** WTSR20 WSSS 030600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTCA43 TJSJ 031214 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL CHRIS ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 11A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL032006 800 AM AST JUEVES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2006 ...CHRIS DEBILMENTE COMO TORMENTA TROPICAL... CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LAS ISLAS TURKS Y CAICOS Y PARA EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...INCLUYENDO ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LAS INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...Y THE RAGGED ISLANDS . PERMANECE EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA DESDE LA FRONTERA NORTE CON HAITI HASTA CABO ENGANO. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE LAS CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA...GENERALMENTE DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 800 AM AST...1200Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL CHRIS ESTABA LOCALIZADA CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 66.8 OESTE O COMO A 285 MILLAS...460 KM...AL ESTE SURESTE DE GRAND TURK ISLAND. CHRIS SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE EN ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS REPORTES OBTENIDOS POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA INDICA QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ANTICIPA POCO CAMBIO EN SU FUERZA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KILOMETROS...DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ES DE 1012 MB...28.88 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE CHRIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 3 A 5 PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS DE 10 PULGADAS EN LAS AREAS MAS ELEVADAS DE PUERTO RICO. ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 2 A 4 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES SOBRE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICANAS Y LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA...CON POSIBLES CANTIDADES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE 6 PULGADAS POSIBLES HOY. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 8 AM AST...20.5 NORTE...66.8 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1012 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 1100 AM AST. $$ PRONOSTICADOR PASCH ** WTPQ20 RJTD 031200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0606 PRAPIROON (0606) ANALYSIS PSTN 031200UTC 21.6N 111.5E FAIR MOVE NW 10KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 240NM EAST 200NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 041200UTC 23.5N 108.1E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 48HF 051200UTC 23.7N 105.4E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP21 RJTD 031200 *** WARNING 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0606 PRAPIROON (0606) 970 HPA AT 21.6N 111.5E SOUTH CHINA MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 23.5N 108.1E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 23.7N 105.4E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 031200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY PRAPIROON 0606 (0606) INITIAL TIME 031200 UTC 00HR 21.5N 111.3E 975HPA 33M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR NW 20KM/H P+24HR 22.5N 107.8E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 23.3N 105.7E 1000HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 031300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY PRAPIROON 0606 (0606) INITIAL TIME 031300 UTC 00HR 21.6N 111.0E 975HPA 33M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR NW 20KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 031345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 031200 UTC, TYPHOON PRAPIROON (0606) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (111.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 200 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 200 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC TWO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (22.9 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (108.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061200 UTC TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (105.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 20 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 031345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 031200 UTC, TYPHOON PRAPIROON (0606) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (111.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 200 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 200 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041200 UTC TWO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (22.9 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (108.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051200 UTC TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061200 UTC TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (105.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 20 KNOTS. ** WTPZ22 KNHC 031425 *** TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072006 1500 UTC THU AUG 03 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 137.3W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 137.3W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 136.5W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.1N 139.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.1N 142.7W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.1N 145.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 137.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH ** WTPZ42 KNHC 031425 *** TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FABIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072006 800 AM PDT THU AUG 03 2006 FABIO CONTINUES TO BE DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION AND CONSISTS PRIMARILY OF A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT BASED ON THE TYPICAL SPIN DOWN RATE AND AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS. GIVEN THE DEPRESSION IS STILL OVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 26 C OR GREATER...SOME INTERMITTENT ISOLATED CONVECTION IS STILL POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN 12 HOURS. FABIO IS CURRENTLY MOVING DUE WEST OR 270/15. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAINTAINS THIS MOTION THROUGH 36 HOURS AT WHICH TIME DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS TRACK. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1500Z 15.1N 137.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 04/0000Z 15.1N 139.6W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 04/1200Z 15.1N 142.7W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 05/0000Z 15.1N 145.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH ** WTPQ20 BABJ 031400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS PRAPIROON 0606 (0606) INITIAL TIME 031400 UTC 00HR 21.6N 110.8E 975HPA 30M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NW 20KM/H= ** WTPZ23 KNHC 031427 *** TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082006 1500 UTC THU AUG 03 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 109.5W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 109.5W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.3N 110.7W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.2N 112.1W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 109.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG/PASCH ** WTPZ43 KNHC 031428 *** TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082006 800 AM PDT THU AUG 03 2006 ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION AROUND GILMA HAS BEEN DIMINISHING OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...ONE THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT 60 TO 120 NM SW OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND DATA T-NUMBERS ARE TEMPORARILY A CONSENSUS 1.5 FROM TAFB AND SAB. THIS TYPE OF PULSING ACTIVITY WAS EXPECTED...AND IS ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM DEGENERATES INTO REMNANT LOW. GILMA HAS ACCELERATED SLIGHTLY WITH AN INITIAL MOTION OF 285/7. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT AND A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE OVERALL MODEL CONSENSUS. THIS CLOSELY FOLLOWS A CONSENSUS OF THE GFS... CANADIAN...AND ECMWF MODELS WHICH ALL DISSIPATE GILMA INTO AN OPEN TROUGH WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1500Z 15.7N 109.5W 25 KT 12HR VT 04/0000Z 16.3N 110.7W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 04/1200Z 17.2N 112.1W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BERG/PASCH ** WTPN31 PGTW 031500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 07W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z --- NEAR 21.5N 111.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 111.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z --- 22.5N 110.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 23.3N 108.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 031500Z POSITION NEAR 21.8N 111.0E. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (PRAPIROON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z, 040300Z AND 040900Z.// ** WTNT43 KNHC 031434 *** TCDAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHRIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006 1100 AM EDT THU AUG 03 2006 THE COMBINATION OF DRY LOW- TO MID-LEVEL AIR AND SHEAR...ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE THAT DROPPED SOUTHWARD INTO CHRIS...HAS TAKEN ITS TOLL ON THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. CHRIS IS DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN ABOUT 75 N MI RADIUS OF THE CENTER. SOME HEAVY SHOWERS CONTINUE FARTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST AND ARE AFFECTING PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. THIS ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TO SPREAD WESTWARD INTO HISPANIOLA TODAY. DATA FROM THE LAST AERIAL RECONNAISSANCE MISSION SUGGESTED THAT CHRIS MAY HAVE ALREADY DROPPED BELOW TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY. IF IT HAS NOT...IT WILL LIKELY DO SO VERY SOON UNLESS SOME DEEP CONVECTION REDEVELOPS NEAR THE CENTER. THE FORECAST RETAINS THE SYSTEM AS A DEPRESSION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS A PRECAUTION THAT ALLOWS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF REGENERATION...SINCE THE SHEAR COULD RELAX AND THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT BECOME MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HOWEVER...IF PRESENT TRENDS CONTINUE...CHRIS COULD DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FAIRLY SOON. THE MOTION CONTINUES BETWEEN WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 KT. A WELL-DEFINED MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE MAINTAINED TO THE NORTH OF CHRIS...OR ITS REMNANT...THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS STEERING REGIME WOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE THE SYSTEM ON A 280-285 DEGREE HEADING AT ROUGHLY 10-12 KT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND NOT TOO FAR FROM THE TRACK MODEL CONSENSUS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1500Z 20.5N 67.3W 35 KT 12HR VT 04/0000Z 20.7N 68.9W 30 KT 24HR VT 04/1200Z 21.1N 70.9W 30 KT 36HR VT 05/0000Z 21.4N 73.0W 30 KT 48HR VT 05/1200Z 21.8N 75.2W 30 KT 72HR VT 06/1200Z 23.0N 80.0W 30 KT 96HR VT 07/1200Z 24.0N 85.0W 30 KT 120HR VT 08/1200Z 25.0N 90.0W 30 KT $$ FORECASTER PASCH ** WTNT33 KNHC 031434 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHRIS ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006 1100 AM AST THU AUG 03 2006 ...CHRIS LIKELY TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION LATER TODAY... AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABO FRANCES VIEJO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.3 WEST OR ABOUT 255 MILES...410 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND. CHRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF UP TO 5 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND NORTHERN HAITI THROUGH FRIDAY. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...20.5 N...67.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH ** WTNT23 KNHC 031435 *** TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006 1500 UTC THU AUG 03 2006 AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WEST OF CABO FRANCES VIEJO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 67.3W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 67.3W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 66.8W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.7N 68.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.1N 70.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.4N 73.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.8N 75.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.0N 80.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 24.0N 85.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 25.0N 90.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 67.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH ** WTCA43 TJSJ 031453 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL CHRIS ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 12 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL032006 1100 AM AST JUEVES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2006 ...CHRIS PROBABLEMENTE SE DEBILITE Y SE CONVIERTA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL EN EL DIA DE HOY... A LAS 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...EL GOBIERNO DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA DESCONTINUADO LA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA NORTE DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA AL OESTE HASTA CABO FRANCES VIEJO. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LAS ISLAS TURKS Y CAICOS Y PARA EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...INCLUYENDO ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LAS INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...Y THE RAGGED ISLANDS. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE LAS CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA...GENERALMENTE DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 1100 AM AST...1500Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL CHRIS ESTABA LOCALIZADA CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 67.3 OESTE O COMO A 255 MILLAS...420 KM...AL ESTE SURESTE DE GRAND TURK ISLAND. CHRIS SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE EN ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. CHRIS PUDIERA CONVERTIRSE EN DEPRESION TROPICAL TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KILOMETROS...DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ES DE 1012 MB...28.88 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE CHRIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 1 A 3 PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS DE 5 PULGADAS EN LAS AREAS MAS ELEVADAS DE PUERTO RICO...ISLAS VIRGENES BRITANICAS Y LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA. ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 1 A 2 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES EN EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...LAS ISLAS TURKS Y CAICOS Y EL NORTE DE HAITI HASTA EL VIERNES. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 11 AM AST...20.5 NORTE...67.3 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1012 MILIBARAS. