UTC, TYPHOON SAOMAI (0608) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 920 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (26.5 N) ONE TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (122.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 110 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (28.4 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 100145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 100000 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION BOPHA (0609) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTSS20 VHHH 100145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 100000 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION BOPHA (0609) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 100200 UTC 00HR 26.7N 122.0E 915HPA 60M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 100200 UTC 00HR 21.4N 116.2E 998HPA 13M/S= P12HR WSW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100230 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 100230 UTC 00HR 26.7N 121.9E 915HPA 60M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H= ** WTPN31 PGTW 100300 *** PASS TO OFFICE CODES: DIRNSA FT GEORGE G MEADE MD//P313/Q332/WWEA// NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/091953ZAUG2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 08W (SAOMAI) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z --- NEAR 26.5N 122.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.5N 122.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 27.5N 119.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 28.2N 117.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 28.9N 115.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 100300Z POSITION NEAR 26.8N 121.9E. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 08W (SAOMAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 105 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TAIPEI HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 36 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (BOPHA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN33 PGTW 100300 *** PASS TO OFFICE CODES: DIRNSA FT GEORGE G MEADE MD//P313/Q332/WWEA// NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/091951ZAUG2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (BOPHA) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z --- NEAR 21.3N 116.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N 116.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 20.7N 114.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 20.4N 112.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 20.0N 111.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100300Z POSITION NEAR 21.2N 116.1E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10W (BOPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST- WARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIG- NIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z. REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 08W (SAOMAI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 100300 UTC 00HR 26.8N 121.8E 915HPA 60M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 100300 UTC 00HR 21.4N 116.2E 998HPA 13M/S= P12HR W 10KM/H= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 100300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608) ANALYSIS PSTN 100300UTC 26.8N 121.8E GOOD MOVE WNW 13KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 60NM EAST 50NM WEST 30KT 120NM FORECAST 24HF 110300UTC 29.0N 117.1E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 45HF 120000UTC 30.8N 113.5E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP31 RJTD 100300 *** WARNING 100300. WARNING VALID 110300. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0608 SAOMAI (0608) 930 HPA AT 26.8N 121.8E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101500UTC AT 28.0N 119.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110300UTC AT 29.0N 117.1E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 100300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0607 MARIA (0607) ANALYSIS PSTN 100300UTC 37.1N 144.1E GOOD MOVE ENE 07KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 140NM EAST 70NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 110300UTC 38.5N 147.2E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100330 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 100330 UTC 00HR 26.8N 121.7E 915HPA 60M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H= ** WTPQ22 RJTD 100300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0609 BOPHA (0609) ANALYSIS PSTN 100300UTC 21.2N 116.1E FAIR MOVE WSW 06KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 80NM FORECAST 24HF 110300UTC 21.4N 112.6E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 100400 UTC 00HR 26.8N 121.6E 915HPA 60M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 100400 UTC 00HR 21.5N 116.1E 998HPA 13M/S= P12HR W 10KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100430 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 100430 UTC 00HR 26.9N 121.5E 915HPA 60M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H= ** WTPQ20 VHHH 100445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 100300 UTC, TYPHOON SAOMAI (0608) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 930 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (26.8 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 13 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 100 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110300 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (28.8 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 100445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 100300 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION BOPHA (0609) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110300 UTC TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (113.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTSS20 VHHH 100445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 100300 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION BOPHA (0609) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110300 UTC TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (113.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 100500 UTC 00HR 26.9N 121.4E 915HPA 60M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 100500 UTC 00HR 21.5N 116.0E 998HPA 13M/S= P12HR W 10KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 100530 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST SUPER TY SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 100530 UTC 00HR 27.0N 121.3E 915HPA 60M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H= ** WTNT80 EGRR 100546 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.08.2006 NO TROPICAL STORMS ARE ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE AREA DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 100546