** WTPQ20 BABJ 191800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 191800 UTC 00HR 12.1N 139.0E 998HPA 18M/S 30KTS 50KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 15.0N 134.0E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 17.8N 130.8E 988HPA 25M/S P+72HR 20.1N 127.3E 985HPA 28M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 191800 *** WARNING 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0605 KAEMI (0605) 992 HPA AT 12.1N 139.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 14.4N 135.7E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 17.0N 132.0E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 19.2N 128.3E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 191800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0605 KAEMI (0605) ANALYSIS PSTN 191800UTC 12.1N 139.0E FAIR MOVE WNW 13KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 140NM FORECAST 24HF 201800UTC 14.4N 135.7E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 48HF 211800UTC 17.0N 132.0E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 72HF 221800UTC 19.2N 128.3E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT = ** WTKO20 RKSL 191800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2 NAME TS 0605 KAEMI ANALYSIS POSITION 191800UTC 12.0N 139.0E MOVEMENT WNW 13KT PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 201800UTC 14.5N 135.7E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 980HPA 54KT 48HR POSITION 211800UTC 16.9N 132.2E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 975HPA 60KT 72HR POSITION 221800UTC 19.2N 128.3E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 975HPA 60KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTNT42 KNHC 192048 *** TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERYL DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006 500 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 LATEST RECON PASS AROUND 2030Z INDICATED A 57 KT 850 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1002 MB. ALSO...A DROPSONDE IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT REPORTED A SURFACE WIND OF 49 KT. BASED ON THIS INFORMATION AND THE IMPROVING STRUCTURE IN RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY...THE INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 50 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 005/07 KT. RADAR AND SATELLITE POSITION ESTIMATES HAVE BEEN COMING IN 12-18 NMI WEST AND NORTHWEST OF RECON POSITIONS...INDICATING SOME NORTHWESTWARD TILT OF THE VORTEX COLUMN. BUT OVERALL...BERYL HAS BEEN MOVING SLIGHTLY EAST OF DUE NORTH FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS OR SO. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS AS BERYL MOVES NORTHWARD THROUGH A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND IS INFLUENCED MAINLY BY DEEP SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW AS NOTED IN WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS FROM UW-CIMSS. MOST OF THE MODELS TAKE A WEAK AND VERTICALLY SHALLOW BERYL INTO THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. COAST ANYWHERE FROM NEW JERSEY EASTWARD TO SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND. THE EXCEPTIONS ARE THE CANADIAN MODEL AND ESPECIALLY THE UKMET MODEL. HOWEVER... ALL OF THE MODELS KEEP THE 500 MB CIRCULATION CENTER WELL OFFSHORE LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. MY FEELING IS THAT BERYL WILL REMAIN A MORE VERTICALLY DEEP SYSTEM AND...THEREFORE... BE STEERED MORE NORTHEAST AND EASTWARD BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. THIS SCENARIO IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TWO FORECAST TRACKS AND THE UKMET AND CANADIAN MODEL CONSENSUS...AND IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE GUNA MODEL. SHOULD BERYL MOVE TO THE LEFT OF THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK... IT IS LIKELY TO DO SO AS A VERY WEAK SYSTEM. SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER AND AROUND THE CIRCULATION AND SOME ADDITIONAL SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO WHILE THE CYCLONE CENTER REMAINS OVER WARM WATER. BY 24-36 HOURS...BERYL WILL BE MOVING OVER SUB-25C SSTS RESULTING IN A WEAKENING TREND. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE STORM TO THE WARM GULFSTREAM AND THE EXPECTED CONTINUED INFLUX OF WARM UNSTABLE AIR IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE... THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE GENERATED...WHICH SHOULD ACT TO BOTH KEEP THE INTENSITY HIGHER THAN NORMAL AND MAINTAIN A DEEP VERTICAL STRUCTURE THAT HAS BEEN DISCUSSED IN THE PREVIOUS PARAGRAPH. DUE TO THE ANTICIPATED CLOSE APPROACH OF BERYL TO EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS BEING ISSUED AT THIS TIME. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/2100Z 36.3N 73.5W 50 KT 12HR VT 20/0600Z 37.4N 73.3W 55 KT 24HR VT 20/1800Z 38.7N 72.6W 55 KT 36HR VT 21/0600Z 40.3N 70.4W 50 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 21/1800Z 42.1N 67.1W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 22/1800Z 45.4N 59.