** WTSR20 WSSS 301800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPN31 PGTW 310300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ:TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 001 REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300221Z JUL 06// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z --- NEAR 15.4N 122.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 122.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 16.0N 121.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 16.6N 120.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 17.3N 118.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 18.2N 116.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 20.0N 114.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 310300Z POSITION NEAR 15.6N 122.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 07W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. DEEPENING CONVECTION AND A MORE DEFINED AND DISCERNABLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER INFORMATION JUST- IFIES A NUMBERED WARNING AT THIS TIME. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 300221Z JUL 06 TROPICAL CY- CLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 300230) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z.// ** WTPH20 RPMM 310000 *** TTT WARNING 11 AT 0000 31 JULY TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE SIX POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT NINE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO SIX METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 010000 ONE SEVEN POINT SIX NORTH ONE ONE SIX POINT SIX EAST AT 020000 ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA = ** WTPH RPLL 310000 *** TTT WARNING 11 AT 0000 31JULY TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONESIX POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT NINE EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO SIX METERS PER SECOND.MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 010000 ONE SEVEN POINT SIX NORTH ONE ONE SIX POINT SIX EAST AT 020000 ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRSSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTIN20 DEMS 310510 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 31-07-2006(.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF NORTH AND ADJOINING CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND NORTH EAST ARABIAN SEA (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 32 DEG. NORTH OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.) ---- ** WTNT80 EGRR 310543 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 31.07.2006 TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 13.4N 117.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.07.2006 13.4N 117.9W WEAK 12UTC 31.07.2006 14.1N 119.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.08.2006 13.4N 120.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2006 14.2N 123.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.08.2006 14.2N 125.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.08.2006 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 310543