** WTPZ21 KNHC 262031 *** TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 2100 UTC WED JUL 26 2006 AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED A PORTION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 114.4W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 50SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 114.4W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 114.0W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 26.3N 115.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 27.2N 117.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 27.7N 118.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 28.2N 119.7W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 114.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN ** WTPZ31 KNHC 262032 *** TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EMILIA ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 200 PM PDT WED JUL 26 2006 ...EMILIA BEGINS TO WEAKEN... AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED A PORTION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.4 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO AND ABOUT 165 MILES...265 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO. EMILIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. EMELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LITTLE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. REPEATING THE 200 PM PDT POSITION...25.5 N...114.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN ** WTPZ41 KNHC 262032 *** TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM EMILIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 200 PM PDT WED JUL 26 2006 EMILIA IS FINALLY SHOWING SIGNS OF WEAKENING UNDER THE INHIBITING INFLUENCE OF 22C SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. STABLE STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE BECOMING ENTRAINED INTO THE CIRCULATION AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED CONSIDERABLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 55 KT...WHICH IS A BLEND OF THE DATA-T NUMBERS AND THE CURRENT INTENSITIES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB. AS A RESULT OF COOLER WATERS AND A MORE STABLE AIR MASS...EMILIA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT RAPIDLY TO A REMNANT LOW IN 36 HOURS. EMILIA CONTINUES TO MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 320/10. THE CYCLONE IS CURRENTLY BETWEEN AN ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTH AND A WEAK TROUGH TO THE WEST. TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS HAVE CHANGED LITTLE SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY PACKAGE AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REASONING REMAINS THE SAME. A GENERAL NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION OCCURS IN 72 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/2100Z 25.5N 114.4W 55 KT 12HR VT 27/0600Z 26.3N 115.7W 45 KT 24HR VT 27/1800Z 27.2N 117.3W 30 KT 36HR VT 28/0600Z 27.7N 118.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 28/1800Z 28.2N 119.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN ** WTPA21 PHFO 262042 *** TCMCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006 2100 UTC WED JUL 26 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 144.1W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 144.1W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 143.6W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.9N 145.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.2N 147.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.8N 150.6W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 144.1W THIS IS THE FINAL FORECAST/ADVISORY ON DANIEL BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. $$ FORECASTER MATSUDA ** WTPA31 PHFO 262046 *** TCPCP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006 1100 AM HST WED JUL 26 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL IS DISSIPATING INTO A REMNANT LOW FAR EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLANDS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.1 WEST OR ABOUT 765 MILES...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND ABOUT 970 MILES...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU...OAHU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM HST POSITION...16.1 N...144.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THIS THE FINAL PUBLIC ADVISORY ON DANIEL BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. $$ FORECASTER MATSUDA ** WTPA41 PHFO 262056 *** TCDCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 40 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006 1100 AM HST WED JUL 26 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL IS UNCLASSIFIABLE. ITS BEEN LARGELY DEVOID OF CB OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITHIN ITS IMMEDIATE PERIPHERY...ONLY A LONE CB CELL IS TWO DEGREES NORTHEAST OF ITS CENTER. BOTH SHEARING WINDS ALOFT AND COOLER THAN DESIREABLE SSTS ALONG ITS PROJECTED WESTWARD PATH ARE UNFAVOREABLE FOR FUTURE REGENERATION. WE ARE THUS MAKING THIS THE FINAL PACKAGE ON DANIEL. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/2100Z 16.1N 144.1W 30 KT 12HR VT 27/0600Z 15.9N 145.6W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 27/1800Z 16.2N 147.8W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 28/0600Z 16.8N 150.6W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW $$ FORECASTER MATSUDA ** WTPN31 PHNC 262200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/262035JUL2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E (DANIEL) WARNING NR 040 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z --- NEAR 16.1N 143.6W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 143.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 15.9N 145.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 16.2N 147.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 16.8N 150.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 262200Z POSITION NEAR 16.0N 144.3W. AT 261800Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED 691 NM ESE OF HILO, HAWAII. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 9 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 06E (EMILIA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PHNC 262200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/262030JUL2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (EMILIA) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z --- NEAR 25.2N 114.0W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N 114.0W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z --- 26.3N 115.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z --- 27.2N 117.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 27.7N 118.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 28.2N 119.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 262200Z POSITION NEAR 25.6N 114.6W. AT 261800Z TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED 210 NM WNW OF LA PAZ. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270400Z, 271000Z, 271600Z AND 272200Z.REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E (DANIEL) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPZ31 KNHC 262359 *** TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EMILIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 500 PM PDT WED JUL 26 2006 ...EMILIA CONTINUES ON A DOWNWARD TREND... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO PUNTA EUGENIA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.5 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES...245 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO AND ABOUT 170 MILES...275 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO. EMILIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...93 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. EMELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LITTLE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. REPEATING THE 500 PM PDT POSITION...25.4 N...114.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART