** WTSR20 WSSS 261800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 270000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 270000UTC 16.7N 114.6E POOR MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 1002HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 280000UTC 18.9N 113.1E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 270000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD ( ) INITIAL TIME 270000 UTC 00HR 16.9N 115.3E 1000HPA 15M/S P12HR NW 20KM/H P+24HR 19.4N 113.4E 996HPA 18M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 270000 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD02 ( ) INITIAL TIME 270000 UTC 00HR 16.9N 115.3E 1000HPA 15M/S P12HR NW 20KM/H P+24HR 19.4N 113.4E 996HPA 18M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 270000 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD02 ( ) INITIAL TIME 270000 UTC 00HR 16.9N 115.3E 1000HPA 15M/S P12HR NW 20KM/H P+24HR 19.4N 113.4E 996HPA 18M/S= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 270000 CCA *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD02 ( ) INITIAL TIME 270000 UTC 00HR 16.9N 115.3E 1000HPA 15M/S P12HR NW 20KM/H P+24HR 19.4N 113.4E 996HPA 18M/S= ** WTSS20 VHHH 270145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 270000 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280000 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (18.8 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (113.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290000 UTC TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (20.8 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 270145 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 270000 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280000 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (18.8 N) ONE ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (113.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290000 UTC TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (20.8 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTPN31 PGTW 270300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 03W WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z --- NEAR 16.7N 115.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 115.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 18.2N 114.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z --- 19.7N 113.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 20.9N 112.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 22.1N 111.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 24.9N 111.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 270300Z POSITION NEAR 17.1N 115.1E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z.// ** WTPQ30 RJTD 270000 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 2 FOR TD LOCATED AT 16.7N 114.6E 1.GENERAL COMMENTS POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 270000 UTC IS FAIR. TD WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TD WILL MOVE NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TD WILL BE GRADED UP TO TS WITHIN 24 HOURS. TD WILL DEVELOP BECAUSE CYCLONE WILL MOVE INTO HIGH SST AREA. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 2.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 270300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS NAMELESS 0602 (06XX) INITIAL TIME 270300 UTC 00HR 16.9N 115.3E 998HPA 18M/S 30KTS 120KM P12HR WNW 10KM/H= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 270300 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD ANALYSIS PSTN 270300UTC 17.4N 114.6E POOR MOVE NNW 15KT PRES 1002HPA MXWD 030KT FORECAST 24HF 280300UTC 19.2N 113.1E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 998HPA MXWD 035KT = ** WTNT80 EGRR 270502 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 27.06.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 270502 ** WTSS20 VHHH 270445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 270300 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (115.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280300 UTC ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (112.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290300 UTC TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 270445 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 270300 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (115.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280300 UTC ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (112.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290300 UTC TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND.