** WTPQ20 BABJ 021200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STS EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 021200 UTC 00HR 11.8N 134.9E 988HPA 25M/S 30KTS 260KM 50KTS 50KM P12HR NW 15KM/H P+24HR 14.0N 132.8E 970HPA 35M/S P+48HR 16.4N 130.9E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 19.5N 129.2E 940HPA 50M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 021200 *** WARNING 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 992 HPA AT 11.8N 134.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 14.0N 133.1E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 16.6N 131.6E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 18.9N 130.3E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 021200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 021200UTC 11.8N 134.6E FAIR MOVE NW 08KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 140NM FORECAST 24HF 031200UTC 14.0N 133.1E 80NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 48HF 041200UTC 16.6N 131.6E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW 07KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 72HF 051200UTC 18.9N 130.3E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW 06KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTPH RPLL 021200 *** T T T GALE WARNING 02 AT 1200 02 JULY TROPICAL STORM (EWINIAR) (0603) WAS ESTMTD BASED ON SAT AND SURAFACE DATA AT 11.7N 134.7E MOVING NORTHWEST AT 04MPS ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 200KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 23 MPS SECOND NEAR CENTER 13 MPS WITHIN 200 KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITION AT 031200 13.4N 132.7E AT 041200 17.5N 131.0E AND AT 051200 21.0N 130.3E ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD= ** WTPQ31 PGUM 021535 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR (04W) ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 200 AM GUAM LST MON JUL 3 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR STILL SLOW TO INTENSIFY... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 280 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP. TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH. THIS IS A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM ...CATEGORY B...ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON TROPICAL CYCLONE SCALE. EWINIAR IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY...AND SHOULD BECOME A TYPHOON THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF EWINIAR. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...11.9 DEGREES NORTH AND 134.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ PRIOR ** WTPQ20 RJTD 021500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 021500UTC 12.1N 134.6E FAIR MOVE NNW 07KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 140NM FORECAST 24HF 031500UTC 14.5N 133.0E 80NM 70% MOVE NW 07KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 45HF 041200UTC 16.6N 131.6E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW 07KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 69HF 051200UTC 18.9N 130.3E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW 06KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTJP31 RJTD 021500 *** WARNING 021500. WARNING VALID 031500. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 992 HPA AT 12.1N 134.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031500UTC AT 14.5N 133.0E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTNT80 EGRR 021741 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.07.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 021741