** WTPQ20 BABJ 271800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS JELAWAT 0602 (0602) INITIAL TIME 271800 UTC 00HR 18.4N 113.1E 995HPA 20M/S 30KTS 130KM P12HR NW 15KM/H P+24HR 21.5N 111.6E 985HPA 25M/S P+48HR 24.4N 111.3E 1004HPA 12M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 271800 *** WARNING 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0602 JELAWAT (0602) 996 HPA AT 18.4N 112.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 20.8N 111.1E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 22.2N 110.4E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 23.6N 110.2E WITH 220 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 271800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0602 JELAWAT (0602) ANALYSIS PSTN 271800UTC 18.4N 112.4E FAIR MOVE WNW 09KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 80NM FORECAST 24HF 281800UTC 20.8N 111.1E 90NM 70% MOVE NNW 06KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 48HF 291800UTC 22.2N 110.4E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 72HF 301800UTC 23.6N 110.2E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTKO20 RKSL 271800 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2 NAME TS 0602 JELAWAT ANALYSIS POSITION 271800UTC 18.5N 112.5E MOVEMENT WNW 9KT PRES/VMAX 996HPA 41KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 281800UTC 21.0N 110.9E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 990HPA 45KT 48HR POSITION 291800UTC 23.5N 110.3E WITHIN 0NM PRES 1000HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTSS20 VHHH 271945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 271800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM JELAWAT (0602) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281800 UTC TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (21.2 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (110.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 271945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 271800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM JELAWAT (0602) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281800 UTC TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (21.2 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (110.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291800 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPN31 PGTW 272100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (JELAWAT) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z --- NEAR 18.6N 112.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N 112.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z --- 19.8N 111.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z --- 21.2N 110.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z --- 22.6N 110.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 272100Z POSITION NEAR 18.9N 112.2E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W (JELAWAT) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z, 281500Z AND 282100Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 272100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS JELAWAT 0602 (0602) INITIAL TIME 272100 UTC 00HR 18.8N 112.8E 995HPA 20M/S 30KTS 130KM P12HR NW 20KM/H P+24HR 21.9N 111.2E 985HPA 25M/S P+48HR 24.8N 111.2E 1004HPA 12M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 272100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0602 JELAWAT (0602) ANALYSIS PSTN 272100UTC 18.5N 112.0E FAIR MOVE WNW 08KT PRES 996HPA MXWD 040KT 30KT 80NM FORECAST 24HF 282100UTC 21.2N 110.7E 90NM 70% MOVE NNW 07KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 45HF 291800UTC 22.2N 110.4E 150NM 70% MOVE NNW SLOWLY PRES 996HPA MXWD 035KT 69HF 301800UTC 23.6N 110.2E 220NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION = ** WTSS20 VHHH 272245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 272100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM JELAWAT (0602) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (112.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 282100 UTC TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (110.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 292100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 272245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 272100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM JELAWAT (0602) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (112.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 282100 UTC TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (110.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 292100 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND.