** WTPQ20 BABJ 051800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 051800 UTC 00HR 18.8N 129.3E 940HPA 50M/S 30KTS 450KM 50KTS 200KM P12HR NW 10KM/H P+24HR 20.7N 128.0E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 23.0N 127.3E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 26.0N 126.7E 950HPA 45M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 051800 *** WARNING 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 935 HPA AT 18.8N 129.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 20.1N 128.3E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 22.8N 127.8E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 26.8N 126.9E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 051800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 051800UTC 18.8N 129.2E GOOD MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 90NM 30KT 250NM FORECAST 24HF 061800UTC 20.1N 128.3E 90NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT 48HF 071800UTC 22.8N 127.8E 150NM 70% MOVE N 06KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT 72HF 081800UTC 26.8N 126.9E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW 10KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT = ** WTKO20 RKSL 051800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 11 NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR ANALYSIS POSITION 051800UTC 18.8N 129.2E MOVEMENT NW 5KT PRES/VMAX 935HPA 84KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 061800UTC 20.8N 128.2E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 935HPA 84KT 48HR POSITION 071800UTC 23.5N 127.9E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 935HPA 84KT 72HR POSITION 081800UTC 27.0N 127.8E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 940HPA 80KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPN31 PGTW 052100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 18.8N 129.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N 129.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 19.7N 128.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 20.8N 127.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 22.1N 127.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 23.8N 127.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 28.4N 127.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 33.6N 129.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 38.1N 134.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 19.0N 129.0E. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z, 060900Z, 061500Z AND 062100Z.// ** WTJP31 RJTD 052100 *** WARNING 052100. WARNING VALID 062100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 935 HPA AT 18.9N 129.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 062100UTC AT 20.2N 128.2E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 052100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 052100UTC 18.9N 129.1E GOOD MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 90NM 30KT 250NM FORECAST 24HF 062100UTC 20.2N 128.2E 90NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT 45HF 071800UTC 22.8N 127.8E 150NM 70% MOVE N 06KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT 69HF 081800UTC 26.8N 126.9E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW 10KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 085KT = ** WTPH20 RPMM 051800 *** AT 1800 05 JULY TYPOON (EWINIAR) {0603} WAS LOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT TWO EAST FORE- CAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ZERO THREE PER SECOND ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILO- METERS NORTHEAST SEMI-CIRCLE FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS ELSEWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE FIVE FOUR HECTOPASCAL MAXIMUM WINDS FOUR SIX METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER THREE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS NORTHEAST SEMI-CIRCLE FOUR FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS ELSE- WHERE FORECAST POSITIONS AT 061800 TWO ZERO POINT NINE NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO EAST AT 071800 TWO TWO POINT NINE NORTH ONE TWO SEVEN POINT EAST AND AT 081800 TWO FIVE POINT ONE NORTH ONE TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN TYPOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA=