** WTPQ20 BABJ 071200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 071200 UTC 00HR 23.1N 127.2E 985HPA 23M/S 30KTS 250KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 23.1N 124.6E 985HPA 25M/S P+48HR 22.5N 121.7E 990HPA 23M/S P+72HR 21.5N 118.4E 995HPA 20M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 071200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 071200 UTC 00HR 19.5N 136.7E 975HPA 33M/S 30KTS 350KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR NW 20KM/H P+24HR 22.1N 133.0E 970HPA 35M/S P+48HR 24.5N 128.6E 965HPA 38M/S P+72HR 26.5N 122.8E 960HPA 40M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 071200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY MARIA 0607 (0607) INITIAL TIME 071200 UTC 00HR 31.1N 137.9E 975HPA 33M/S 30KTS 300KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR NW 20KM/H P+24HR 32.5N 135.7E 975HPA 33M/S P+48HR 35.1N 133.7E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 38.1N 133.0E 990HPA 23M/S= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 071200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0607 MARIA (0607) ANALYSIS PSTN 071200UTC 31.2N 137.9E GOOD MOVE NNW 06KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 140NM FORECAST 24HF 081200UTC 33.9N 136.4E 90NM 70% MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 48HF 091200UTC 35.2N 136.5E 160NM 70% MOVE N SLOWLY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 72HF 101200UTC 37.4N 136.6E 290NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP22 RJTD 071200 *** WARNING 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0607 MARIA (0607) 975 HPA AT 31.2N 137.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 32.7N 136.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 33.9N 136.4E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 35.2N 136.5E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 37.4N 136.6E WITH 290 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 071200 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 3 NAME STS 0609 BOPHA ANALYSIS POSITION 071200UTC 23.2N 127.3E MOVEMENT NW 7KT PRES/VMAX 980HPA 54KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 081200UTC 23.5N 123.9E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 975HPA 58KT 48HR POSITION 091200UTC 23.3N 121.5E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 970HPA 62KT 72HR POSITION 101200UTC 22.7N 118.8E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 980HPA 54KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ22 RJTD 071200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0609 BOPHA (0609) ANALYSIS PSTN 071200UTC 23.0N 127.3E FAIR MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 120NM FORECAST 24HF 081200UTC 22.6N 124.2E 80NM 70% MOVE WSW 07KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 48HF 091200UTC 21.8N 122.2E 150NM 70% MOVE WSW SLOWLY PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 72HF 101200UTC 20.9N 120.1E 220NM 70% MOVE WSW SLOWLY PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT = ** WTJP23 RJTD 071200 *** WARNING 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0609 BOPHA (0609) 985 HPA AT 23.0N 127.3E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 23.0N 125.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 22.6N 124.2E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 21.8N 122.2E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 20.9N 120.1E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 071200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608) ANALYSIS PSTN 071200UTC 19.5N 136.7E FAIR MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 200NM FORECAST 24HF 081200UTC 22.1N 132.4E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 48HF 091200UTC 25.1N 128.6E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 11KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 72HF 101200UTC 27.5N 125.4E 220NM 70% MOVE NW 09KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 071200 *** WARNING 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0608 SAOMAI (0608) 970 HPA AT 19.5N 136.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 22.1N 132.4E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 25.1N 128.6E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 27.5N 125.4E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPN32 PGTW 071500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZAUG2006// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071353ZAUG2006// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS 1. TYPHOON 09W (MARIA) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 09W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z --- NEAR 31.1N 137.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 31.1N 137.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 32.6N 136.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 33.8N 135.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 35.0N 135.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 36.0N 136.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 38.0N 139.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 41.1N 146.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071500Z POSITION NEAR 31.5N 136.9E. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (MARIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z, 080900Z AND 081500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 08W (SAOMAI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 10W (BOPHA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 071500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/071352ZAUG2006// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/071353ZAUG2006// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 08W (SAOMAI) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z --- NEAR 19.6N 136.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N 136.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 21.4N 134.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 23.0N 131.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 24.2N 128.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 25.3N 126.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 27.2N 121.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 28.7N 116.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 071500Z POSITION NEAR 20.0N 136.1E. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (SAOMAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 630 NM SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z, 080900Z AND 081500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 09W (MARIA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 10W (BOPHA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN33 PGTW 071500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZAUG2006// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071352ZAUG2006// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (BOPHA) WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z --- NEAR 23.0N 127.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N 127.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 23.3N 125.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 23.5N 124.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 23.1N 122.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 22.9N 121.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 23.4N 118.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 23.6N 115.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 23.8N 113.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 071500Z POSITION NEAR 23.1N 126.9E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W (BOPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM SOUTH OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z, 080900Z AND 081500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 08W (SAOMAI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON 09W (MARIA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 071500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BOPHA 0609 (0609) INITIAL TIME 071500 UTC 00HR 23.3N 126.9E 995HPA 18M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR NW 15KM/H= ** WTPH RPLL 071200 *** TTT GALE WARNING 09 AT 1200 07 AUG. TROP STORM (0609) (BOPHA) WAS ESTMD BASED ON SAT. AND SFC DATA AT 23.0N 127.2E FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT 03MPS ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 250KMS RADIS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 23MPS NEAR CENTER 13MPS WITHIN 250KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 081200 23.2N 123.9E AT 091200 23.3N 120.6E AND AT 101200 22.3N 117.4E ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTPQ21 RJTD 071500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0607 MARIA (0607) ANALYSIS PSTN 071500UTC 31.4N 137.7E GOOD MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 140NM FORECAST 24HF 081500UTC 33.9N 136.7E 90NM 70% MOVE NNW 06KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 45HF 091200UTC 35.2N 136.5E 160NM 70% MOVE N SLOWLY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 69HF 101200UTC 37.4N 136.6E 290NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP32 RJTD 071500 *** WARNING 071500. WARNING VALID 081500. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0607 MARIA (0607) 975 HPA AT 31.4N 137.7E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080300UTC AT 32.7N 137.1E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081500UTC AT 33.9N 136.7E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPH20 RPMM 071200 *** T T T GALE WARNING 09 AT 1200 07 AUGUST TROPICAL STORM (0609) (BOPHA) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO THREE POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO SEVEN POINT TWO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE ONE HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS TWO THREE METER PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 081200 TWO THREE POINT TWO NORTH ONE ONE TWO THREE POINT NINE EAST AT 091200 TWO THREE POINT THREE NORTH ONE TWO ZERO POINT SIX EAST AND AT 101200 TWO TWO POINT THREE NORTH ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPQ22 RJTD 071500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0609 BOPHA (0609) ANALYSIS PSTN 071500UTC 23.1N 126.8E FAIR MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 30KT 110NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH FORECAST 24HF 081500UTC 22.3N 123.6E 80NM 70% MOVE WSW 08KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 45HF 091200UTC 21.8N 122.2E 150NM 70% MOVE WSW SLOWLY PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 69HF 101200UTC 20.9N 120.1E 220NM 70% MOVE WSW SLOWLY PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT = ** WTJP33 RJTD 071500 *** WARNING 071500. WARNING VALID 081500. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0609 BOPHA (0609) 985 HPA AT 23.1N 126.8E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080300UTC AT 23.0N 125.2E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081500UTC AT 22.3N 123.6E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTJP31 RJTD 071500 *** WARNING 071500. WARNING VALID 081500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0608 SAOMAI (0608) 970 HPA AT 19.7N 136.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081500UTC AT 23.0N 131.1E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 071500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608) ANALYSIS PSTN 071500UTC 19.7N 136.1E FAIR MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 200NM FORECAST 24HF 081500UTC 23.0N 131.1E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 14KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 45HF 091200UTC 25.1N 128.6E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 11KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 69HF 101200UTC 27.5N 125.4E 220NM 70% MOVE NW 09KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT = ** WTNT80 EGRR 071738 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.08.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 071738