** WTJP23 RJTD 080600 *** WARNING 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0609 BOPHA (0609) 985 HPA AT 23.5N 123.9E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 23.4N 121.6E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 22.2N 120.2E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 21.3N 118.0E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ22 RJTD 080600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0609 BOPHA (0609) ANALYSIS PSTN 080600UTC 23.5N 123.9E GOOD MOVE W 11KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 090600UTC 22.2N 120.2E 80NM 70% MOVE SW 08KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 48HF 100600UTC 21.3N 118.0E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPQ21 RJTD 080600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0607 MARIA (0607) ANALYSIS PSTN 080600UTC 33.1N 136.5E GOOD MOVE N SLOWLY PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 090600UTC 35.1N 137.2E 90NM 70% MOVE NNE SLOWLY PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT 48HF 100600UTC 36.0N 139.7E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP22 RJTD 080600 *** WARNING 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0607 MARIA (0607) 985 HPA AT 33.1N 136.5E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 34.0N 136.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 35.1N 137.2E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 36.0N 139.7E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ32 RJTD 080600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 6 FOR STS 0609 BOPHA (0609) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 080600 UTC IS GOOD. STS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN DECELERATE. STS WILL MOVE WEST FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN MOVE TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST STS WILL BE GRADED DOWN TO TS WITHIN 18 HOURS. STS WILL WEAKEN BECAUSE LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN 18 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 080600 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 7 NAME STS 0607 MARIA ANALYSIS POSITION 080600UTC 33.1N 136.4E MOVEMENT N 5KT PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 090600UTC 35.1N 136.0E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT 48HR POSITION 100600UTC 36.9N 137.5E WITHIN 0NM PRES 1000HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 080600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 080600 UTC 00HR 23.2N 124.0E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H P+24HR 21.4N 120.3E 995HPA 20M/S P+48HR 19.5N 117.7E 998HPA 16M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 080600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS MARIA 0607 (0607) INITIAL TIME 080600 UTC 00HR 33.1N 136.4E 980HPA 28M/S 30KTS 250KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR NNW 10KM/H P+24HR 35.6N 136.0E 996HPA 18M/S P+48HR 39.5N 140.2E 1000HPA 16M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 080600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 080600 UTC 00HR 21.6N 133.0E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR NW 25KM/H P+24HR 24.7N 128.2E 965HPA 38M/S P+48HR 26.5N 122.8E 960HPA 40M/S P+72HR 28.1N 117.3E 985HPA 25M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 080600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608) ANALYSIS PSTN 080600UTC 21.6N 132.9E GOOD MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 150NM FORECAST 24HF 090600UTC 25.2N 127.0E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 16KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 48HF 100600UTC 27.1N 120.9E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 14KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 72HF 110600UTC 29.2N 114.9E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 14KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 080600 *** WARNING 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0608 SAOMAI (0608) 960 HPA AT 21.6N 132.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 23.4N 130.1E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 25.2N 127.0E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 27.1N 120.9E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 29.2N 114.9E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 080600 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 7 NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI ANALYSIS POSITION 080600UTC 21.6N 132.9E MOVEMENT WNW 12KT PRES/VMAX 960HPA 68KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 090600UTC 25.4N 126.7E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 955HPA 76KT 48HR POSITION 100600UTC 27.5N 120.6E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 955HPA 76KT 72HR POSITION 110600UTC 29.6N 115.0E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 45KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 080400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 080400 UTC 00HR 23.2N 124.3E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 080700 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 080700 UTC 00HR 23.2N 123.8E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 080500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 080500 UTC 00HR 23.2N 124.2E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 080100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 080100 UTC 00HR 23.0N 124.8E 995HPA 20M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 080200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 080200 UTC 00HR 23.1N 124.6E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 VHHH 080745 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 080600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM BOPHA (0609) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (23.3 N) ONE TWO THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (123.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR WEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 80 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090600 UTC TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (22.6 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (121.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100600 UTC TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (20.8 N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (118.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110600 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 080800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 080800 UTC 00HR 23.2N 123.6E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTPQ31 RJTD 080600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 8 FOR STS 0607 MARIA (0607) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 080600 UTC IS GOOD. STS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS DECELERATE. STS WILL MOVE NORTH FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN MOVE TO NORTHEAST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST STS WILL BE GRADED DOWN TO TS WITHIN 24 HOURS. STS WILL WEAKEN BECAUSE ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTER HAS SEPARATED FROM LOW LEVEL CIRCURATION CENTER FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ30 RJTD 080600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 8 FOR TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 080600 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPN32 PGTW 080900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080751ZAUG2006// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080753ZAUG2006// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS 1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (MARIA) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z --- NEAR 33.0N 136.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 33.0N 136.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 34.0N 136.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 35.0N 136.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 36.1N 137.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 37.0N 138.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 38.6N 142.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z POSITION NEAR 33.3N 136.4E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (MARIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH- WEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z, 090300Z AND 090900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08W (SAOMAI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10W (BOPHA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 080900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/080752ZAUG2006// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/080753ZAUG2006// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 08W (SAOMAI) WARNING NR 015 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z --- NEAR 21.7N 132.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N 132.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 23.4N 129.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 24.8N 126.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 25.9N 123.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 26.6N 120.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 27.7N 115.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 080900Z POSITION NEAR 22.1N 132.0E. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (SAOMAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM SOUTH- EAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z, 090300Z AND 090900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09W (MARIA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROP- ICAL CYCLONE 10W (BOPHA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN33 PGTW 080900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080751ZAUG2006// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080752ZAUG2006// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (BOPHA) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z --- NEAR 23.5N 123.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 123.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 23.9N 121.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 24.2N 120.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 24.7N 118.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 25.1N 116.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 080900Z POSITION NEAR 23.6N 123.3E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W (BOPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHEAST TAIPEI, TAIWAN HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE NORTHWARD TRACK CHANGE AND ACCELERATION IS DUE TO A CHANGE IN REASONING REGARDING THE IN- FLUENCE OF TY 08W. PREVIOUS FORECASTS HAVE INDICATED A SOUTH- WESTWARD TURN IN THE NEAR PERIOD AND A SLOWING OF TRACK. NEW GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE INFLUENCE OF TY 08W WILL BE MIN- IMAL AT BEST, RESULTING IN A NEAR WESTRUNNER INTO TAIWAN AND THEN MAINLAND CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z, 090300Z AND 090900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08W (SAOMAI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 09W (MARIA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTIN20 DEMS 080858 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 08-08-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE COULDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF NORTH EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST ARABIAN SEA AND ALSO OVER ANDAMAN SEA,PARTS OF NORTH EAST ,EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTH EAST BAY OF BENGAL. RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 33 DEG.NORTH OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTPQ20 BABJ 080900 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 080900 UTC 00HR 23.2N 123.4E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H P+24HR 21.6N 119.9E 995HPA 20M/S P+48HR 19.4N 117.5E 998HPA 16M/S= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 080900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0607 MARIA (0607) ANALYSIS PSTN 080900UTC 33.5N 137.0E GOOD MOVE NE 08KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 090900UTC 34.8N 137.5E 90NM 70% MOVE NNE SLOWLY PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT 45HF 100600UTC 36.0N 139.7E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP32 RJTD 080900 *** WARNING 080900. WARNING VALID 090900. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0607 MARIA (0607) 990 HPA AT 33.5N 137.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 082100UTC AT 34.1N 137.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090900UTC AT 34.8N 137.5E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ22 RJTD 080900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0609 BOPHA (0609) ANALYSIS PSTN 080900UTC 23.5N 123.3E GOOD MOVE W 11KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 090900UTC 22.0N 119.8E 80NM 70% MOVE SW 09KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 45HF 100600UTC 21.3N 118.0E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP33 RJTD 080900 *** WARNING 080900. WARNING VALID 090900. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0609 BOPHA (0609) 985 HPA AT 23.5N 123.3E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 082100UTC AT 23.2N 121.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090900UTC AT 22.0N 119.8E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTJP31 RJTD 080900 *** WARNING 080900. WARNING VALID 090900. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0608 SAOMAI (0608) 960 HPA AT 22.1N 132.1E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 082100UTC AT 23.7N 129.6E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090900UTC AT 25.4N 126.5E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 080900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608) ANALYSIS PSTN 080900UTC 22.1N 132.1E GOOD MOVE WNW 14KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 150NM FORECAST 24HF 090900UTC 25.4N 126.5E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 16KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 45HF 100600UTC 27.1N 120.9E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 14KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 69HF 110600UTC 29.2N 114.9E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 14KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 040KT = ** WTPH20 RPMM 080600 *** TTT GALE WARNING 12 AT 0600 08 AUGUST TROPICAL STORM (0609) {BOPHA} WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO THREE POINT THREE NORTH ONE TWO THREE POINT NINE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST SOUTHWEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE ONE HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS TWO THREE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST AT 090600 TWO TWO POINT SIX NORTH ONE TWO ZERO POINT NINE EAST AND AT 100600 TWO ONE POINT TWO NORTH ONE ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANIL WEATHER MANILA = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 081000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 081000 UTC 00HR 23.2N 123.2E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H= ** WTPH RPLL 080600 *** TTT GALE WARNING 12 AT 0600 08 AUGUST TROPICAL STORM (0609) (BOPHA) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO THREE POINT THREE NORTH ONE TWO THREE POINT NINE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST SOUTHWEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE ONE HECTO- PASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS TWO THREE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 090600 TWO TWO POINT SIX NORTH ONE TWO ZERO POINT NINE EAST AND AT 100600 TWO ONE POINT TWO NORTH ONE ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTPH20 RPMM 080600 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 02 AT 0600 08 TYPHOON (0608) {SAOMAI} WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO ONE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE THREE TWO POINT NINE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO SIX METER PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SEVEN TWO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS THREE SIX METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 090600 TWO FOUR POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO SEVEN POINT EIGHT EAST AND AT 100600 TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA = ** WTPH RPLL 080600 *** TTT WARNING 02 AT 0600 08 TYPHOON (0608) (SAOMAI) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO ONE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE THREE TWO POINT NINE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO SIX METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SEVEN TWO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS THREE SIX METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WIHTIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 090600 TWO FOUR POINT EIGHT NROTH ONE TWO SEVEN POINT EIGHT EAST AND AT 100600 TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTPQ20 VHHH 081045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 080900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM BOPHA (0609) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (23.3 N) ONE TWO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (123.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR WEST AT ABOUT 7 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 80 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090900 UTC TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (120.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100900 UTC TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (118.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110900 UTC DISSIPATED OVER SEA. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 081100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 081100 UTC 00HR 23.2N 123.0E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR W 20KM/H=