** WTSS20 VHHH 242245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 242100 UTC, TYPHOON KAEMI (0605) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (23.3 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (120.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 252100 UTC TWO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (25.2 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 262100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 242245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 242100 UTC, TYPHOON KAEMI (0605) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (23.3 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (120.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 252100 UTC TWO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (25.2 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 262100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 242300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 242300 UTC 00HR 23.6N 119.7E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 430KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR NW 15KM/H= ** WTPA21 PHFO 250230 *** TCMCP1 HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006 0300 UTC TUE JUL 25 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 142.3W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW. 34 KT....... 65NE 60SE 60SW 65NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 65NE 60SE 60SW 65NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 142.3W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 141.9W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.1N 143.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW. 34 KT... 65NE 60SE 60SW 65NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.4N 145.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW. 34 KT... 65NE 60SE 60SW 65NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.8N 146.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 65NE 60SE 60SW 65NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.3N 148.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 65NE 60SE 50SW 65NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.3N 152.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 65NE 60SE 50SW 65NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 19.6N 156.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 21.3N 160.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 142.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z $$ FORECASTER POWELL ** WTPA31 PHFO 250230 *** TCPCP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE DANIEL ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006 500 PM HST MON JUL 24 2006 AT 500 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.3 WEST OR ABOUT 875 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND ABOUT 1080 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU...OAHU. DANIEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME WEST NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 75 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM HST POSITION...16.1 N...142.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM HST. $$ FORECASTER POWELL ** WTPQ20 BABJ 250000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 250000 UTC 00HR 23.7N 119.6E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 430KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR NW 15KM/H P+24HR 25.2N 116.8E 970HPA 35M/S P+48HR 27.9N 115.1E 990HPA 23M/S P+72HR 31.6N 116.0E 1000HPA 15M/S= ** WTPA41 PHFO 250232 *** TCDCP1 HURRICANE DANIEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006 500 PM HST MON JUL 24 2006 THE 2224 UTC AMSR INCREASES CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION IN SPITE OF THE INCREASINGLY SHEARED CDO SITUATION. DANIEL/S INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 65 KT BASED ON A CI NUMBER OF 4.0 FROM PHFO. AODT HAS A CI OF 4.5 WHILE SAB AND ADT DERIVED A 3.5 VALUE. SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW DANIEL IS SUFFERING THE EFFECTS OF EASTERLY SHEAR...WITH MUCH OF THE CB MASS PUSHED FAR WEST OF THE LLCC. CLOUD TOPS HAVE UNIFORMLY WARMED AS WELL...JUSTIFYING THE REDUCED INITIAL INTENSITY. THE 64 KT WIND RADIUS WAS REDUCED TO 10 NM...WHILE THE 12 FEET SEAS RADIUS AT TAU THREE WAS REDUCED FURTHER FROM THE 2100 UTC RADIUS TO MATCH THE GALE RADIUS. DANIEL/S INITIAL MOTION IS 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT. THIS PROMPTED A CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK TO THE LEFT THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK BEYOND 48 HOURS IS ALMOST IDENTICAL TO THE 2100 TRACK. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT CONSENSUS GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT A BIT...NOW FALLING SLIGHTLY RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK. THE FORECAST TRACK NOW REPRESENTS A NICE COMPROMISE BETWEEN CONSENSUS AND GFN GUIDANCE...THE NOGAPS VERSION OF GFDL...BETWEEN 72 AND 120 HOURS. FORECAST MOTION THROUGH 96 HOURS HAS BEEN DECREASED TO CORRESPOND TO INITIAL MOTION AND THE VAST MAJORITY OF GUIDANCE. ONCE AGAIN...FORECAST GUIDANCE IS NICELY PACKED...WITH GFDL...BAMD AND LBAR REPRESENTING THE RIGHT OUTLIERS. VANILLA NOGAPS AND GFS REPRESENT THE LEFT OUTLIERS. WHILE THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES DANIEL OVER 25 DEGREES C WATER THROUGH 72 HOURS...THIS SYSTEM WILL SEE WARMER WATER AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. PASSING LEE OF THE ISLANDS...DANIEL MAY PASS OVER WATER AS WARM AS 27 OR 28 DEGREES C AT 120 HOURS AND BEYOND. THE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT IS CURRENTLY NOT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...BASED ON UW-CIMMS GUIDANCE. HOWEVER...ECMWF AND WRF SHOWS SHEAR SHOULD DECREASE BEYOND 72 HOURS. WHILE GFS NO LONGER WANTS TO RE-INTENSIFY THIS SYSTEM BETWEEN 96 AND 120 HOURS...IT DOES MAINTAIN CURRENT STRENGTH THROUGH 120 HOURS. ALL OTHER GUIDANCE SHOWS GRADUAL WEAKENING. THE CURRENT FORECAST ECHOES THIS GRADUAL WEAKENING...WITH DANIEL STILL AT 50 KT AT 120 HOURS. THIS FORECAST WILL BRING DANIEL ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS A RELATIVELY STRONG TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS WEEK. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0300Z 16.1N 142.3W 65 KT 12HR VT 25/1200Z 16.1N 143.5W 65 KT 24HR VT 26/0000Z 16.4N 145.1W 60 KT 36HR VT 26/1200Z 16.8N 146.8W 60 KT 48HR VT 27/0000Z 17.3N 148.6W 55 KT 72HR VT 28/0000Z 18.3N 152.3W 50 KT 96HR VT 29/0000Z 19.6N 156.3W 50 KT 120HR VT 30/0000Z 21.3N 160.8W 50 KT $$ FORECASTER POWELL ** WTPQ20 RJTD 250000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0605 KAEMI (0605) DOWNGRADED FROM TY ANALYSIS PSTN 250000UTC 23.6N 119.7E FAIR MOVE WNW 14KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 40NM 30KT 220NM SOUTH 170NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 260000UTC 25.4N 116.0E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 035KT 48HF 270000UTC 27.5N 113.4E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP21 RJTD 250000 *** WARNING 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0605 KAEMI (0605) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 980 HPA AT 23.6N 119.7E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 170 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 25.4N 116.0E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 27.5N 113.4E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPZ41 KNHC 250251 *** TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM EMILIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 800 PM PDT MON JUL 24 2006 DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES CONTINUE TO COME DOWN AS THE AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION GENERALLY DECREASES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET TO 45 KT IN ACCORD WITH THE CI NUMBERS OF T3.0 FROM TAFB AND SAB. OVER THE PAST HOUR OR SO THERE HAS BEEN A MODEST INCREASE IN THE CORE BANDING AND SYMMETRY...EVEN AS THE TOPS CONTINUE TO WARM. