** WTPQ20 BABJ 021800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 021800 UTC 00HR 12.2N 134.5E 988HPA 25M/S 30KTS 260KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NW 15KM/H P+24HR 14.3N 132.3E 970HPA 35M/S P+48HR 16.7N 130.5E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 19.5N 129.0E 940HPA 50M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 021800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD 03 INITIAL TIME 021800 UTC 00HR 16.2N 110.4E 1002HPA 12M/S P12HR NW 8KM/H P+24HR 18.4N 107.6E 1000HPA 15M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 021800 *** WARNING 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 990 HPA AT 12.1N 134.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 14.5N 133.0E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 16.7N 131.6E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 18.8N 130.3E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 021800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 021800UTC 12.1N 134.5E FAIR MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 160NM FORECAST 24HF 031800UTC 14.5N 133.0E 80NM 70% MOVE NW 07KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 48HF 041800UTC 16.7N 131.6E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 72HF 051800UTC 18.8N 130.3E 220NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTKO20 RKSL 021800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 5 NAME TS 0603 EWINIAR ANALYSIS POSITION 021800UTC 12.1N 134.5E MOVEMENT NW 7KT PRES/VMAX 990HPA 45KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 031800UTC 14.5N 132.8E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 975HPA 64KT 48HR POSITION 041800UTC 16.9N 131.2E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT 72HR POSITION 051800UTC 19.0N 130.0E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 955HPA 80KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPN31 PGTW 022100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z --- NEAR 12.1N 134.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N 134.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 13.0N 133.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 14.2N 132.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 15.3N 131.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 16.4N 130.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 18.5N 128.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z --- 21.4N 127.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 24.6N 127.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT --- REMARKS: 022100Z POSITION NEAR 12.3N 134.2E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z, 030900Z, 031500Z AND 032100Z.// ** WTIO31 PGTW 022100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z --- NEAR 20.0N 86.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N 86.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 19.7N 85.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 19.8N 83.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 022100Z POSITION NEAR 19.9N 86.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B (NONAME), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE AND INFRA- RED SATELITTE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS OVER WATER, VERY NEAR THE COAST. A 021800Z SURFACE OBSERVATION AT BHUBANESWAR, INDIA REPORTED A 982 MB PRESSURE READING. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA REMAINS MODERATE TO HIGH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INLAND AND DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z AND 031500Z.// ** WTPQ20 RJTD 022100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 022100UTC 12.2N 134.5E FAIR MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 30KT 160NM FORECAST 24HF 032100UTC 14.5N 133.0E 80NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 45HF 041800UTC 16.7N 131.6E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 69HF 051800UTC 18.8N 130.3E 220NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTJP31 RJTD 022100 *** WARNING 022100. WARNING VALID 032100. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 990 HPA AT 12.2N 134.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 032100UTC AT 14.5N 133.0E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ31 PGUM 022159 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR (04W) ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 800 AM GUAM LST MON JUL 3 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR EDGES NORTHWEST... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 330 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP. TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH. THIS IS A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM ...CATEGORY B...ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON TROPICAL CYCLONE SCALE. EWINIAR IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY...AND WILL LIKELY BECOME A TYPHOON THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF EWINIAR. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...12.3 DEGREES NORTH AND 134.2 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ PRIOR ** WTPH RPLL 021800 *** TTT GALE WARNING 03 AT 1800 02 JULY TROPICAL STORM (EWINIAR) (0603) WAS ESTMD BASED ON SAT. AND SURFACE DATA AT 12.2N 134.4E MOVING NORTHWEST AT 03MPS ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 200KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER EXTMD CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 HECTOPASCAL MAX WINDS 23MPS NEAR CENTER 13MPS WITHIN 200KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 031800 14.3N 132.2E AT 041800 16.7N 130.4E AND AT 051800 19.5N 129.3E ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND 3-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD=