** WTPN31 PGTW 300300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/PEARL HARBOR HI/260752JUN2004// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z --- NEAR 6.5N 137.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.5N 137.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 7.0N 136.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 7.8N 136.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 8.8N 135.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 10.1N 135.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 12.6N 133.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 300300Z POSITION NEAR 6.6N 137.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W (NONAME), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE HAS IMPROVED OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGING BETWEEN 25 KNOTS AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 010300Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 300341 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 200 PM GUAM LST FRI JUN 30 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W SOUTH OF YAP... AS OF 2 PM GUAM LST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU...AND FOR NGULU IN YAP STATE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W WAS ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 6.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 138.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NGULU 225 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YAP 255 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ULITHI 305 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR AND KAYANGEL 460 MILES EAST OF SONSOROL. TD 04W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TD 04W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...6.3 DEGREES NORTH AND 138.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE ** WTPQ81 PGUM 300434 *** HLSPQ1 PMZ161-171-301100- TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 300 PM GUAM LST FRI JUN 30 2006 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWEST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU AND YAP STATE. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... AS OF 2 PM GUAM LST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU...AND FOR NGULU IN YAP STATE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W WAS ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 6.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 138.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NGULU 225 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YAP 255 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ULITHI 305 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KOROR AND KAYANGEL 460 MILES EAST OF SONSOROL. TD 04W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH...AND IS EXPECTED TO PASS BETWEEN KOROR AND NGULU LATE SATURDAY OR SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TD 04W IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM OVERNIGHT. ...KOROR AND KAYANGEL... RESIDENTS OF KOROR...KAYANGEL AND NEARBY ISLANDS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY OF TD 04W...WINDS MAY REACH 40 MPH OR HIGHER FOR A FEW HOURS SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 8 TO 10 FEET IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 INCHES OR MORE ARE LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W PASSES. ...NGULU... RESIDENTS OF NGULU SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS PROVIDED BY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE. ...WIND INFORMATION... DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY OF TD 04W...WINDS MAY REACH 40 MPH OR HIGHER FOR A FEW HOURS SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY. ...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION... HAZARDOUS SURF AT 8 TO 10 FEET IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. ...OTHER STORM EFFECTS... HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE ARE LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W PASSES ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 9 PM GUAM LST. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE ** WTNT80 EGRR 300541 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.06.2006 NO TROPICAL STORMS ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 300541