** WTNT82 KNHC 190609 *** TCVAT2 BERYL WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006 200 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 .TROPICAL STORM BERYL NCC031-055-095-190900- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 200 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 CAPE-LOOKOUT-NC 34.60N 76.53W CURRITUCK-BEACH-LIGHT-NC 36.38N 75.83W $$ AMZ150-152-154-156-190900- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 200 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 CAPE-LOOKOUT-NC 34.60N 76.53W CURRITUCK-BEACH-LIGHT-NC 36.38N 75.83W $$ ATTN...WFO...MHX... ** WTCA42 TJSJ 190610 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL BERYL ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 3A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL022006 200 AM EDT MIERCOLES 19 DE JULIO DE 2006 ...BERYL MOSTRANDO POCO PEQUENO CAMBIO EN INTENSIDAD... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE DESDE EL NORTE DE CABO LOOKOUT HACIA EL NORTE HASTA EL SUR DE CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA SOBRE SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA DE METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. A LAS 200 AM EDT...0600Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL BERYL ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 34.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 73.8 OESTE O COMO A 115 MILLAS...185 KILOMETROS...AL SURESTE DE CABO HATTERAS CAROLINA DEL NORTE. BERYL SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH...13 KILOMETROS POR HORA...Y SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO GENERAL HACIA EL NORTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ES POSIBLE ALGUN FORTALECIMENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 70 MILLAS...110 KILOMETROS AL NORTE Y ESTE DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1006 MILIBARAS...29.71 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 200 AM EDT...34.5 NORTE...73.8 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...EL NORTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1006 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 500 AM EDT. $$ PRONOSTICADOR PASCH ** WTIN20 DEMS 190650 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 19-07-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER HEAD BAY, NORTH NORTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING EAST CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 32 DEG NORTH OVER THE INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTJP21 RJTD 190600 *** WARNING 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0605 KAEMI (0605) 1002 HPA AT 11.7N 140.7E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 14.1N 137.4E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 16.3N 134.4E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 17.6N 132.5E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 190600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0605 KAEMI (0605) ANALYSIS PSTN 190600UTC 11.7N 140.7E FAIR MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 1002HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 200600UTC 14.1N 137.4E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT 48HF 210600UTC 16.3N 134.4E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 72HF 220600UTC 17.6N 132.5E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT = ** WTPQ30 RJTD 190600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 3 FOR TS 0605 KAEMI (0605) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 190600 UTC IS FAIR. TS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TS WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TS WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 190600 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 1 NAME TS 0605 KAEMI ANALYSIS POSITION 190600UTC 11.7N 140.7E MOVEMENT WNW 15KT PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 200600UTC 14.0N 137.2E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 995HPA 41KT 48HR POSITION 210600UTC 16.3N 134.1E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 45KT 72HR POSITION 220600UTC 17.4N 132.2E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 49KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 190600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS KAEMI 0605 (0605) INITIAL TIME 190600 UTC 00HR 11.7N 140.7E 998HPA 18M/S 30KTS 50KM P12HR WNW 20KM/H P+24HR 14.0N 137.4E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 16.5N 134.5E 988HPA 25M/S P+72HR 18.1N 132.0E 985HPA 28M/S= ** WTNT32 KNHC 190834 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006 500 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 ...BERYL MOVING NORTHWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.7 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...34.7 N...73.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH ** WTPZ45 KNHC 190835 *** TCDEP5 HURRICANE DANIEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 200 AM PDT WED JUL 19 2006 AN EARLIER SSMIS OVERPASS SUGGESTED THAT DANIEL WAS DEVELOPING A BANDING EYE FEATURE. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY NOW DEPICTS A WARM SPOT...INDICATING POSSIBLE PIN HOLE EYE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE CORE CONVECTION. DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITIES ARE 77 KT FROM ALL AGENCIES AND THE ODT IS 85 KT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 80 KT. THE GFDL AND A MAJORITY OF THE GLOBAL MODELS MAINTAIN AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE OVER DANIEL FOR THE NEXT 2 DAYS. AFTERWARD...THE UPPER HIGH IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE'S TRACK CREATING A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. THIS CHANGE IN THE ATMOSPHERE ALOFT AND COOLER SSTS SHOULD INITIATE A SLOW WEAKENING TREND. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS BASED ON A BLEND OF SHIPS...GFDL...AND THE FSU SUPERENSEMBLE. INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 265/8. SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND A BIT SLOWER. A DEEP-LAYER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM SHOULD INFLUENCE A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS. THEREAFTER...A MAJORITY OF THE MODELS SUGGEST A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE WILL CAUSE DANIEL TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS BASED ON A MODEL CONSENSUS AND IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY FORECAST TRACK. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0900Z 11.8N 119.0W 80 KT 12HR VT 19/1800Z 11.8N 120.3W 90 KT 24HR VT 20/0600Z 12.1N 121.9W 100 KT 36HR VT 20/1800Z 12.5N 123.6W 100 KT 48HR VT 21/0600Z 12.9N 125.5W 100 KT 72HR VT 22/0600Z 13.6N 129.3W 90 KT 96HR VT 23/0600Z 14.5N 133.0W 80 KT 120HR VT 24/0600Z 15.5N 136.0W 70 KT $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH ** WTPZ25 KNHC 190836 *** TCMEP5 HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 0900 UTC WED JUL 19 2006 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 119.0W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 119.0W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 118.6W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 11.8N 120.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 90SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 12.1N 121.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 12.5N 123.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.9N 125.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.6N 129.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 90SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 14.5N 133.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 15.5N 136.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 119.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH ** WTJP21 RJTD 190600 CCA *** WARNING 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0605 KAEMI (0605) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 11.7N 140.7E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 14.1N 137.4E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 16.3N 134.4E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 17.6N 132.5E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 190600 CCA *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0605 KAEMI (0605) UPGRADED FROM TD ANALYSIS PSTN 190600UTC 11.7N 140.7E FAIR MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 1002HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 200600UTC 14.1N 137.4E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT 48HF 210600UTC 16.3N 134.4E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 72HF 220600UTC 17.6N 132.5E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT = ** WTNT22 KNHC 190837 *** TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006 0900 UTC WED JUL 19 2006 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 73.7W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 73.7W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 73.8W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 35.7N 73.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 36.9N 73.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 38.6N 72.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 40.3N 70.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 44.0N 64.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 47.0N 55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 73.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH ** WTNT42 KNHC 190840 *** TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERYL DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006 500 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 THE CENTER WOBBLED A BIT TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST A FEW HOURS AGO BUT A RECENT FIX FROM THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE THAT THE MOTION IS TOWARD THE NORTH...I.E. 360/6. A MID-TROPOSPHERIC SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS CURRENTLY PASSING BY THE LONGITUDE OF BERYL AND GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT ANOTHER ONE WILL BE APPROACHING THE SYSTEM IN 36-48 HOURS...WITH A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE HOLDING IN PLACE TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. THIS STEERING PATTERN SHOULD CAUSE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED SOMEWHAT TO THE LEFT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...OUT OF RESPECT FOR A LEFTWARD SHIFT IN THE GFDL AND GFS TRACKS. HOWEVER BOTH OF THESE MODELS SHOW A VERY WEAK SYSTEM IN A COUPLE OF DAYS AND IN FACT THE GFS SUGGEST THAT BERYL WILL BEGIN TO MERGE WITH AN APPROACHING EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IN 2-3 DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSEST TO THE U.K. MET. OFFICE TRACK WHICH APPEARS TO BE A REASONABLE SOLUTION BASED ON THE STEERING SCENARIO DESCRIBED ABOVE. BERYL IS LIKELY TO MERGE WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...IF NOT SOONER. THE HURRICANE HUNTERS FOUND THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HOLDING STEADY NEAR 1005 MB...AND PEAK 850 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS WERE 45 KT OVER THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. THIS JUST SUPPORTS TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. SOME DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AROUND THE BROAD CENTER BUT THE TOPS ARE NOT VERY COLD. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN 25-27 DEG C RANGE ALONG THE TRACK OF BERYL FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS SO THERE IS STILL THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME STRENGTHENING. HOWEVER ANIMATION OF INFRARED IMAGES SHOW CIRRUS ELEMENTS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTER OF THE STORM...INDICATIVE OF SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. GIVEN THE MARGINAL UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT...A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN STRENGTH APPEARS UNLIKELY. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST IS BEING KEPT AS A PRECAUTION AT THIS TIME. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0900Z 34.7N 73.7W 35 KT 12HR VT 19/1800Z 35.7N 73.7W 40 KT 24HR VT 20/0600Z 36.9N 73.7W 45 KT 36HR VT 20/1800Z 38.6N 72.8W 50 KT 48HR VT 21/0600Z 40.3N 70.7W 50 KT 72HR VT 22/0600Z 44.0N 64.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 23/0600Z 47.0N 55.0W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 24/0600Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE $$ FORECASTER PASCH ** WTNT82 KNHC 190840 *** TCVAT2 BERYL WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006 500 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 .TROPICAL STORM BERYL NCC031-055-095-191500- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 CAPE-LOOKOUT-NC 34.60N 76.53W CURRITUCK-BEACH-LIGHT-NC 36.38N 75.83W $$ AMZ150-152-154-156-191500- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.A.1002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 CAPE-LOOKOUT-NC 34.60N 76.53W CURRITUCK-BEACH-LIGHT-NC 36.38N 75.83W $$ ATTN...WFO...MHX... ** WTCA42 TJSJ 190844 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL BERYL ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 4 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL022006 500 AM EDT MIERCOLES 19 DE JULIO DE 2006 ...BERYL MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL NORTE SIN CAMBIO EN INTENSIDAD... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE DESDE EL NORTE DE CABO LOOKOUT HACIA EL NORTE HASTA EL SUR DE CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA SOBRE SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA DE METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. A LAS 500 AM EDT...0900Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL BERYL ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 34.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 73.7 OESTE O COMO A 110 MILLAS...175 KILOMETROS...AL ESTE-SURESTE DE CABO HATTERAS CAROLINA DEL NORTE. BERYL SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH...11 KILOMETROS POR HORA...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE HOY Y ESTA NOCHE. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ES POSIBLE ALGUN FORTALECIMENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 70 MILLAS...110 KILOMETROS DEL CENTRO. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA RECIENTEMENTE REPORTO UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA DE 1005 MILIBARAS...29.68 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 500 AM EDT...34.7 NORTE...73.7 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...EL NORTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARAS. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 800 AM EDT SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 1100 AM EDT. $$ PRONOSTICADOR PASCH ** WTPN31 PGTW 190900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (KAEMI) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z --- NEAR 11.9N 140.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N 140.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 13.3N 138.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 14.7N 136.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 16.2N 134.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 17.5N 133.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 20.0N 129.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 21.9N 126.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 23.7N 123.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: 190900Z POSITION NEAR 12.3N 140.4E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (KAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z, 192100Z, 200300Z AND 200900Z.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 190900 *** PART ONE OF THREE PARTS MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUB ** WTUS82 KMHX 190913 *** HLSMHX AMZ150-152-154-156-NCZ095-103-104-191800- TROPICAL STORM BERYL LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 515 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING AREAS: CARTERET...OUTER BANKS DARE AND OUTER BANKS HYDE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AT 5 AM EDT A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.7 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... COASTAL RESIDENTS FROM CARTERET COUNTY NORTH ALONG THE OUTER BANKS ARE URGED TO TAKE ACTION NOW TO PROTECT ANY PROPERTY THAT MAY BE THREATENED BY TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE OUTER BANKS. WATER LEVEL INCREASES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS. ...WIND IMPACTS... BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN OFFSHORE. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS... THE THREAT FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE ALONG THE EAST FACING BEACHES NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT LATE TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND NOON. $$ COLE ** WTPQ20 RJTD 190900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0605 KAEMI (0605) ANALYSIS PSTN 190900UTC 12.0N 140.3E FAIR MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 100NM FORECAST 24HF 200900UTC 14.7N 136.9E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 10KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT 45HF 210600UTC 16.3N 134.4E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 69HF 220600UTC 17.6N 132.5E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT = ** WTPN31 PHNC 191000 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. HURRICANE 05E (DANIEL) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z --- NEAR 11.8N 118.6W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N 118.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 11.8N 120.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 12.1N 121.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 12.5N 123.6W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 12.9N 125.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 13.6N 129.3W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 14.5N 133.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 15.5N 136.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 191000Z POSITION NEAR 11.8N 119.0W. AT 190600Z HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED 604 NM SW OF SOCORRO ISLAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191600Z, 192200Z, 200400Z AND 201000Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 191103 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KAEMI (06W) ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 800 PM GUAM LST WED JUL 19 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM KAEMI MOVING AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAEMI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 140.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM 345 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ROTA 400 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN 405 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN 175 MILES NORTH OF FAIS IN YAP STATE 175 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ULITHI IN YAP STATE. TROPICAL STORM KAEMI IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM KAEMI IS MOVING AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...12.3 DEGREES NORTH AND 140.4 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY THAT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL ISSUE ON TROPICAL STORM KAEMI. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTNT32 KNHC 191139 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006 800 AM EDT WED JUL 19 2006 ...BERYL SLIGHTLY STRONGER AS IT CONTINUES NORTHWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT. THE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.7 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...165 KM...EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES...160 KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...35.1 N...73.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART ** WTCA42 TJSJ 191151 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL BERYL ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 4A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL022006 800 AM EDT MIERCOLES 19 DE JULIO DE 2006 ...BERYL LIGERAMENTE MAS FUERTE MIENTRAS CONTINUA HACIA EL NORTE... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA ESTE DE CAROLINA DEL NORTE DESDE EL NORTE DE CABO LOOKOUT HACIA EL NORTE HASTA EL SUR DE CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT. POSIBLEMENTE SE DESCONTINUARA LA VIGILANCIA MAS TARDE ESTA MANANA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA SOBRE SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA DE METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. A LAS 800 AM EDT...1200Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL BERYL ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 35.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 73.7 OESTE O COMO A 105 MILLAS...165 KILOMETROS...AL ESTE DE CABO HATTERAS CAROLINA DEL NORTE. BERYL SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH...11 KILOMETROS POR HORA...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE HASTA ESTA NOCHE. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ES POSIBLE ALGUN FORTALECIMENTO ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 100 MILLAS...160 KILOMETROS...MAYORMENTE DESDE EL NORESTE HASTA EL SURESTE DEL CENTRO. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA RECIENTEMENTE REPORTO UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA DE 1005 MILIBARAS...29.68 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 800 AM EDT...35.1 NORTE...73.7 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...EL NORTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1005 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 1100 AM EDT. $$ PRONOSTICADOR STEWART