** WTPQ20 BABJ 290000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD JELAWAT 0602 (0602) INITIAL TIME 290000 UTC 00HR 21.3N 110.5E 998HPA 15M/S P12HR N 10KM/H P+24HR 23.4N 110.3E 1004HPA 12M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 290000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 0602 JELAWAT (0602) ANALYSIS PSTN 290000UTC 21N 111E MOVE NNW 10KT PRES 998HPA = ** WTKO20 RKSL 290000 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 5 NAME TD 0602 JELAWAT ANALYSIS POSITION 290000UTC 21.0N 111.0E MOVEMENT NNW 12KT PRES 998HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTSS20 VHHH 290145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290000 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION JELAWAT (0602) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (110.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 290145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290000 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION JELAWAT (0602) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (110.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPN31 PGTW 290300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (JELAWAT) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z --- NEAR 21.1N 110.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 110.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 22.3N 109.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 23.4N 109.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 290300Z POSITION NEAR 21.4N 110.3E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W (JELAWAT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 290300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD JELAWAT 0602 (0602) INITIAL TIME 290300 UTC 00HR 21.6N 110.1E 999HPA 12M/S= P12HR NW 10KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 290445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290300 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION JELAWAT (0602) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (110.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES. NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS REGENERATION TAKES PLACE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 290445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 290300 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION JELAWAT (0602) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (110.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES. NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS REGENERATION TAKES PLACE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTNT80 EGRR 290545 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 29.06.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 290545 ** WTPN21 PGTW 290600 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT/290551ZJUN06// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 165 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5.1N 140.4E TO 8.6N 134.7E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 290300Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 5.2N 140.2E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.6N 142.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.2N 140.2E, APPROXIMATELY 355 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS BANDING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE LLCC IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH DEVELOPING ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. GIVEN THE INCREASE IN BANDING CONVECTION AND IMPROVING DIVERGENCE ALOFT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 300600Z.//