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR STRENGTHENING TONIGHT BEFORE EMILIA CROSSES THE 26C SST ISOTHERM TOMORROW. HOWEVER...GIVEN ALL THE COOL STABLE AIR BEING DRAWN INTO THE CIRCULATION FROM THE NORTHWEST...IT NO LONGER SEEMS AS THOUGH EMILIA CAN BECOME A HURRICANE. BY LATE TOMORROW...EMILIA SHOULD BEGIN DECAYING OVER COOLER WATERS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 320/6...A TRACK QUITE A BIT TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS MOTION. WATER VAPOR WINDS AND GLOBAL MODEL ANALYSES SHOW A MID-LEVEL LOW TO THE SOUTHWEST OF EMILIA WHICH IS HELPING TO NUDGE IT INTO THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. HOWEVER...THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO BEND THE TRACK BACK TO THE LEFT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE FORECAST TRACK...WHICH HAD TO BE SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BECAUSE OF THE RECENT MOTION...IS CLOSE TO THE GFS/UKMET/GFDL CONSENSUS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0300Z 19.8N 110.6W 45 KT 12HR VT 25/1200Z 20.6N 111.4W 50 KT 24HR VT 26/0000Z 22.0N 112.7W 45 KT 36HR VT 26/1200Z 23.3N 114.1W 35 KT 48HR VT 27/0000Z 24.2N 115.9W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 28/0000Z 25.5N 119.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN ** WTPZ21 KNHC 250252 *** TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 0300 UTC TUE JUL 25 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 110.6W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..140NE 180SE 140SW 140NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 110.6W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 110.4W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 20.6N 111.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.0N 112.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 23.3N 114.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 24.2N 115.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 25.5N 119.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 110.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN ** WTPZ21 KNHC 250252 *** TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 0300 UTC TUE JUL 25 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 110.6W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..140NE 180SE 140SW 140NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 110.6W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 110.4W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 20.6N 111.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 22.0N 112.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 23.3N 114.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 24.2N 115.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 25.5N 119.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 110.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN ** WTPQ20 BABJ 250100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 250100 UTC 00HR 23.8N 119.5E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 430KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR NW 15KM/H= ** WTPQ30 RJTD 250000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.14 FOR STS 0605 KAEMI (0605) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 250000 UTC IS FAIR. STS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN DECELERATE. STS WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN MOVE TO NORTHWEST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST STS WILL BE GRADED DOWN TO TS WITHIN 24 HOURS. STS WILL WEAKEN BECAUSE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE NEAR CYCLONE CENTER HAS BECOME WARMER AND CDO BECAME INDISTINCT. STS WILL WEAKEN BECAUSE LANDFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN 12 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTSS20 VHHH 250145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 250000 UTC, TYPHOON KAEMI (0605) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (23.7 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (119.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260000 UTC TWO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (25.8 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (116.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 250145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 250000 UTC, TYPHOON KAEMI (0605) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (23.7 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (119.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260000 UTC TWO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (25.8 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (116.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 250200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 250200 UTC 00HR 24.0N 119.3E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 430KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR NW 15KM/H= ** WTPN31 PGTW 250300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 06W (KAEMI) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z --- NEAR 23.5N 119.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N 119.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 24.6N 117.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 25.8N 116.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250300Z POSITION NEAR 23.8N 119.2E. TYPHOON (TY) 06W (KAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM NORTHWEST OF KAOHSIUNG, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z, 251500Z AND 252100Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 250300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 250300 UTC 00HR 24.2N 119.1E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 430KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR NW 20KM/H= ** WTPH20 RPMM 250000 *** TTT STORM WARNING 17 ( FINAL ) AT 0000 25 JULY SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (KAEMI) (0605) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO THREE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE ONE NINE POINT FOUR EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FIVE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS SOUTH SEMI-CIRCLE TWO ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS ELSEWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE EIGHT ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS THREE ONE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETES SOUTH SEMI-CIRCLE TWO ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS ELSEHWERE FORECAST POSITION AT 260000 TWO SIX POINT TWO NORTH ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN EAST WITH THIS DEVELOPMENT THIS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS WEATHER DISTURBANCE = ** WTPQ20 RJTD 250300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 0605 KAEMI (0605) ANALYSIS PSTN 250300UTC 24.2N 119.3E FAIR MOVE NW 14KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 060KT 50KT 40NM 30KT 230NM SOUTHWEST 180NM NORTHEAST FORECAST 24HF 260300UTC 25.7N 115.1E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 035KT 45HF 270000UTC 27.5N 113.4E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP31 RJTD 250300 *** WARNING 250300. WARNING VALID 260300. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0605 KAEMI (0605) 980 HPA AT 24.2N 119.3E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING NORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260300UTC AT 25.7N 115.1E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPH RPLL 250000 *** TTT STORM WARNING 17 (FINAL) AT 0000 25 JULY SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (KAEMI) (0605) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SAT. AND SFC DATA AT 23.5N 119.4E MOVING WNW AT 05MPS ROUGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 300KMS SOUTH SEMI- CIRCLE 200KMS ELSEWHERE ESTMD CNTRL PRESSURE 980 HECTO- PASCALS MAX WNDS 31MPS NEAR CENTER 13MPS WITHIN 300KMS SOUTH SEMI-CIRCLE 200KMS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 260000 26.2N 115.7E WITH THIS DEVELOPMENT THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS WEATHER DISTURBANCE PD= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 250400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 250400 UTC 00HR 24.2N 119.0E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 430KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR NW 20KM/H= ** WTPN32 PHNC 250400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/240330JUL2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (EMILIA) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z --- NEAR 19.5N 110.4W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N 110.4W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 20.6N 111.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 22.0N 112.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 23.3N 114.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 2700004Z --- 24.2N 115.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 25.5N 119.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REMARKS: 250400Z POSITION NEAR 19.9N 110.7W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251000Z, 251600Z, 252200Z AND 260400Z. REFER TO HURRICANE 05E (DANIEL) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // ** WTSS20 VHHH 250445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TYPHOON KAEMI (0605) HAS WEAKENED INTO A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS. AT 250300 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (24.2 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (119.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260300 UTC TWO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (26.4 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 250445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TYPHOON KAEMI (0605) HAS WEAKENED INTO A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS. AT 250300 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (24.2 N) ONE ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (119.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260300 UTC TWO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (26.4 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTNT80 EGRR 250510 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 25.07.2006 TROPICAL STORM EMILIA ANALYSED POSITION : 19.3N 110.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.07.2006 19.3N 110.5W STRONG 12UTC 25.07.2006 20.4N 111.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.07.2006 22.0N 113.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.07.2006 23.7N 114.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.07.2006 24.7N 116.6W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 27.07.2006 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE DANIEL ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 142.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.07.2006 15.9N 142.4W STRONG 12UTC 25.07.2006 15.9N 143.2W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.07.2006 16.4N 144.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.07.2006 17.0N 145.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.07.2006 17.8N 147.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.07.2006 18.2N 149.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.07.2006 19.0N 152.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.07.2006 20.3N 155.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.07.2006 20.5N 159.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 29.07.2006 21.5N 164.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.07.2006 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 250510 ** WTPQ20 BABJ 250500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 250500 UTC 00HR 24.3N 118.8E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 430KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR NW 20KM/H= ** WTPN31 PHNC 250400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/250335JUL2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 05E (DANIEL) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z --- NEAR 16.1N 141.9W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 141.9W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 16.1N 143.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 16.4N 145.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 16.8N 146.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z --- 17.3N 148.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 18.3N 152.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 19.6N 156.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 21.3N 160.8W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: 250400Z POSITION NEAR 16.1N 142.4W. HURRICANE (HU) 05E (DANIEL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 900 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251000Z, 251600Z, 252200Z AND 260400Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 06E (EMILIA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PHNC 250400 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/240330JUL2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (EMILIA) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z --- NEAR 19.5N 110.4W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N 110.4W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z --- 20.6N 111.4W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 22.0N 112.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 23.3N 114.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 2700004Z --- 24.2N 115.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 25.5N 119.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REMARKS: 250400Z POSITION NEAR 19.9N 110.7W. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06E (EMILIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF CABO, SAN LUCAS, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST- WARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251000Z, 251600Z, 252200Z AND 260400Z. REFER TO HURRICANE 05E (DANIEL) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//