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 200 PM AST SEGUIDA POR LA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 5 PM. $$ PRONOSTICADOR PASCH ** WTPQ20 BABJ 031500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS PRAPIROON 0606 (0606) INITIAL TIME 031500 UTC 00HR 21.6N 110.6E 980HPA 28M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 031500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0606 PRAPIROON (0606) ANALYSIS PSTN 031500UTC 21.8N 111.0E FAIR MOVE NW 10KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 240NM EAST 200NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 041500UTC 23.5N 107.4E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 45HF 051200UTC 23.7N 105.4E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP31 RJTD 031500 *** WARNING 031500. WARNING VALID 041500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0606 PRAPIROON (0606) 970 HPA AT 21.8N 111.0E SOUTH CHINA MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041500UTC AT 23.5N 107.4E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 031500 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS PRAPIROON 0606 (0606) INITIAL TIME 031500 UTC 00HR 21.6N 110.6E 975HPA 28M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 031500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS PRAPIROON 0606 (0606) INITIAL TIME 031500 UTC 00HR 21.6N 110.6E 980HPA 28M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 031600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS PRAPIROON 0606 (0606) INITIAL TIME 031600 UTC 00HR 21.7N 110.4E 975HPA 28M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTNT80 EGRR 031657 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 03.08.2006 TROPICAL STORM CHRIS ANALYSED POSITION : 20.7N 66.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL032006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.08.2006 20.7N 66.7W MODERATE 00UTC 04.08.2006 20.8N 68.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.08.2006 21.2N 71.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.08.2006 21.9N 74.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.08.2006 22.7N 77.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.08.2006 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION FABIO ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N 136.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.08.2006 15.2N 136.4W WEAK 00UTC 04.08.2006 13.9N 139.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.08.2006 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N 108.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.08.2006 15.6N 108.8W WEAK 00UTC 04.08.2006 15.9N 110.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2006 17.2N 112.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.08.2006 17.8N 112.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.08.2006 18.6N 113.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.08.2006 18.6N 115.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.08.2006 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 10.5N 25.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.08.2006 10.5N 25.3W WEAK 12UTC 05.08.2006 11.0N 23.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.08.2006 10.8N 30.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.08.2006 11.0N 34.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.08.2006 11.0N 37.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.08.2006 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 031657 ** WTSS20 VHHH 031645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 031500 UTC, TYPHOON PRAPIROON (0606) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (21.7 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (110.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (22.5 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (107.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051500 UTC TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (21.8 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (106.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061500 UTC TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (20.8 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (105.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 20 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 031645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 031500 UTC, TYPHOON PRAPIROON (0606) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (21.7 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (110.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 041500 UTC TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (22.5 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (107.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 051500 UTC TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (21.8 N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (106.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 061500 UTC TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (20.8 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (105.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 20 KNOTS. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 031700 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS PRAPIROON 0606 (0606) INITIAL TIME 031700 UTC 00HR 21.8N 110.3E 975HPA 28M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTNT33 KNHC 031739 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHRIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006 200 PM AST THU AUG 03 2006 ...CHRIS LIKELY TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION LATER TODAY... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.7 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES...365 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND. CHRIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS EN ROUTE TO CHRIS AND WILL REACH THE SYSTEM SOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES. CHRIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF UP TO 5 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND NORTHERN HAITI THROUGH FRIDAY. REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...20.7 N...67.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/FRANKLIN ** WTCA43 TJSJ 031744 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL CHRIS ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 12A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL032006 200 PM AST JUEVES 3 DE AGOSTO DE 2006 ...CHRIS PROBABLEMENTE SE DEBILITE Y SE CONVIERTA EN DEPRESION TROPICAL EN EL DIA DE HOY... CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LAS ISLAS TURKS Y CAICOS Y PARA EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...INCLUYENDO ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LAS INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...Y THE RAGGED ISLANDS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 200 PM AST...1800Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL CHRIS ESTABA LOCALIZADA CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 67.7 OESTE O COMO A 225 MILLAS...365 KM...AL ESTE SURESTE DE GRAND TURK ISLAND. CHRIS SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE EN ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN ESTIMADOS EN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. CHRIS PUDIERA DEBILITARSE Y CONVERTIRSE EN DEPRESION TROPICAL TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 80 MILLAS...130 KILOMETROS...DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ES DE 1012 MB...28.88 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE CHRIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 1 A 3 PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS DE 5 PULGADAS EN LAS AREAS MAS ELEVADAS DE PUERTO RICO...ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y BRITANICAS Y LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA. ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 1 A 2 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES EN EL SURESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS...LAS ISLAS TURKS Y CAICOS Y EL NORTE DE HAITI HASTA EL VIERNES. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 2 PM AST...20.7 NORTE...67.7 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1012 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 5 PM. $$ PRONOSTICADOR PASCH/FRANKLIN