** WTSR20 WSSS 061800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTCA31 MHTG 070014Z *** MHTG SIGMET1 VALID 070000/070300 MHTG- CENTROAMERICA FIR ACT AREA TS OBS SATELLITE IMAGERY BTN N14.0 AND N18.0 W83.0 AND W88.0 FQR TS CB TPS FL500 MVNG W INTSF= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 070000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 070000 UTC 00HR 20.7N 127.6E 940HPA 50M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 200KM P12HR NW 10KM/H P+24HR 22.9N 126.2E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 25.5N 125.4E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 30.5N 125.0E 960HPA 40M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 070000 *** WARNING 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 950 HPA AT 20.8N 127.6E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 23.4N 126.7E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 27.8N 125.9E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 32.9N 125.3E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 070000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 070000UTC 20.8N 127.6E GOOD MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 240NM SOUTH 200NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 080000UTC 23.4N 126.7E 90NM 70% MOVE NNW 06KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 48HF 090000UTC 27.8N 125.9E 150NM 70% MOVE N 11KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 72HF 100000UTC 32.9N 125.3E 220NM 70% MOVE N 12KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT = ** WTCA31 MHTG 070107Z *** MHTG SIGMET2 VALID 070200/071400Z MHTG- CENTROAMERICA FIR ACT AREA TS OBS SATELLITE IMAGERY BTN N14.0 AND N18.0 W83.0 AND W88.0 FQR TS CB TPS FL500 MVNG W NC= ** WTPQ30 RJTD 070000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.14 FOR TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 070000 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN ACCELERATE. TY WILL MOVE NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN MOVE TO NORTH-NORTHWEST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 5.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPN31 PGTW 070300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z --- NEAR 20.7N 127.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.7N 127.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 21.9N 127.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 23.7N 126.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 25.8N 126.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 28.4N 125.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 34.1N 126.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 20 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 40.4N 132.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z --- 47.9N 140.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 070300Z POSITION NEAR 21.0N 127.4E. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM SOUTH OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z, 071500Z, 072100Z AND 080300Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 070300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 070300 UTC 00HR 21.0N 127.5E 940HPA 50M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 200KM P12HR NW 10KM/H= ** WTJP31 RJTD 070300 *** WARNING 070300. WARNING VALID 080300. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 950 HPA AT 21.1N 127.5E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080300UTC AT 23.7N 126.3E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 070300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 070300UTC 21.1N 127.5E GOOD MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 240NM SOUTH 200NM NORTH FORECAST 24HF 080300UTC 23.7N 126.3E 90NM 70% MOVE NNW 06KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 45HF 090000UTC 27.8N 125.9E 150NM 70% MOVE N 11KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 69HF 100000UTC 32.9N 125.3E 220NM 70% MOVE N 12KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT = ** WTNT80 EGRR 070502 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.07.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 070502