** WTPQ20 RJTD 011200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 011200UTC 10.2N 136.7E FAIR MOVE NNW 09KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 140NM FORECAST 24HF 021200UTC 12.4N 135.4E 80NM 70% MOVE NNW 06KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 48HF 031200UTC 15.2N 134.1E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW 07KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 72HF 041200UTC 18.5N 133.1E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 011200 *** WARNING 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 992 HPA AT 10.2N 136.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 12.4N 135.4E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 15.2N 134.1E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 18.5N 133.1E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 011200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS EWINIAR 0603 (0603) INITIAL TIME 011200 UTC 00HR 10.2N 136.7E 990HPA 23M/S 30KTS 200KM P12HR NW 15KM/H P+24HR 12.6N 135.0E 970HPA 35M/S P+48HR 15.6N 133.6E 950HPA 45M/S P+72HR 18.5N 132.6E 940HPA 50M/S= ** WTPQ31 PGUM 011258 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR (04W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 1100 PM GUAM LST SAT JUL 1 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR INTENSIFIES RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM YAP... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR YAP IS CANCELED AS OF 11 PM GUAM LST. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NGULU 110 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP 245 MILES NORTHEAST OF KOROR 205 MILES WEST OF ULITHI. TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 MPH. EWINIAR HAS BEGUN INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY...AND MAY BECOME A TYPHOON SUNDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF EWINIAR. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND 136.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM SUNDAY GUAM LST. $$ STANKO ** WTPQ81 PGUM 011339 *** HLSPQ1 PMZ171-011700- TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 1139 PM GUAM LST SAT JUL 1 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR MOVES CLEAR OF THE YAP COASTAL WATERS... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF YAP. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR YAP IS CANCELED AT 11 PM GUAM LST. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NGULU 110 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP 245 MILES NORTHEAST OF KOROR 205 MILES WEST OF ULITHI. TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 MPH. ...YAP... FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. REMAIN INDOORS UNTIL DAYBREAK. ...WIND INFORMATION... SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH TONIGHT WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TOWARD DAYBREAK...DECREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH SUNDAY. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... EXPECT HAZARDOUS SURF AT HEIGHTS OF 10 TO 12 FEET THROUGH EARLY MORNING ALONG ALL REEFS. FOR FURTHER DETAILS...SEE HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNDER WMO HEADER WHPQ40 PGUM. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... RAINFALL OF UP TO 2 INCHES IS LIKELY THROUGH SUNDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS WILL BE THE LAST LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR. $$ STANKO ** WTPN31 PGTW 011500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z --- NEAR 10.0N 136.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N 136.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 11.3N 135.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 12.6N 133.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 13.8N 132.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 15.4N 132.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z --- 18.0N 131.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 21.3N 131.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z --- 25.5N 131.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT --- REMARKS: 011500Z POSITION NEAR 10.3N 136.1E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 011526 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR (04W) ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 200 AM GUAM LST SUN JUL 2 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR MOVING OUT OF YAP STATE... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 150 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP 170 MILES NORTHWEST OF NGULU 240 MILES WEST OF ULITHI 240 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KOROR. TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH. THIS IS A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM ...CATEGORY B...ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON TROPICAL CYCLONE SCALE. EWINIAR CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY...AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TYPHOON LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF EWINIAR. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND 136.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ STANKO/PRIOR ** WTJP31 RJTD 011500 *** WARNING 011500. WARNING VALID 021500. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0603 EWINIAR (0603) 992 HPA AT 10.4N 136.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021500UTC AT 12.8N 135.4E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 011500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0603 EWINIAR (0603) ANALYSIS PSTN 011500UTC 10.4N 136.6E FAIR MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 140NM FORECAST 24HF 021500UTC 12.8N 135.4E 80NM 70% MOVE NNW 06KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT 45HF 031200UTC 15.2N 134.1E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW 07KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 69HF 041200UTC 18.5N 133.1E 220NM 70% MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT =