** WTSR20 WSSS 121800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTCA41 TJSJ 130011 CCA *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL ALBERTO ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 11A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 700 PM CDT LUNES 12 DE JUNIO DE 2006 ...ALBERTO CERCA DE LA COSTA NOROESTE DE LA FLORIDA EN EL GOLFO... ...VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL CERCA DEL AREA BAJO AVISO... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DE LA FLORIDA DESDE LONGBOAT KEY HASTA EL RIO OCHLOCKONEE. UN AVISO DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE HURACAN DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL SUR DE LONGBOAT KEY HASTA ENGLEWOOD...Y AL OESTE DEL RIO OCHLOCKONEE HASTA INDIAN PASS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. TAMBIEN ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO DESDE FLAGER BEACH FLORIDA HACIA EL NORTE HASTA SAVANNAH RIVER...Y PARA LA FRONTERA DE GEORGIA Y CAROLINA DEL SUR. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA DE METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. A LAS 7 PM CDT...0000Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ALBERTO ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 28.0 NORTE...LONGITUD 84.9 OESTE O COMO 120 MILLAS...195 KILOMETROS...AL SUR DE APALACHICOLA FLORIDA Y COMO A 130 MILLAS...215 KILOMETROS...AL SUROESTE DE CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH...13 KILOMETROS POR HORA...Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE CON ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...CON UN AUMENTO GRADUAL EN SU VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION. EL CENTRO PODRIA ALCANZAR LA COSTA EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO TEMPRANO EN EL MARTES...SIN EMBARGO LAS CONDICIONES YA HAN COMENZADO A DETERIORARSE EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 70 MPH...110 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. AUNQUE SON POSIBLES ALGUNAS FLUCTUACIONES EN INTENSIDAD...ALBERTO AUN TIENE EL POTENCIAL PARA CONVERTIRSE EN HURACAN ANTES DE ALCANZAR LA COSTA DE FLORIDA EN EL GOLFO. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS...370 KILOMETROS...AL NORESTE Y SURESTE DEL CENTRO. OBSERVACIONES DEL RADAR DOPPLER Y OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE INDICAN VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL JUSTO FUERA DE LA COSTA DE LA FLORIDA EN EL GOLFO DESDE VENICE HACIA EL NORTE HASTA APALACHEE BAY. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS POR MAREJADAS CICLONICAS DE 8 A 10 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA SON POSIBLES SOBRE UNA EXTENSA REGION DEL AREA BAJO AVISO. CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE HASTA 10 PULGADAS...SON POSIBLES HASTA EL MARTES A TRAVES DE SECTORES CENTRALES Y DEL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA Y EL SURESTE DE GEORGIA...MAYORMENTE A LO LARGO Y A LA DERECHA DE LA TRAYECTORIA DE ALBERTO. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE SECTORES DE LA PARTE CENTRAL Y EL NORTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MB...29.44 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 7 PM CDT...28.0 NORTE...84.9 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...70 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 10 PM. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ TRADUCCION CORTESIA DE LA OFICINA DE PRONOSTICOS DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ** WTUS82 KTBW 130011 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055-060-130330- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 810 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO MOVING TOWARD THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...NEW INFORMATION... LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PAST THREE HOURS AS TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO CONTINUES TO PUSH TOWARD THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED NORTHWEST OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE JUST TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE ALBERTO MAKES LANDFALL COULD REACH 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AREAS FROM LONGBOAT KEY THROUGH THE SUWANNEE RIVER...WHICH INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF MANATEE...HILLSBOROUGH...PINELLAS...PASCO...HERNANDO... CITRUS AND LEVY. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL AND NON TIDAL LEVY...CITRUS...AND HERNANDO COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD TO LONGBOAT KEY...WHICH INCLUDES THE COASTAL AREAS OF SARASOTA COUNTY. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL AND NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...SUMTER... AND PASCO COUNTIES. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM FOR PASCO...PINELLAS... HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...MANATEE...SARASOTA...HARDEE...DESOTO... HIGHLANDS...CHARLOTTE...AND LEE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 2 PM TUESDAY FOR LEE... CHARLOTTE...SARASOTA...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...MANATEE... PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS...LEVY AND SUMTER COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST...ABOUT 150 MILES WEST OF TAMPA...OR 130 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALBERTO WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...ACCOMPANIED BY A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...WINDS... WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH RAIN SQUALLS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT AS RAIN BANDS FROM ALBERTO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. COASTAL AREAS COULD SEE SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS LATER THIS EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR INLAND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 4 LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF HERNANDO...CITRUS...AND LEVY COUNTIES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... TIDES WILL BE 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE HIGH TIDE LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON COMBINED WITH THE SURGE FROM ALBERTO COULD CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING FROM TAMPA BAY NORTH THROUGH CEDAR KEY. