** WTPQ20 BABJ 081800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 081800 UTC 00HR 26.0N 126.0E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 180KM P12HR N 20KM/H P+24HR 30.5N 125.6E 970HPA 35M/S P+48HR 37.2N 126.0E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 45.7N 129.2E 1000HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 081800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 081800UTC 26.3N 125.9E GOOD MOVE N 12KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 90NM EAST 80NM WEST 30KT 250NM EAST 200NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 091800UTC 31.4N 124.6E 90NM 70% MOVE N 13KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 48HF 101800UTC 37.8N 124.3E 170NM 70% MOVE N 16KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 055KT 72HF 111800UTC 46.0N 129.0E 270NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTJP21 RJTD 081800 *** WARNING 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 955 HPA AT 26.3N 125.9E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 28.7N 125.1E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 31.4N 124.6E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 37.8N 124.3E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 46.0N 129.0E WITH 270 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 081800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 18 NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR ANALYSIS POSITION 081800UTC 26.3N 125.9E MOVEMENT N 12KT PRES/VMAX 955HPA 74KT FORECAST 12HR POSITION 090600UTC 28.7N 125.0E WITHIN 45NM PRES/VMAX 960HPA 70KT 24HR POSITION 091800UTC 31.6N 124.6E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 970HPA 58KT 36HR POSITION 100600UTC 34.6N 124.5E WITHIN 110NM PRES/VMAX 975HPA 54KT 48HR POSITION 101800UTC 38.1N 124.8E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 51KT 72HR POSITION 111800UTC 45.1N 127.8E WITHIN 0NM PRES 995HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ21 RJTD 081800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 081800UTC 12.2N 139.4E POOR MOVE W 10KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 091800UTC 14.0N 137.6E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTPN31 PGTW 082100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/081952JUL2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z --- NEAR 26.3N 125.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N 125.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 28.9N 125.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 31.9N 125.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 35.0N 125.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 38.5N 125.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 46.3N 128.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 082100Z POSITION NEAR 27.0N 125.7E. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM WEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z, 090900Z, 091500Z AND 092100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPN32 PGTW 082100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081951ZJUL06// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z --- NEAR 12.2N 139.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N 139.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 12.7N 137.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 13.7N 135.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 15.2N 133.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 16.9N 132.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 18.6N 129.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 082100Z POSITION NEAR 12.3N 138.7E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z, 090900Z, 091500Z AND 092100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 04W (EWINIAR) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 082100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 082100 UTC 00HR 26.8N 126.0E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR N 25KM/H P+24HR 33.0N 125.6E 980HPA 30M/S P+48HR 39.6N 126.3E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 46.7N 130.0E 1000HPA 15M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 082100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 082100UTC 26.8N 125.8E GOOD MOVE N 12KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 90NM EAST 80NM WEST 30KT 250NM EAST 200NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 092100UTC 32.6N 124.3E 90NM 70% MOVE NNW 15KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 45HF 101800UTC 37.8N 124.3E 170NM 70% MOVE N 16KT PRES 985HPA MXWD 055KT 69HF 111800UTC 46.0N 129.0E 270NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTJP31 RJTD 082100 *** WARNING 082100. WARNING VALID 092100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 955 HPA AT 26.8N 125.8E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090900UTC AT 29.5N 125.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 092100UTC AT 32.6N 124.3E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ21 RJTD 082100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 082100UTC 12.2N 139.0E POOR MOVE W 09KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 092100UTC 14.0N 137.3E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTPQ32 PGUM 082151 *** TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST SUN JUL 9 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W MOVING WEST... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 138.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 200 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF YAP 175 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ULITHI 215 MILES NORTHWEST OF FAIS 415 MILES WEST OF GUAM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W IS MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS...AND SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...12.3 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 138.7 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE