** WTJP21 RJTD 101200 *** WARNING 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 990 HPA AT 36.8N 127.0E KOREA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 13 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 40.0N 130.2E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 42.6N 133.6E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 101200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 101200UTC 36.8N 127.0E GOOD MOVE NNE 13KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 150NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 111200UTC 42.6N 133.6E 100NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 101200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 101200 UTC 00HR 37.5N 128.4E 995HPA 18M/S 30KTS 100KM P12HR NNE 35KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 101200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS JELAWAT 0604 (0604) INITIAL TIME 101200 UTC 00HR 16.9N 131.1E 995HPA 20M/S 30KTS 300KM P12HR NW 25KM/H P+24HR 18.9N 128.9E 985HPA 25M/S P+48HR 21.3N 126.5E 980HPA 30M/S P+72HR 24.0N 123.5E 970HPA 35M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 101200 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS BILIS 0604 (0604) INITIAL TIME 101200 UTC 00HR 16.9N 131.1E 995HPA 20M/S 30KTS 300KM P12HR NW 25KM/H P+24HR 18.9N 128.9E 985HPA 25M/S P+48HR 21.3N 126.5E 980HPA 30M/S P+72HR 24.0N 123.5E 970HPA 35M/S= ** WTJP22 RJTD 101200 *** WARNING 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0604 BILIS (0604) 992 HPA AT 16.9N 131.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 19.5N 128.3E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 22.2N 125.4E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 24.3N 121.8E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 101200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0604 BILIS (0604) ANALYSIS PSTN 101200UTC 16.9N 131.3E FAIR MOVE WNW 11KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 240NM EAST 180NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 111200UTC 19.5N 128.3E 80NM 70% MOVE NW 09KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 48HF 121200UTC 22.2N 125.4E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 09KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 72HF 131200UTC 24.3N 121.8E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT = ** WTKO20 RKSL 101200 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 29 NAME TS 0603 EWINIAR ANALYSIS POSITION 101200UTC 37.3N 127.4E MOVEMENT NE 19KT PRES/VMAX 992HPA 37KT FORECAST 03HR POSITION 101500UTC 38.1N 127.9E WITHIN 0NM PRES 998HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTKO20 RKSL 101300 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 30 NAME TD 0603 EWINIAR ANALYSIS POSITION 101300UTC 37.6N 127.9E MOVEMENT NE 22KT PRES 998HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPN32 PGTW 101500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (BILIS) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z --- NEAR 17.1N 131.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N 131.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 18.4N 129.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 19.4N 128.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z --- 20.3N 127.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 21.1N 125.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 22.7N 124.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 24.4N 122.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 26.6N 120.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 101500Z POSITION NEAR 17.4N 130.8E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (BILIS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 575 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS REVEAL THE STORM CIRCULATION IS NEARLY 600 NM ACROSS. A 100855Z QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTS 25 KNOT GRADIENT-ENHANCED WINDS EXTENDING NEARLY 300 NM FROM THE STORM CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z.// ** WTPH20 RPMM 101200 *** TTT GALE WARNING 03 AT 1200 10 JULY TROPICAL STORM (BILIS) (0604) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE SIX POINT NINE NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT TWO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ZERO FOUR METER PER SECOND ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN FOUR ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE FOUR HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS TWO ONE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN FOUR ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSTIONS AT 111200 ONE NINE POINT FOUR NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT THREE EAST AT 121200 TWO TWO POINT TWO NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT FIVE EAST AND AT 131200 TWO FOUR POINT THREE NORTH ONE TWO THREE POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 101500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 101500UTC 37.7N 127.6E GOOD MOVE NNE 17KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 111500UTC 43.3N 134.5E 100NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPQ21 RJTD 101500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0604 BILIS (0604) ANALYSIS PSTN 101500UTC 17.1N 130.5E FAIR MOVE W 15KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 240NM EAST 180NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 111500UTC 19.9N 128.0E 80NM 70% MOVE NW 10KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 050KT 45HF 121200UTC 22.2N 125.4E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 09KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 69HF 131200UTC 24.3N 121.8E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT = ** WTJP32 RJTD 101500 *** WARNING 101500. WARNING VALID 111500. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0604 BILIS (0604) 992 HPA AT 17.1N 130.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111500UTC AT 19.9N 128.0E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTNT80 EGRR 101737 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.07.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 101737