** WTPQ20 VHHH 310745 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR LUZON HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS. AT 310600 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N) ONE TWO TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (122.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 13 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (118.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (113.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030600 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (111.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 310900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ:TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z --- NEAR 16.4N 122.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N 122.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 17.3N 121.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 18.1N 119.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 18.9N 117.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 19.6N 114.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 20.3N 112.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 21.3N 109.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 22.1N 108.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 310900Z POSITION NEAR 16.6N 122.2E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 07W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK HAS BECOME MORE WESTWARD-ORIENTED BASED ON A STRONG SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE AND IMPROVED NUMERICAL GUIDANCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z, 312100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.// ** WTPH20 RPMM 310600 *** TTT WARNING 12 AT 0600 31 JULY TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR, SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE SIX POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTH WEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 010600 ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR NORTH ONE ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT EAST AT 020600 ONE EIGHT POINT THREE NORTH ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA = ** WTPQ20 VHHH 311045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 310900 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR LUZON WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (16.4 N) ONE TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (122.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 13 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (117.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (112.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030900 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (110.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. ** WTPH RPLL 310600 *** TTT WARNING 12 AT 0600Z 31 JULY TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR SASTELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE SIX POINT FIVE NROTH ONE TWO ONE POINT EIGHT EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND X MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIAMTED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 010600Z ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR NORTH ONE ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT EAST AT 020600 ONE EIGHT POINT THREE NORTH ONE ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD