** WTPQ20 BABJ 071800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 071800 UTC 00HR 22.6N 126.6E 940HPA 50M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 190KM P12HR NW 12KM/H P+24HR 25.9N 125.6E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 30.0N 125.0E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 36.3N 125.6E 970HPA 35M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 071800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 071800UTC 22.5N 126.5E GOOD MOVE NW 07KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 250NM SOUTHEAST 190NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 081800UTC 25.4N 125.2E 90NM 70% MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 48HF 091800UTC 30.1N 123.8E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW 12KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 72HF 101800UTC 37.6N 123.4E 220NM 70% MOVE N 18KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 071800 *** WARNING 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 950 HPA AT 22.5N 126.5E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 190 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 23.8N 125.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 25.4N 125.2E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 30.1N 123.8E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 37.6N 123.4E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 071800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 15 NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR ANALYSIS POSITION 071800UTC 22.5N 126.5E MOVEMENT NW 7KT PRES/VMAX 950HPA 80KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 081800UTC 25.7N 125.4E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 950HPA 80KT 48HR POSITION 091800UTC 30.3N 124.8E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 68KT 72HR POSITION 101800UTC 35.8N 124.8E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPN31 PGTW 072100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z --- NEAR 22.5N 126.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N 126.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 24.1N 125.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 26.2N 125.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 28.9N 124.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 31.5N 124.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 37.3N 126.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 21 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 44.1N 132.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 072100Z POSITION NEAR 22.9N 126.4E. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 072100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 072100 UTC 00HR 23.0N 126.6E 940HPA 50M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 180KM P12HR NNW 12KM/H P+24HR 26.1N 125.4E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 30.6N 125.0E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 36.8N 125.5E 970HPA 35M/S= ** WTPH RPLL 071800 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 23 AT 1800Z 08 JULY TYPHOON (EWINAIR)(0603)WAS LOCATED BASE ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 22.5 NORTH 126.7 EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH NORTHWEST AT 03 MPS ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 350KMS NORTHEAST SEMI-CIRCLE 450KMS ELSEWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 HEXTOPASCAL MAXIMUM WINDS 46MPS NEAR CENTER 33MPS WITHIN 150KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER 13MPS WITHIN 350KMS NORTHEAST SEMI-CIRCLE 450KMS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 081800Z 24.8 NORTH 125.5 EAST AT 091800Z 27.2 NORTH 125.7 EAST ALL SHIPS W/HIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPH20 RPMM 071800 *** T T T GALE WARNING 23 AT 1800 07 JULY TYPHOON (EWINIAR)(0603) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO TWO POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO SIX POINT SEVEN EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH NORTHWEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS NORTHEAST SEMI-CIRCLE FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS ELSEWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FIVE FOUR HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR SIX METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS NORTHEAST SEMI-CIRCEL FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 081800 TWO FOUR POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT EAST AT 091800 TWO SEVEN POINT TWO NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT TWO NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT SEVEN EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTJP31 RJTD 072100 *** WARNING 072100. WARNING VALID 082100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 950 HPA AT 22.9N 126.6E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 190 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080900UTC AT 24.4N 125.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 082100UTC AT 26.1N 124.9E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 072100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 072100UTC 22.9N 126.6E GOOD MOVE NNW 07KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 250NM EAST 190NM WEST FORECAST 24HF 082100UTC 26.1N 124.9E 90NM 70% MOVE NNW 09KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 45HF 091800UTC 30.1N 123.8E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW 12KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 69HF 101800UTC 37.6N 123.4E 220NM 70% MOVE N 18KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT =