** WTSR20 WSSS 060600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 061200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 061200 UTC 00HR 20.1N 128.2E 940HPA 50M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 200KM P12HR NW 10KM/H P+24HR 22.0N 127.0E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 25.3N 126.3E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 29.0N 125.5E 950HPA 45M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 061200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 061200UTC 20.1N 128.3E GOOD MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 90NM 30KT 240NM FORECAST 24HF 071200UTC 22.2N 127.2E 90NM 70% MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 48HF 081200UTC 25.7N 126.4E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 72HF 091200UTC 31.4N 126.3E 220NM 70% MOVE N 14KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 061200 *** WARNING 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 940 HPA AT 20.1N 128.3E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 22.2N 127.2E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 25.7N 126.4E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 31.4N 126.3E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPN31 PGTW 061500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z --- NEAR 20.1N 128.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N 128.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z --- 21.1N 127.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z --- 22.6N 127.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z --- 24.1N 126.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 26.2N 126.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 31.1N 127.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 18 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 37.5N 131.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 45.3N 139.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 061500Z POSITION NEAR 20.4N 128.1E. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM SOUTH OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 39 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z, 070300Z, 070900Z AND 071500Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 061500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 061500 UTC 00HR 20.3N 128.1E 940HPA 50M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 200KM P12HR NW 10KM/H P+24HR 22.8N 126.8E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 26.0N 126.3E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 32.0N 126.8E 960HPA 40M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 061500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 061500UTC 20.3N 128.1E GOOD MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 90NM 30KT 240NM FORECAST 24HF 071500UTC 22.5N 127.1E 90NM 70% MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 45HF 081200UTC 25.7N 126.4E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 69HF 091200UTC 31.4N 126.3E 220NM 70% MOVE N 14KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTJP31 RJTD 061500 *** WARNING 061500. WARNING VALID 071500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 940 HPA AT 20.3N 128.1E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071500UTC AT 22.5N 127.1E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPH RPLL 061200 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 18 AT 1200 06 JULY TYPHOON (EWINIAR) (1603) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 20.1N 128.2E MOVING NORTHWEST AT 08 MPS ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 350 KMS NORTHEAST SEMI-CIRCLE 450 KMS ELSEWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 954 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 46 MPS NEAR CENTER 33 MPS WITHIN 150 KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER 13 MPS WITHIN 350 KMS NORTHEAST SEMI-CIRCLE 450 KMS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 071200 22.0N 126.5E AT 081200 24.1N 125.2E AND AT 091200 27.4N 124.4E ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPH20 RPMM 061200 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 18 AT 1200 JULY TYPHOON (EWINIAR) {0603) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO ZERO POINT ONE NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT TWO EAST MOVING NORTH- WEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENO- MENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS NORTH- EAST AT SEMI-CIRCLE FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS ELSE- WHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FIVE FOUR HECTO- PASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR SIX METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS NORTH- WEST SEMI-CIRCLE FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 071200 TWO TWO POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO SIX POINT FIVE EAST AT 081200 TWO FOUR POINT ONE NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT TWO EAST AND AT 091200 TWO SEVEN POINT FOUR NORTH ONE TWO FOUR POINT FOUR EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA= ** WTNT80 EGRR 061722 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.07.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 061722