** WTPQ31 PGUM 051807 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 400 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 6 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI SLOWLY INTENSIFYING... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN IN THE MARIANA ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS. AT 350 AM GUAM LST...1750Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 45 MILES EAST OF GUAM 50 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA 110 MILES SOUTH OF TINIAN 120 MILES SOUTH OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. THE FORWARDING SPEED IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI IS FORECAST TO PASS VERY CLOSE TO ROTA THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS FOR DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE COMPLETED AT THIS TIME. REPEATING THE 350 AM POSITION...13.3 DEGREES NORTH AND 145.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 6 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 6 AM GUAM LST. $$ AHN ** WTPQ20 BABJ 051800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS SAOMAI 0608 (0608) INITIAL TIME 051800 UTC 00HR 12.5N 145.4E 998HPA 18M/S 30KTS 280KM P12HR NW 20KM/H P+24HR 16.0N 142.9E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 19.8N 139.4E 985HPA 28M/S P+72HR 23.5N 135.8E 975HPA 33M/S= ** WTJP22 RJTD 051800 *** WARNING 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0607 MARIA (0607) 996 HPA AT 26.4N 143.8E SOUTHEAST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 27.2N 141.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 28.2N 139.6E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 29.9N 135.0E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 31.0N 131.1E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 051800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0607 MARIA (0607) ANALYSIS PSTN 051800UTC 26.4N 143.8E FAIR MOVE WNW 14KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 061800UTC 28.2N 139.6E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 48HF 071800UTC 29.9N 135.0E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 72HF 081800UTC 31.0N 131.1E 220NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 051800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS MARIA 0607 (0607) INITIAL TIME 051800 UTC 00HR 26.3N 144.2E 998HPA 18M/S 30KTS 150KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 27.6N 139.8E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 28.8N 134.6E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 29.6N 129.6E 980HPA 30M/S= ** WTPQ51 PGUM 051855 *** TCEPQ1 TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 455 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 6 2006 AT 452 AM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI /08W/ WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 30 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM...35 MILES SOUTH OF ROTA...100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN AND 110 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. $$ STANKO ** WTPQ81 PGUM 051902 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-052100- TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 500 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 6 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI IS VERY CLOSE TO GUAM AND ROTA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 450 AM GUAM LST...1850Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 30 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM 35 MILES SOUTH OF ROTA 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN 110 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. ...GUAM..ROTA..TINIAN AND SAIPAN... PREPARATIONS FOR DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. KEEP OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS SECURED. SMALL BOATS SHOULD REMAIN IN SAFE HAVEN. TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI IS FORECAST TO PASS VERY CLOSE TO ROTA THIS SUNDAY MORNING. GUAM IS IN CONDITION OF READINESS 1. ALL INBOUND AND OUTBOUND CONTINENTAL EXPRESS FLIGHTS HAVE BEEN CANCELED FOR TODAY. ALL OTHER FLIGHTS ARE SCHEDULED ON TIME. THE AIRPORT AUTHORITY CONTINUES TO OPERATE THE AIRPORT. FOR MORE INFORMATION...CONTACT THE JOINT INFORMATION CENTER AT 475-9701 THROUGH 9705. IN CNMI...ROTA IS IN TROPICAL STORM CONDITION 1. TINIAN AND SAIPAN REMAIN IN TROPICAL STORM CONDITION 3. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. BE PREPARED FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL LIKELY BECOME HAZARDOUS AT 9 TO 12 FEET TODAY...AND CONTINUE AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY. LOCAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TO OCCUR. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 7 AM GUAM LST. $$ AHN ** WTKO20 RKSL 051800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2 NAME TS 0607 MARIA ANALYSIS POSITION 051800UTC 26.3N 143.9E MOVEMENT W 11KT PRES/VMAX 996HPA 33KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 061800UTC 27.5N 139.5E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 45KT 48HR POSITION 071800UTC 28.4N 135.4E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 980HPA 58KT 72HR POSITION 081800UTC 29.4N 130.9E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ20 RJTD 051800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0608 SAOMAI (0608) ANALYSIS PSTN 051800UTC 12.8N 145.5E FAIR MOVE NW 14KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 170NM FORECAST 24HF 061800UTC 17.7N 142.6E 80NM 70% MOVE NNW 14KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 48HF 071800UTC 21.6N 139.1E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 12KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 72HF 081800UTC 25.3N 135.7E 220NM 70% MOVE NW 12KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 051800 *** WARNING 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0608 SAOMAI (0608) 996 HPA AT 12.8N 145.5E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 17.7N 142.6E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 21.6N 139.1E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 25.3N 135.7E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 051800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2 NAME TS 0608 SAOMAI ANALYSIS POSITION 051800UTC 12.5N 145.3E MOVEMENT NW 11KT PRES/VMAX 998HPA 33KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 061800UTC 16.3N 142.0E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 45KT 48HR POSITION 071800UTC 19.9N 138.0E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 980HPA 52KT 72HR POSITION 081800UTC 23.2N 133.8E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 970HPA 58KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ51 PGUM 051957 *** TCEPQ1 TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 556 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 6 2006 AT 553 AM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI /08W/ WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AIR FORCE BASE GUAM... 20 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ROTA...90 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN AND 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. $$ STANKO ** WTPQ31 PGUM 052005 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4B NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 600 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 6 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI PASSING BETWEEN GUAM AND ROTA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN IN THE MARIANA ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS. AT 550 AM GUAM LST...1950Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUAM 20 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ROTA 90 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. THE FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 550 AM POSITION...13.8 DEGREES NORTH AND 145.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES AT 10 AM AND 12 NOON GUAM LST. $$ AHN ** WTPN31 PGTW 052100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/051952ZAUG2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (SAOMAI) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 13.2N 145.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 145.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 15.5N 143.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 17.4N 142.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 19.2N 140.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 20.8N 138.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 22.6N 132.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 23.7N 128.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 25.8N 123.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 13.8N 145.1E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (SAOMAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. CURRENT SATELLITE FIXES INDICATE THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE MOST RECENT RADAR FIXES. THE WARNING POSITION TAKES THIS INTO ACCOUNT, BUT IS WEIGHTED TOWARD THE RADAR DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W (MARIA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ51 PGUM 052056 *** TCEPQ1 TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 656 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 6 2006 AT 654 AM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI /08W/ WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 35 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF AGANA GUAM...25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROTA...90 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN AND 100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. $$ STANKO ** WTPN32 PGTW 052100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051622ZAUG2006// REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051951ZAUG2006// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W (MARIA) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 26.0N 143.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.0N 143.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 26.6N 141.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 27.6N 139.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 28.8N 136.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 30.2N 135.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 32.3N 133.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 26.2N 143.1E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 09W (MARIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 051600ZAUG2006 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 051630) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W (SAOMAI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ81 PGUM 052101 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-052300- TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 700 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 6 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI PASSING BETWEEN GUAM AND ROTA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 650 AM GUAM LST...2050Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 35 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROTA 90 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ...GUAM..ROTA..TINIAN AND SAIPAN... PREPARATIONS FOR DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE COMPLETED IF NOT DONE YET. KEEP OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS SECURED. SMALL BOATS SHOULD REMAIN IN SAFE HAVEN. GUAM REMAINS IN CONDITION OF READINESS 1. ALL INBOUND AND OUTBOUND CONTINENTAL EXPRESS FLIGHTS HAVE BEEN CANCELED FOR TODAY. ALL OTHER FLIGHTS ARE SCHEDULED ON TIME. THE AIRPORT AUTHORITY CONTINUES TO OPERATE THE AIRPORT. FOR MORE INFORMATION...CONTACT THE JOINT INFORMATION CENTER AT 475-9701 THROUGH 9705. IN CNMI...ROTA REMAINS IN TROPICAL STORM CONDITION 1. TINIAN AND SAIPAN REMAIN IN TROPICAL STORM CONDITION 3. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. BE PREPARED FOR MAXIMUM WINDS OF 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL HAZARDOUS AT 9 TO 12 FEET TODAY...AND CONTINUE AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF 6 INCHES OR MORE IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY. LOCAL FLOODING IS LIKELY TO OCCUR. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9 AM GUAM LST. $$ AHN ** WTPH20 RPMM 051800 *** T T T WARNING 02 AT 1800 5 AUGUST TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT FIVE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN TWO ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 061800 TWO TWO POINT SIX NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT FOUR EAST AND AT 071800 TWO FOUR POINT NINE NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT SEVEN EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 052100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0607 MARIA (0607) ANALYSIS PSTN 052100UTC 26.7N 143.1E FAIR MOVE WNW 13KT PRES 994HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 062100UTC 28.5N 138.9E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 45HF 071800UTC 29.9N 135.0E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 69HF 081800UTC 31.0N 131.1E 220NM 70% MOVE W 08KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT = ** WTJP32 RJTD 052100 *** WARNING 052100. WARNING VALID 062100. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0607 MARIA (0607) 994 HPA AT 26.7N 143.1E SOUTHEAST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060900UTC AT 27.5N 141.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 062100UTC AT 28.5N 138.9E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ51 PGUM 052158 *** TCEPQ1 TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 758 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 6 2006 AT 756 AM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI /08W/ WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 60 MILES NORTH OF GUAM...40 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF ROTA...85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN AND 95 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. $$ STANKO ** WTPQ31 PGUM 052159 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 800 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 6 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI PASSING NORTH OF GUAM... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GUAM...TINIAN AND SAIPAN IS CANCELED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE IS EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS. AT 750 AM GUAM LST...2150Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 60 MILES NORTH OF GUAM 40 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF ROTA 85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN 95 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 750 AM POSITION...14.3 DEGREES NORTH AND 144.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 10 AM AND 12 NOON GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ AHN ** WTPQ20 RJTD 052100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0608 SAOMAI (0608) ANALYSIS PSTN 052100UTC 13.6N 144.7E FAIR MOVE NW 18KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 170NM FORECAST 24HF 062100UTC 18.1N 141.8E 80NM 70% MOVE NW 13KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 45HF 071800UTC 21.6N 139.1E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 12KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 69HF 081800UTC 25.3N 135.7E 220NM 70% MOVE NW 12KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT = ** WTJP31 RJTD 052100 *** WARNING 052100. WARNING VALID 062100. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0608 SAOMAI (0608) 996 HPA AT 13.6N 144.7E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 062100UTC AT 18.1N 141.8E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ31 PGUM 052211 CCA *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI ADVISORY NUMBER 5...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 800 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 6 2006 CORRECTED WIND RADII ...TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI MOVING AWAY FROM GUAM... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GUAM...TINIAN AND SAIPAN IS CANCELED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE IS EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS. AT 750 AM GUAM LST...2150Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 60 MILES NORTH OF GUAM 40 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF ROTA 85 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN 95 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 20 MILES ELSEWHERE. REPEATING THE 750 AM POSITION...14.3 DEGREES NORTH AND 144.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 10 AM AND 12 NOON GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ EDSON ** WTPH RPMM 051200 *** TTT WARNING 01 AT 1200 05 AUGUST TROP DEP WAS ESTMD BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO ZERO POINT FIVE NORTH ONE THREE TWO POINT TWO EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN TWO ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER EASTMD CENTRAL PRESURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAX WNDS ONE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 061200 TWO TWO POINT FOUR NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT SEVEN EAST AND AT 071200 TWO FIVE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO SIX POINT TWO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEP AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTPQ81 PGUM 052304 *** HLSPQ1 GUZ001-002-003-004-060100- TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 900 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 6 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI MOVING AWAY FROM GUAM AND ROTA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... AT 8 AM GUAM LST...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR GUAM...TINIAN AND SAIPAN WERE CANCELED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 850 AM GUAM LST...2250Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 75 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM 70 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF ROTA 105 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN 115 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 22 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. ...ROTA... ROTA REMAINS IN TROPICAL STORM CONDITION 1. SMALL BOATS SHOULD REMAIN IN SAFE HAVEN. REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL WINDS SUBSIDE. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS ISSUED BY THE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... WINDS AT THE AUTOMATED OBSERVING STATION ON ROTA WERE GUSTING AS HIGH AS 55 MPH BETWEEN 7 AM AND 8 AM. AS SAOMAI MOVES QUICKLY AWAY...WINDS SHOULD BECOME SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL HAZARDOUS AT 9 TO 12 FEET TODAY...AND CONTINUE AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... LESS THAN AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED TODAY. ...GUAM..TINIAN AND SAIPAN... GUAM REMAINS IN TROPICAL STORM CONDITION 1...AND TINIAN AND SAIPAN ARE IN CONDITION 3. SMALL BOATS SHOULD REMAIN IN SAFE HAVEN. ...WIND INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL HAZARDOUS AT 9 TO 12 FEET TODAY...AND CONTINUE AT HAZARDOUS LEVELS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... LESS THAN AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED TODAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 11 AM GUAM LST. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE ** WTPQ51 PGUM 052357 *** TCEPQ1 TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GUAM 956 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 6 2006 AT 951 AM GUAM LST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SAOMAI /08W/ WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 90 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM...90 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF ROTA...120 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN AND 130 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN. $$ EDSON