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 23/1800Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE $$ FORECASTER STEWART ** WTPZ45 KNHC 192048 *** TCDEP5 HURRICANE DANIEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 200 PM PDT WED JUL 19 2006 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A VERY SMALL PINHOLE EYE SURROUNDED BY A MUCH LARGER CONCENTRIC EYEWALL. DESPITE THE APPEARANCE IN VISIBLE IMAGERY...DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES REMAIN UNCHANGED AT 77 KT FROM ALL AGENCIES. RAW CIMSS ADT INTENSITY ESTIMATES SINCE 1800 UTC HAVE BEEN MUCH HIGHER...AROUND T5.5 OR ABOUT 100 KT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 85 KT...A BLEND OF THE SUBJECTIVE AND OBJECTIVE ESTIMATES. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 275/7. THE FORECAST TRACK REASONING REMAINS UNCHANGED AS THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SOUTH OF A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS. THEREAFTER...A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO SLOW THE SYSTEM AND IMPART A GRADUAL NORTHWESTWARD TURN. MODELS HAVE CONTINUE TO SHOW A SLOWER MOTION AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A LITTLE SLOWER AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK. DANIEL CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT EXCELLENT OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE SMALLER INNER EYEWALL WILL LIKELY COLLAPSE WITH THE LARGER EYE CLEARING OUT AND BECOMING THE DOMINANT FEATURE. ONCE THIS OCCURS ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS ANTICIPATED. THEREFORE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A LITTLE HIGHER THAN THE GUIDANCE AND BRINGS DANIEL TO A MAJOR HURRICANE WITHIN 24 HOURS. LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD... THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS WHICH SHOULD START A SLOW WEAKENING TEND. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/2100Z 12.0N 120.4W 85 KT 12HR VT 20/0600Z 12.1N 121.5W 95 KT 24HR VT 20/1800Z 12.5N 122.9W 105 KT 36HR VT 21/0600Z 12.9N 124.5W 105 KT 48HR VT 21/1800Z 13.4N 126.3W 95 KT 72HR VT 22/1800Z 14.5N 130.0W 80 KT 96HR VT 23/1800Z 15.5N 133.0W 65 KT 120HR VT 24/1800Z 17.0N 136.0W 55 KT $$ FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART ** WTPZ25 KNHC 192048 *** TCMEP5 HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 2100 UTC WED JUL 19 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 120.4W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 5 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 125SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 120.4W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 120.0W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 12.1N 121.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 12.5N 122.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.9N 124.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.4N 126.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.5N 130.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 15.5N 133.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 17.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 120.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART ** WTNT22 KNHC 192048 *** TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006 2100 UTC WED JUL 19 2006 AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS FROM PLYMOUTH SOUTH AND WESTWARD TO WOODS HOLE...INCLUDING CAPE COD...NANTUCKET ISLAND AND MARTHA'S VINEYARD. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 73.5W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT....... 85NE 85SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 73.5W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.9N 73.5W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 37.4N 73.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 38.7N 72.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 40.3N 70.4W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 75SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 42.1N 67.1W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 45.4N 59.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 90SE 70SW 40NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.3N 73.5W OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART ** WTNT32 KNHC 192049 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006 500 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 ...BERYL GETTING STRONGER AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD AND PARALLELS THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS... AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS FROM PLYMOUTH SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO WOODS HOLE...INCLUDING CAPE COD...NANTUCKET ISLAND AND MARTHA'S VINEYARD. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.5 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES...220 KM...NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 390 MILES...630 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS. BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT... WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES...160 KM ...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...36.3 N...73.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART ** WTNT82 KNHC 192057 *** TCVAT2 BERYL WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006 500 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 .TROPICAL STORM BERYL MAC001-007-019-023-200300- /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.A.1002.060719T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 WOODS-HOLE-MA 41.52N 70.68W PLYMOUTH-MA 41.95N 70.65W $$ ANZ231-232-254-255-200300- /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.A.1002.060719T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 WOODS-HOLE-MA 41.52N 70.68W PLYMOUTH-MA 41.95N 70.65W $$ ATTN...WFO...BOX... ** WTCA42 TJSJ 192103 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL BERYL ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 6 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL022006 500 PM EDT MIERCOLES 19 DE JULIO DE 2006 ...BERYL FORTALECIENDOSE A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVE HACIA EL NORTE Y PARALELO A LA COSTA ESTE DE LOS ESTADOS UNIDOS... ...EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA EL SURESTE DE MASSACHUSSETTS... A LAS 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...SE EMITIO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA EL SURESTE DE MASSACHUSETS DESDE EL SUR DE PLYMOUTH Y HACIA EL OESTE HASTA WOODS HOLE...INCLUYENDO CAPE COD...NANTUCKET ISLAND Y MARTHA'S VINEYARD. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...FAVOR DE MONITOREAR LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 5 PM EDT...2100Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL BERYL ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 36.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 73.5 OESTE O COMO A 135 MILLAS...220 KILOMETROS...AL NORESTE DE CABO HATTERAS CAROLINA DEL NORTE Y COMO A 390 MILLAS...630 KILOMETROS...AL SUR SUROESTE DE NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS. BERYL SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH...13 KILOMETROS POR HORA...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE HASTA ESTA NOCHE...CON UN GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORTE NORESTE EL JUEVES. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 60 MPH...95 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ES POSIBLE ALGUN FORTALECIMENTO ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 100 MILLAS...160 KILOMETROS...MAYORMENTE DESDE EL NORESTE HASTA EL SURESTE DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ES DE 1002 MILIBARAS...29.59 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 500 PM EDT...36.3 NORTE...73.5 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...EL NORTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...60 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1002 MILIBARAS. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 8 PM SEGUIDA POR LA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 11 PM EDT. $$ PRONOSTICADOR STEWART ** WTPN31 PHNC 192200 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 05E (DANIEL) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z --- NEAR 12.0N 120.4W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N 120.4W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 12.1N 121.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 12.5N 122.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 12.9N 124.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 13.4N 126.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 14.5N 130.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 15.5N 133.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 17.0N 136.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: 192200Z POSITION NEAR 12.0N 120.8W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 36 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200400Z, 201000Z, 201600Z AND 202200Z.// ** WTJP31 RJTD 192100 *** WARNING 192100. WARNING VALID 202100. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0605 KAEMI (0605) 992 HPA AT 12.1N 138.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 202100UTC AT 14.9N 135.5E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 192100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0605 KAEMI (0605) ANALYSIS PSTN 192100UTC 12.1N 138.8E FAIR MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 140NM FORECAST 24HF 202100UTC 14.9N 135.5E 80NM 70% MOVE NW 10KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT 45HF 211800UTC 17.0N 132.0E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 69HF 221800UTC 19.2N 128.3E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT = ** WTUS81 KBOX 192147 *** HLSBOX ANZ231>233-254-255-MAZ019-022>024-202200- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM BERYL LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 547 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR CAPE COD...MARTHAS VINEYARD...NANTUCKET ...AND SOUTHEAST PLYMOUTH COUNTY TO BE IMPACTED BY TROPICAL STORM BERYL LATE THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH EXTENDS FROM PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS TO WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS. THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN... SOUTHEAST COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS. THIS STATEMENT ALSO RECOMMENDS ACTIONS FOR BOATERS IN THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS. TROPICAL STORM BERYL IS PROJECTED TO PASS APPROXIMATELY 40 MILES SOUTH OF NANTUCKET AROUND DAYBREAK FRIDAY MORNING. ON THIS TRACK... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 39 MPH COULD SPREAD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. THE MOST LIKELY AREA TO RECEIVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD BE OVER NANTUCKET...CLOSEST TO BERYL. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH LONGITUDE 73.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET. MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTH AT 8 MPH. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAD INCREASED TO 60 MPH. LOWEST BAROMETRIC PRESSURE WAS 1002 MB...OR 29.59 INCHES. THE NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. ..PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ONE OF THE BIGGEST THREATS A TROPICAL STORM CAN POSE TO NEW ENGLAND IS TO THE BOATING COMMUNITY. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE TROPICAL STORM THREAT HAS PASSED. BOAT OWNERS AND MARINA OPERATORS SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. THE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INCLUDE PREPARING GEAR TO BE ABLE TO TIE DOWN VESSELS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE LISTING OF TROPICAL STORM WATCH PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON. ...WIND IMPACTS... AT THE POINT OF CLOSEST APPROACH...WHICH WILL BE APPROXIMATELY 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO BE PACKING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF APPROXIMATELY 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WOULD BEGIN ON NANTUCKET AT APPROXIMATELY 3 AM FRIDAY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... AN ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE OF 3.9 FEET OCCURS AT NANTUCKET AT 918 PM THURSDAY NIGHT AND 2.7 FEET AT 1013 AM FRIDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO 1 TO 2 FEET WHICH WOULD CAUSE SOME MINOR SPLASHOVER TO OCCUR. AN ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE OF 10.0 FEET OCCURS AT PROVINCETOWN AT 826 PM THURSDAY NIGHT AND 8.4 FEET AT 912 AM FRIDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO 1 TO 2 FEET WHICH WOULD CAUSE SOME MINOR SPLASHOVER TO OCCUR. THE SURGES THAT ACTUALLY OCCUR WILL DEPEND ON THE EVENTUAL SPEED OF THE STORM. THE ARRIVAL TIME OF THE STORM...WHETHER IT ARRIVES AT HIGH TIDE OR AT LOW TIDE...WILL ALSO AFFECT THESE VALUES. ...RIVER AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM BERYL MAY PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS DURING THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. IN PLYMOUTH AND BRISTOL COUNTIES OF MASSACHUSETTS AS WELL AS RHODE ISLAND...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN. AS A RESULT...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR FLOODING. ON CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS...MINOR FLOODING WOULD BE INITIATED IF 3 INCHES OF RAIN WERE TO OCCUR IN ONE HOUR OR 4.5 INCHES IN 3 HOURS. ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND IN RHODE ISLAND...2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN ONE HOUR OR 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IN 3 HOURS WOULD INITIATE FLOODING. AT THIS TIME...THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL IS OVER CAPE COD...MARTHAS VINEYARD...AND NANTUCKET. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON BY 9 PM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON PREPAREDNESS MEASURES FOR BOTH COASTAL AND INLAND RESIDENTS WILL BE CONTAINED IN PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS /KBOXPNSBOX/ THAT WILL BE ISSUED THROUGHOUT THE STORM THREAT. ADDITIONAL STORM INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND IN SHORT TERM FORECASTS /KBOXNOWBOX/...AND IN THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER PRODUCTS. $$ FIELD/NBELK ** WTNT32 KNHC 192152 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006 500 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 ...BERYL GETTING STRONGER AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD AND PARALLELS THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS... AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS FROM PLYMOUTH SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO WOODS HOLE...INCLUDING CAPE COD...NANTUCKET ISLAND AND MARTHA'S VINEYARD. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.5 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES...220 KM...NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 390 MILES...630 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS. BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT... WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES...160 KM ...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...36.3 N...73.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART ** WTUS81 KBOX 192208 *** HLSBOX ANZ231>233-254-255-MAZ019-022>024-200130- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM BERYL LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 608 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR CAPE COD...MARTHAS VINEYARD...NANTUCKET ...AND SOUTHEAST PLYMOUTH COUNTY TO BE IMPACTED BY TROPICAL STORM BERYL LATE THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH EXTENDS FROM PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS TO WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS. THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN... SOUTHEAST COASTAL MASSACHUSETTS. THIS STATEMENT ALSO RECOMMENDS ACTIONS FOR BOATERS IN THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS. TROPICAL STORM BERYL IS PROJECTED TO PASS APPROXIMATELY 40 MILES SOUTH OF NANTUCKET AROUND DAYBREAK FRIDAY MORNING. ON THIS TRACK... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 39 MPH COULD SPREAD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. THE MOST LIKELY AREA TO RECEIVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WOULD BE OVER NANTUCKET...CLOSEST TO BERYL. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.3 NORTH LONGITUDE 73.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET. MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTH AT 8 MPH. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAD INCREASED TO 60 MPH. LOWEST BAROMETRIC PRESSURE WAS 1002 MB...OR 29.59 INCHES. THE NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. ..PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ONE OF THE BIGGEST THREATS A TROPICAL STORM CAN POSE TO NEW ENGLAND IS TO THE BOATING COMMUNITY. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE TROPICAL STORM THREAT HAS PASSED. BOAT OWNERS AND MARINA OPERATORS SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. THE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS INCLUDE PREPARING GEAR TO BE ABLE TO TIE DOWN VESSELS. FOR A MORE COMPLETE LISTING OF TROPICAL STORM WATCH PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON. ...WIND IMPACTS... AT THE POINT OF CLOSEST APPROACH...WHICH WILL BE APPROXIMATELY 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO BE PACKING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF APPROXIMATELY 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WOULD BEGIN ON NANTUCKET AT APPROXIMATELY 3 AM FRIDAY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... AN ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE OF 3.9 FEET OCCURS AT NANTUCKET AT 918 PM THURSDAY NIGHT AND 2.7 FEET AT 1013 AM FRIDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO 1 TO 2 FEET WHICH WOULD CAUSE SOME MINOR SPLASHOVER TO OCCUR. AN ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE OF 10.0 FEET OCCURS AT PROVINCETOWN AT 826 PM THURSDAY NIGHT AND 8.4 FEET AT 912 AM FRIDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED TO 1 TO 2 FEET WHICH WOULD CAUSE SOME MINOR SPLASHOVER TO OCCUR. THE SURGES THAT ACTUALLY OCCUR WILL DEPEND ON THE EVENTUAL SPEED OF THE STORM. THE ARRIVAL TIME OF THE STORM...WHETHER IT ARRIVES AT HIGH TIDE OR AT LOW TIDE...WILL ALSO AFFECT THESE VALUES. ...RIVER AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM BERYL MAY PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS DURING THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. IN PLYMOUTH AND BRISTOL COUNTIES OF MASSACHUSETTS AS WELL AS RHODE ISLAND...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN. AS A RESULT...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR FLOODING. ON CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS...MINOR FLOODING WOULD BE INITIATED IF 3 INCHES OF RAIN WERE TO OCCUR IN ONE HOUR OR 4.5 INCHES IN 3 HOURS. ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND IN RHODE ISLAND...2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN ONE HOUR OR 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IN 3 HOURS WOULD INITIATE FLOODING. AT THIS TIME...THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL IS OVER CAPE COD...MARTHAS VINEYARD...AND NANTUCKET. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON BY 9 PM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON PREPAREDNESS MEASURES FOR BOTH COASTAL AND INLAND RESIDENTS WILL BE CONTAINED IN PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS /KBOXPNSBOX/ THAT WILL BE ISSUED THROUGHOUT THE STORM THREAT. ADDITIONAL STORM INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND IN SHORT TERM FORECASTS /KBOXNOWBOX/...AND IN THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER PRODUCTS. $$ FIELD/NBELK ** WTNT32 KNHC 192354 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006 800 PM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 ...BERYL NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS FROM PLYMOUTH TO WOODS HOLE...INCLUDING CAPE COD...NANTUCKET ISLAND AND MARTHA'S VINEYARD. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES...470 KM...SOUTH OF NEW YORK CITY AND ABOUT 365 MILES...585 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS. BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...200 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...36.6 N...73.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN