** WTSR20 WSSS 051800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 060000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 060000 UTC 00HR 19.3N 128.8E 940HPA 50M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 200KM P12HR NW 10KM/H P+24HR 21.4N 127.8E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 23.4N 127.3E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 26.8N 127.1E 950HPA 45M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 060000 *** WARNING 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 935 HPA AT 19.2N 128.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 20.3N 127.8E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 23.0N 127.0E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 27.0N 125.8E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 060000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 060000UTC 19.2N 128.8E GOOD MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 90NM 30KT 240NM FORECAST 24HF 070000UTC 20.3N 127.8E 90NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT 48HF 080000UTC 23.0N 127.0E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW 07KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT 72HF 090000UTC 27.0N 125.8E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW 10KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT = ** WTPQ30 RJTD 060000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO.12 FOR TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 060000 UTC IS GOOD. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS THEN ACCELERATE. TY WILL MOVE NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN MOVE TO NORTH-NORTHWEST. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 6.0 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTJP31 RJTD 060300 *** WARNING 060300. WARNING VALID 070300. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 935 HPA AT 19.6N 128.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070300UTC AT 21.1N 127.6E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 060300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 060300UTC 19.6N 128.6E GOOD MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 90NM 30KT 240NM FORECAST 24HF 070300UTC 21.1N 127.6E 90NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT 45HF 080000UTC 23.0N 127.0E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW 07KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT 69HF 090000UTC 27.0N 125.8E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW 10KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 060300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 060300 UTC 00HR 19.5N 128.7E 940HPA 50M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 200KM P12HR NNW 10KM/H= ** WTPH RPLL 060000 *** TTT TYPHOON WARNING 16 AT 0000 06 JULY TYPHOON (EWINIAR) WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE NINE POINT TWO NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT NINE EAST MOVING NORTHWEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SEOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS NORTHEAST SEMI-CIRCLE FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS ELSEWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FIVE FOUR HECTOPASCAL MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR SIX METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS NORTHEAST SEMI-CIRCLE FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSTIONS AT 070000 TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE TWO SEVEN POINT THREE EAST AT 080000 TWO TWO POINT SIX NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT SIX EAST AND AT 090000 TWO FIVE POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT ONE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTNT80 EGRR 060549 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.07.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 060549