** WTPQ20 RJTD 301200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 301200UTC 07.0N 137.9E FAIR MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 011200UTC 08.8N 136.8E 150NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 998HPA MXWD 040KT = ** WTPQ31 PGUM 301302 CCA *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 1100 PM GUAM LST FRI JUN 30 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W SOUTH OF NGULU MOVING SLOWLY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU IN YAP STATE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W WAS ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 7.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTH OF NGULU 175 MILES SOUTH OF YAP 240 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ULITHI 225 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR AND KAYANGEL 395 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SONSOROL. TD 04W IS MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TD 04W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...7.0 DEGREES NORTH AND 137.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM SATURDAY GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 AM. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPQ31 PGUM 301304 CCA *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 1100 PM GUAM LST FRI JUN 30 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W SOUTH OF NGULU MOVING SLOWLY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU IN YAP STATE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W WAS ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 7.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTH OF NGULU 175 MILES SOUTH OF YAP 240 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ULITHI 225 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR AND KAYANGEL 395 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SONSOROL. TD 04W IS MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TD 04W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...7.0 DEGREES NORTH AND 137.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM SATURDAY GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 AM. $$ ZIOBRO ** WTPN31 PGTW 301500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z --- NEAR 7.0N 137.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.0N 137.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 7.9N 136.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 9.4N 135.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 10.4N 135.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 11.6N 134.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 13.9N 132.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 301500Z POSITION NEAR 7.2N 137.4E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST OF KOROR, PALAU, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING BETWEEN 30 KNOTS AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 301529 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 200 AM GUAM LST SAT JUL 1 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR YAP... EFFECTIVE 2 AM GUAM LST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR YAP. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU IN YAP STATE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W WAS ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 7.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTH OF NGULU 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP 200 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR AND KAYANGEL 240 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ULITHI 380 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SONSOROL. TD 04W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TD 04W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...7.2 DEGREES NORTH AND 137.4 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 AM. $$ PRIOR ** WTPQ20 RJTD 301500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 301500UTC 07.2N 137.8E FAIR MOVE WNW 06KT PRES 1004HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 011500UTC 09.0N 136.5E 150NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 998HPA MXWD 040KT = ** WTPQ81 PGUM 301707 *** HLSPQ1 PMZ161-171-302300- TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 300 AM GUAM LST SAT JUL 1 2006 ...TD 04W STEADILY APPROACHING NGULU... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF YAP STATE AND THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... AT 2 AM GUAM LST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WAS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR YAP. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU IN YAP STATE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W WAS ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 7.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTH OF NGULU 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP 200 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR AND KAYANGEL 240 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ULITHI 380 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SONSOROL. TD 04W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. TD 04W IS EXPECTED TO PASS BETWEEN KOROR AND NGULU AS A TROPICAL STORM AROUND MID-DAY TODAY. ...NGULU... PREPARE FOR THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BY LATE THIS MORNING. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. AVOID INTER-ISLAND BOAT TRAVEL UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH TD 04W HAVE SUBSIDED. ...WIND INFORMATION... DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY LATE THIS MORNING. EXPECT EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH TO SHIFT SOUTH LATE THIS MORNING AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... EXPECT SURF TO RAPIDLY BUILD TO HAZARDOUS HEIGHTS NEAR 8 TO 10 FEET ALONG ALL REEFS BY LATE THIS MORNING. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE ARE LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY. ...YAP... RESIDENTS OF YAP SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BY THIS EVENING. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. AVOID INTER-ISLAND BOAT TRAVEL UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH TD 04W HAVE SUBSIDED. ...WIND INFORMATION... IF TD 04W TAKES A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK THAN EXPECTED...DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 40 MPH OR HIGHER ARE POSSIBLE ON YAP BEGINNING THIS EVENING. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BUILD THROUGHOUT THE DAY. EXPECT HAZARDOUS SURF AT HEIGHTS NEAR 7 TO 9 FEET TONIGHT ALONG SOUTHWEST AND WEST FACING REEFS. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE ARE LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY. ...KOROR AND KAYANGEL... RESIDENTS OF KOROR...KAYANGEL AND NEARBY ISLANDS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. AVOID INTER-ISLAND BOAT TRAVEL UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH TD 04W HAVE SUBSIDED. ...WIND INFORMATION... IF TD 04W TAKES A MORE WESTWARD TRACK THAN EXPECTED...DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 40 MPH OR HIGHER ARE POSSIBLE ON KOROR AND KAYANGEL BEGINNING TONIGHT. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BUILD THROUGHOUT THE DAY. EXPECT HAZARDOUS SURF AT HEIGHTS NEAR 8 TO 10 FEET TONIGHT ALONG SOUTHWEST AND WEST FACING REEFS. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 INCHES OR MORE ARE LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY. THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD PRODUCE MUDSLIDES ON KOROR AND BABELDAOB. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9 AM GUAM LST. $$ PRIOR ** WTPQ81 PGUM 301708 *** HLSPQ1 PMZ161-171-302300- TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 300 AM GUAM LST SAT JUL 1 2006 ...TD 04W STEADILY APPROACHING NGULU... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF YAP STATE AND THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... AT 2 AM GUAM LST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WAS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR YAP. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU IN YAP STATE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W WAS ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 7.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTH OF NGULU 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP 200 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR AND KAYANGEL 240 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ULITHI 380 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SONSOROL. TD 04W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. TD 04W IS EXPECTED TO PASS BETWEEN KOROR AND NGULU AS A TROPICAL STORM AROUND MID-DAY TODAY. ...NGULU... PREPARE FOR THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BY LATE THIS MORNING. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. AVOID INTER-ISLAND BOAT TRAVEL UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH TD 04W HAVE SUBSIDED. ...WIND INFORMATION... DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY LATE THIS MORNING. EXPECT EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH TO SHIFT SOUTH LATE THIS MORNING AND INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... EXPECT SURF TO RAPIDLY BUILD TO HAZARDOUS HEIGHTS NEAR 8 TO 10 FEET ALONG ALL REEFS BY LATE THIS MORNING. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE ARE LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY. ...YAP... RESIDENTS OF YAP SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BY THIS EVENING. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. AVOID INTER-ISLAND BOAT TRAVEL UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH TD 04W HAVE SUBSIDED. ...WIND INFORMATION... IF TD 04W TAKES A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK THAN EXPECTED...DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 40 MPH OR HIGHER ARE POSSIBLE ON YAP BEGINNING THIS EVENING. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BUILD THROUGHOUT THE DAY. EXPECT HAZARDOUS SURF AT HEIGHTS NEAR 7 TO 9 FEET TONIGHT ALONG SOUTHWEST AND WEST FACING REEFS. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE ARE LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY. ...KOROR AND KAYANGEL... RESIDENTS OF KOROR...KAYANGEL AND NEARBY ISLANDS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. AVOID INTER-ISLAND BOAT TRAVEL UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH TD 04W HAVE SUBSIDED. ...WIND INFORMATION... IF TD 04W TAKES A MORE WESTWARD TRACK THAN EXPECTED...DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 40 MPH OR HIGHER ARE POSSIBLE ON KOROR AND KAYANGEL BEGINNING TONIGHT. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... SURF WILL BUILD THROUGHOUT THE DAY. EXPECT HAZARDOUS SURF AT HEIGHTS NEAR 8 TO 10 FEET TONIGHT ALONG SOUTHWEST AND WEST FACING REEFS. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 INCHES OR MORE ARE LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY. THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD PRODUCE MUDSLIDES ON KOROR AND BABELDAOB. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9 AM GUAM LST. $$ PRIOR ** WTNT80 EGRR 301736 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 30.06.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 301736