** WTPQ20 BABJ 241700 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 241700 UTC 00HR 23.0N 121.2E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 430KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR NW 15KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 241800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 241800 UTC 00HR 23.1N 120.9E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 430KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 24.7N 117.9E 970HPA 35M/S P+48HR 27.1N 115.9E 990HPA 23M/S P+72HR 31.2N 116.1E 998HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 241800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0605 KAEMI (0605) ANALYSIS PSTN 241800UTC 22.8N 121.0E FAIR MOVE NW 13KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 260NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 251800UTC 24.5N 117.1E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 48HF 261800UTC 26.8N 114.2E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 08KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 72HF 271800UTC 26.7N 111.4E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTJP21 RJTD 241800 *** WARNING 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0605 KAEMI (0605) 970 HPA AT 22.8N 121.0E TAIWAN MOVING NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 24.5N 117.1E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 26.8N 114.2E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 26.7N 111.4E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 241800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 12 NAME TY 0605 KAEMI ANALYSIS POSITION 241800UTC 22.6N 121.0E MOVEMENT NW 10KT PRES/VMAX 970HPA 64KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 251800UTC 24.3N 117.8E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT 48HR POSITION 261800UTC 26.1N 115.5E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 41KT 60HR POSITION 270600UTC 27.0N 114.1E WITHIN 0NM PRES 996HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 241900 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 241900 UTC 00HR 23.2N 120.6E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 430KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTPA21 PHFO 242030 *** TCMCP1 HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006 2100 UTC MON JUL 24 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 141.8W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW. 34 KT....... 65NE 60SE 60SW 65NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 141.8W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 141.3W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.5N 143.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW. 34 KT... 65NE 60SE 60SW 65NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.0N 144.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 45NE 40SE 40SW 45NW. 34 KT... 65NE 60SE 60SW 65NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.3N 146.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 65NE 60SE 60SW 65NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.8N 148.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 65NE 60SE 50SW 65NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.5N 152.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 65NE 60SE 50SW 65NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.9N 156.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 21.5N 161.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 141.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z $$ FORECASTER POWELL ** WTPA31 PHFO 242030 *** TCPCP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE DANIEL ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006 1100 AM HST MON JUL 24 2006 AT 1100 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.8 WEST OR ABOUT 905 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII AND ABOUT 1110 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU, OAHU. DANIEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME WEST NORTHWESTERLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 75 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM HST POSITION...16.3 N...141.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM HST. $$ FORECASTER POWELL ** WTPA41 PHFO 242034 *** TCDCP1 HURRICANE DANIEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006 1100 AM HST MON JUL 24 2006 THE 1603 UTC QUIKSCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS AND 1719 UTC SSMIS DATA GIVE HIGH CONFIDENCE IN INITIAL POSITION IN SPITE OF CDO SITUATION. DANIEL INITIAL INTENSITY OF 80 KNOTS IS BASED ON WIDE CONSENSUS OF CI NUMBERS OF 4.5...77 KNOTS...FROM CPHC...AFWA...CIMMS ADT AND AODT. TAU THREE 12-FEET SEAS RADIUS WAS CONSTRAINED TO 120 NM WITHIN NORTHEAST AND NORTHWEST QUADRANTS BASED ON QUIKSCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS DISTANCE MEASUREMENTS. DANIEL/S INITIAL MOTION IS 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SLIGHTLY LEFT OF THE 1500 UTC TRACK...FAVORING CONSENSUS GUIDANCE SLIGHTLY MORE THAN LAST TIME. THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS CLOSE TO UKMET THROUGH 72 HOURS BASED ON THAT MODEL/S RELATIVELY HIGH SKILL WITH THIS SYSTEM. TRACK AND INTENSITY GUIDANCE REMAIN NICELY PACKED...WITH GFS AND BAMS REPRESENTING THE LEFT AND RIGHT OUTLIERS...RESPECTIVELY. WHILE THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES DANIEL OVER 25 DEGREES C WATER THROUGH 72 HOURS...THIS SYSTEM WILL SEE WARMER WATER AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. PASSING LEE OF THE ISLANDS...DANIEL MAY PASS OVER WATER AS WARM AS 27 OR 28 DEGREES C AT 120 HOURS AND BEYOND. THE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT IS CURRENTLY NOT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...BASED ON UW-CIMMS GUIDANCE. HOWEVER...ECMWF AND WRF SHOWS SHEAR SHOULD DECREASE BEYOND 72 HOURS. GFS WANTS TO RE-INTENSIFY THIS SYSTEM BETWEEN 96 AND 120 HOURS...WHILE ALL OTHER MODELS SHOW A GRADUAL WEAKENING. WE WILL FOLLOW THIS MAJORITY OF GUIDANCE FOR INTENSITY TREND...KEEPING DANIEL AT 50 KT AT 120 HOURS. THIS FORECAST WILL BRING DANIEL ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS A RELATIVELY STRONG TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS WEEK. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 16.3N 141.8W 80 KT 12HR VT 25/0600Z 16.5N 143.2W 75 KT 24HR VT 25/1800Z 17.0N 144.9W 65 KT 36HR VT 26/0600Z 17.3N 146.6W 60 KT 48HR VT 26/1800Z 17.8N 148.5W 55 KT 72HR VT 27/1800Z 18.5N 152.3W 50 KT 96HR VT 28/1800Z 19.9N 156.6W 50 KT 120HR VT 29/1800Z 21.5N 161.3W 50 KT $$ FORECASTER POWELL ** WTSS20 VHHH 241945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 241800 UTC, TYPHOON KAEMI (0605) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (23.0 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (121.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (24.2 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (117.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261800 UTC TWO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (25.1 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (114.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 241945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 241800 UTC, TYPHOON KAEMI (0605) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (23.0 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (121.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (24.2 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (117.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261800 UTC TWO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (25.1 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (114.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPZ41 KNHC 242044 *** TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM EMILIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 200 PM PDT MON JUL 24 2006 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CENTER OF EMILIA IS LOCATED SLIGHTLY NORTHEAST OF THE PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED POSITION. CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED TO THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE AS IT APPEARS THAT SOME STABLE AIR NORTHWEST AND WEST OF THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN ENTRAINED INTO THE CIRCULATION. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 55 KT FROM AFWA...AND 45 KT FROM SAB AND TAFB. THEREFORE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN DECREASED TO 50 KT. EMILIA HAS TURNED MORE NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PAST 6-12 HOURS AND APPEARS THAT IT MAY HAVE ROUNDED THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNTIED STATES. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 300/7 KT. EMILIA IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD...BEING STEERED BY THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE. THE DYNAMICAL MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT...EXCEPT THAT THE UKMET TRACKER SHIFTED TO ANOTHER VORTICITY CENTER OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AT 72 HOURS...WHICH CREATED AN UNREALISTIC CONU CONSENSUS FORECAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS NEAR THE MIDDLE OF THE DYNAMICAL MODEL GUIDANCE. EMILIA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN UNDER A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND OVER WARM WATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE MAIN PROBLEM FOR INTENSIFICATION WILL BE THE STABLE AIR... AND THE INTENSITY FORECAST ONCE AGAIN DOES NOT SHOW AS MUCH STRENGTHENING AS THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BUT STILL KEEPS IN THE CHANCE THAT EMILIA COULD BRIEFLY BECOME A HURRICANE. IN 36-48 HOURS THE CYCLONE WILL BE MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATER THAT WILL INDUCE WEAKENING. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS ABOVE THE SHIPS GUIDANCE FOR THE FIRST 36 HOURS... THEN FOLLOWS IT CLOSELY DURING THE LATER PORTION OF THE FORECAST. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 19.2N 110.4W 50 KT 12HR VT 25/0600Z 19.8N 111.3W 55 KT 24HR VT 25/1800Z 21.0N 112.8W 65 KT 36HR VT 26/0600Z 22.3N 114.5W 60 KT 48HR VT 26/1800Z 23.5N 116.2W 45 KT 72HR VT 27/1800Z 25.0N 119.0W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 28/1800Z 26.0N 121.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART ** WTPZ21 KNHC 242044 *** TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 2100 UTC MON JUL 24 2006 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 110.4W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..140NE 180SE 140SW 140NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 110.4W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 110.1W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.8N 111.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.0N 112.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 22.3N 114.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 23.5N 116.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 25.0N 119.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 26.0N 121.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 110.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART ** WTPQ20 BABJ 242000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 242000 UTC 00HR 23.3N 120.1E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 430KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H= ** WTJP31 RJTD 242100 *** WARNING 242100. WARNING VALID 252100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0605 KAEMI (0605) 970 HPA AT 23.0N 120.0E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 252100UTC AT 24.8N 116.5E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 242100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0605 KAEMI (0605) ANALYSIS PSTN 242100UTC 23.0N 120.0E FAIR MOVE WNW 13KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 260NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 252100UTC 24.8N 116.5E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 45HF 261800UTC 26.8N 114.2E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 08KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 69HF 271800UTC 26.7N 111.4E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTPH20 RPMM 241800 *** T T T TYPHOON WARNING 16 AT 1200 24 JULY TYPHOON (KAEMI)(0605) WAS LOCATED BY PAGASA RADAR,SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO TWO POINT SIX NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT ZERO EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FIVE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS SOUTH SEMI-CIRCLE TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS ELSEWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE SEVEN TWO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS THREE SIX METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER TWO FIVE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS SOUTH SEMI-CIRCLE TWO FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 251800 TWO FIVE POINT ONE NORTH ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 242100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 242100 UTC 00HR 23.4N 119.9E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 430KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 25.0N 117.2E 970HPA 35M/S P+48HR 27.5N 115.2E 990HPA 23M/S P+72HR 31.5N 116.1E 1000HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 242200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 242200 UTC 00HR 23.5N 119.8E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 430KM 50KTS 120KM P12HR NW 15KM/H=