** WTPQ20 BABJ 031800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 031800 UTC 00HR 14.7N 133.6E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 400KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR NW 15KM/H P+24HR 17.4N 131.6E 955HPA 45M/S P+48HR 20.0N 129.7E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 22.9N 128.7E 940HPA 50M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 031800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 031800UTC 14.7N 133.5E GOOD MOVE NW 08KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 200NM FORECAST 24HF 041800UTC 17.0N 131.6E 90NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 48HF 051800UTC 18.3N 130.4E 150NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT 72HF 061800UTC 20.0N 129.0E 220NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 031800 *** WARNING 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 950 HPA AT 14.7N 133.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 17.0N 131.6E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 18.3N 130.4E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 20.0N 129.0E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTKO20 RKSL 031800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 7 NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR ANALYSIS POSITION 031800UTC 14.7N 133.5E MOVEMENT NW 8KT PRES/VMAX 950HPA 80KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 041800UTC 17.2N 131.5E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 935HPA 93KT 48HR POSITION 051800UTC 18.7N 130.1E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 930HPA 95KT 72HR POSITION 061800UTC 20.4N 128.7E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 930HPA 95KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPN31 PGTW 032100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z --- NEAR 14.8N 133.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N 133.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 16.4N 132.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 17.6N 131.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z --- 18.6N 130.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 19.8N 129.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 22.2N 128.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 26.5N 129.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 31.1N 132.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 032100Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 133.2E. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 750 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z, 040900Z, 041500Z AND 042100Z.// ** WTJP31 RJTD 032100 *** WARNING 032100. WARNING VALID 042100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 950 HPA AT 15.0N 133.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 042100UTC AT 17.0N 131.4E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 032100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 032100UTC 15.0N 133.2E GOOD MOVE NW 07KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 80NM 30KT 200NM FORECAST 24HF 042100UTC 17.0N 131.4E 90NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 935HPA MXWD 090KT 45HF 051800UTC 18.3N 130.4E 150NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT 69HF 061800UTC 20.0N 129.0E 220NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT = ** WTPH RPLL 031800 *** AT 1800 03 JULY TYPHOON (EWINIAR) (0603) WAS ESTMTD BASED ON SAT AND SURAFACE DATA AT 14.7N 133.5E. MOVING NORTHWEST AT 05MPS ROUGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 350KMS NORTH SEMI-CIRCLE 300KMS ELSWHERE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 41MPS NEAR CENTER 25MPS WITHIN 150KMS RADIUS 13MPS WITHIN 350KMS NORTH SEMI-CIRLE 300KMS ELSEWHERE FORECAST POSITION AT 041800 17.7N 131.1E AT 051800 21.0N 129.6E AND AT 061800 24.8N 128.6E SHIPS WITHIN TYPHOON AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTPN22 PGTW 032300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION/032251ZJUL2006// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031021ZJUL2006// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 031030)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A (WTPN22 PGTW 031030). THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 110.1E, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN, CHINA HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.//