** WTPQ20 BABJ 090000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 090000 UTC 00HR 23.9N 128.5E 955HPA 40M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H P+24HR 26.2N 123.5E 950HPA 45M/S P+48HR 27.9N 117.5E 995HPA 20M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 090000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MARIA 0607 (0607) INITIAL TIME 090000 UTC 00HR 34.5N 139.5E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 250KM P12HR ENE 25KM/H P+24HR 36.0N 141.3E 995HPA 18M/S P+48HR 37.8N 114.2E 998HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 090000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 090000 UTC 00HR 22.8N 120.0E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 130KM P12HR WSW 20KM/H P+24HR 22.2N 117.8E 995HPA 18M/S P+48HR 20.8N 115.0E 995HPA 18M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 090000 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MARIA 0607 (0607) INITIAL TIME 090000 UTC 00HR 34.5N 139.5E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 250KM P12HR ENE 25KM/H P+24HR 36.0N 141.3E 995HPA 18M/S P+48HR 37.8N 144.2E 998HPA 15M/S= ** WTJP22 RJTD 090000 *** WARNING 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0607 MARIA (0607) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 996 HPA AT 34.5N 139.8E EASTERN JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 35.9N 141.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 37.3N 143.5E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 39.7N 146.2E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 090000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0607 MARIA (0607) DOWNGRADED FROM STS ANALYSIS PSTN 090000UTC 34.5N 139.8E GOOD MOVE NE 15KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 110NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 100000UTC 37.3N 143.5E 100NM 70% MOVE NE 10KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 040KT 48HF 110000UTC 39.7N 146.2E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP21 RJTD 090000 *** WARNING 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0608 SAOMAI (0608) 950 HPA AT 23.9N 128.4E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 17 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 25.5N 125.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 26.2N 122.1E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 27.3N 117.0E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 28.3N 112.4E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 090000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608) ANALYSIS PSTN 090000UTC 23.9N 128.4E GOOD MOVE WNW 17KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 160NM EAST 100NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 100000UTC 26.2N 122.1E 80NM 70% MOVE W 15KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT 48HF 110000UTC 27.3N 117.0E 150NM 70% MOVE W 11KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 055KT 72HF 120000UTC 28.3N 112.4E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTKO20 RKSL 090000 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 6 NAME TS 0609 BOPHA ANALYSIS POSITION 090000UTC 22.7N 120.6E MOVEMENT WSW 9KT PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 100000UTC 22.1N 118.7E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 995HPA 37KT 48HR POSITION 110000UTC 21.4N 117.0E WITHIN 0NM PRES 998HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ22 RJTD 090000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0609 BOPHA (0609) ANALYSIS PSTN 090000UTC 22.2N 120.1E FAIR MOVE WSW 12KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 90NM FORECAST 24HF 100000UTC 21.4N 117.9E 80NM 70% MOVE WSW SLOWLY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 48HF 110000UTC 21.0N 116.6E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP23 RJTD 090000 *** WARNING 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0609 BOPHA (0609) 992 HPA AT 22.2N 120.1E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 21.4N 117.9E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 21.0N 116.6E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ31 RJTD 090000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 9 FOR TS 0607 MARIA (0607) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 090000 UTC IS GOOD. TS WILL DECELERATE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS THEN MOVE TO NORTH-NORTHEAST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TS WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ30 RJTD 090000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 9 FOR TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 090000 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN DECELERATE. TY WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN MOVE TO WEST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 090100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 090100 UTC 00HR 22.8N 119.8E 992HPA 20M/S 30KTS 120KM P12HR WSW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ32 RJTD 090000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 7 FOR TS 0609 BOPHA (0609) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 090000 UTC IS GOOD. TS WILL DECELERATE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TS WILL MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TS WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTSS20 VHHH 090145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 090000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM BOPHA (0609) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (22.7 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (120.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100000 UTC TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (21.2 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (117.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (115.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120000 UTC TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (114.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 090145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 090000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM BOPHA (0609) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (22.7 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (120.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100000 UTC TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (21.2 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (117.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (115.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120000 UTC TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (114.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 090200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 090200 UTC 00HR 22.7N 119.7E 992HPA 20M/S 30KTS 120KM P12HR WSW 20KM/H= ** WTPN31 PGTW 090300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/090152ZAUG2006// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/090153ZAUG2006// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 08W (SAOMAI) WARNING NR 018 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z --- NEAR 23.9N 128.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N 128.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 25.4N 125.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 26.3N 122.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 26.7N 119.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 26.7N 116.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090300Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 127.7E. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (SAOMAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND 100300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 09W (MARIA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 10W (BOPHA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 ** WTPN32 PGTW 090300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090151ZAUG2006// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090153ZAUG2006// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS 1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MARIA) WARNING NR 014 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z --- NEAR 34.5N 139.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 34.5N 139.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 36.2N 143.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 40.1N 146.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 090300Z POSITION NEAR 34.9N 140.4E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (MARIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM SOUTH OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. BASED ON A 082052Z QUIKSCAT ** WTPN33 PGTW 090300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090151ZAUG2006// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090152ZAUG2006// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (BOPHA) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z --- NEAR 23.1N 120.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N 120.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 22.5N 118.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 22.0N 117.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 21.9N 116.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 21.9N 114.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z --- 22.0N 112.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z --- 22.2N 111.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090300Z POSITION NEAR 22.9N 119.6E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W (BOPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 35 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF KAOSHIUNG, TAIWAN HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND 100300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 08W (SAOMAI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 09W (MARIA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 090300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 090300 UTC 00HR 22.7N 119.4E 992HPA 20M/S 30KTS 120KM P12HR WSW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 090300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 090300 UTC 00HR 24.2N 127.7E 950HPA 45M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 090300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0607 MARIA (0607) ANALYSIS PSTN 090300UTC 35.2N 140.6E GOOD MOVE ENE 19KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 110NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 100300UTC 37.7N 144.0E 100NM 70% MOVE NE 07KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 040KT 45HF 110000UTC 39.7N 146.2E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP31 RJTD 090300 *** WARNING 090300. WARNING VALID 100300. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0608 SAOMAI (0608) 945 HPA AT 24.3N 127.6E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 17 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091500UTC AT 25.7N 124.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100300UTC AT 26.4N 121.2E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 090300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608) ANALYSIS PSTN 090300UTC 24.3N 127.6E GOOD MOVE WNW 17KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 60NM 30KT 160NM EAST 100NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 100300UTC 26.4N 121.2E 80NM 70% MOVE W 14KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 45HF 110000UTC 27.3N 117.0E 150NM 70% MOVE W 11KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 055KT 69HF 120000UTC 28.3N 112.4E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ22 RJTD 090300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0609 BOPHA (0609) ANALYSIS PSTN 090300UTC 22.2N 119.5E FAIR MOVE W 12KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 90NM FORECAST 24HF 100300UTC 21.1N 117.0E 80NM 70% MOVE WSW 06KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 45HF 110000UTC 21.0N 116.6E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 090400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 090400 UTC 00HR 22.7N 119.1E 992HPA 20M/S 30KTS 120KM P12HR WSW 20KM/H= ** WTPH RPLL 090000 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 05 AT 0000 09 TYPHOON (SAOMAI)(0608) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO THREE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT ZERO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO EIGHT METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN FOUR ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SIX SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAX WINDS THREE NINE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN FOUR ZERO . ERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 10000 TWO SIX POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT FIVE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTPH RPLL 090000 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 05 AT 0000 09 TYPHOON (SAOMAI)(0608) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO THREE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT ZERO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO EIGHT METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN FOUR ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SIX SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAX WINDS THREE NINE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN FOUR ZERO . ERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 10000 TWO SIX POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT FIVE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTSS20 VHHH 090445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 090300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM BOPHA (0609) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (22.7 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (119.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100300 UTC TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (22.0 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110300 UTC TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (115.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120300 UTC TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (113.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 090445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 090300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM BOPHA (0609) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (22.7 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (119.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100300 UTC TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (22.0 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110300 UTC TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (115.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120300 UTC TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (113.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 090500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 090500 UTC 00HR 22.7N 119.0E 992HPA 20M/S 30KTS 120KM P12HR WSW 20KM/H= ** WTNT80 EGRR 090528 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 09.08.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 090528