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE TAMPA BAY AREA...5 TO 6 FEET ALONG HERNANDO AND PASCO COUNTY...6 TO 8 FEET IN CITRUS COUNTY...AND 7 TO 10 FEET IN LEVY COUNTY. THIS IS ON TOP OF THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE. THE STORM SURGE JUST TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE ALBERTO MAKES LANDFALL COULD REACH 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE. ...INLAND FLOODING... STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH TUESDAY WILL BE 4 TO 8 INCHES. RECENT DRY CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW THE GROUND TO ABSORB A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL. HOWEVER...HEAVY BURSTS OF RAIN MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. ...BEACH EROSION... SWELLS FROM ALBERTO WILL CAUSE BREAKING WAVES OF 4 TO 7 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT. ONSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY WITH HIGH SURF AND MINOR BEACH EROSION EXPECTED. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH TUESDAY. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 1130 PM THIS AFTERNOON OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ EO ** WTUS82 KMLB 130037 *** HLSMLB AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 130400- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 830 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO MOVING TOWARD THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA... ...NEW INFORMATION... THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE TO THE LATEST HAZARDOUS WEATHER THREAT ASSESSMENT DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...ESPECIALLY FOR LAKE AND INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. PERSONS IN ORANGE...SEMINOLE...OSCEOLA...BREVARD AND COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTIES SHOULD LISTEN CLOSELY FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST AS NOT TO GET CAUGHT OFF GUARD. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE AND INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY. ON THE COAST...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD INTO GEORGIA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 700 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED LIKELY. THE CENTER COULD REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA EARLY TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALBERTO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ATTENTION SHOULD BE DIRECTED TOWARD PROTECTING LIFE AND PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY FOR PEOPLE IN LAKE AND INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS SHOULD BE NEARING COMPLETION AS THE NIGHTTIME HOURS ENSUE. BE SURE TO CHECK THE LATEST FORECAST BEFORE GOING TO BED TONIGHT. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO IS STILL FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARD APALACHEE BAY EARLY TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...30 TO 40 MPH...FOR PARTS OF LAKE AND INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTIES EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND POSSIBLY CONTINUING INTO THE AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AND WILL LIKELY GUST OVER 50 MPH IN PASSING SQUALLS. THE FORECAST FOR THE NEARBY COUNTIES OF ORANGE...SEMINOLE... OSCEOLA...BREVARD...AND COASTAL VOLUSIA...IS FOR WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH IN PASSING SQUALLS. WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES COULD CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. ...TORNADOES... THE TORNADO WATCH FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA EARLIER TODAY WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS CURRENT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOWED A DECREASED THREAT. HOWEVER...A LOW THREAT FOR ISOLATED SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES IS STILL EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE EVENT...ESPECIALLY AS ALBERTO DRAWS CLOSER TO THE FORECAST AREA AND PASSES BY TO THE NORTH. ...INLAND FLOODING... WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS WESTERN FLORIDA...WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH TUESDAY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF FIVE INCHES OR SO WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OCCUR. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 4 CORRIDOR. WIDESPREAD FLOODING APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME AS WATER RETENTION AREAS CAN HANDLE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF. HOWEVER...TEMPORARY INUNDATION OF ROADS AND OTHER LOW LYING FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE LOCALLY POSSIBLE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... THE EFFECTS OF STORM TIDE ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEGLIGIBLE FOR THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS. HOWEVER...SURF CONDITIONS MAY BECOME ROUGH NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL WITH AN INCREASED THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS. INTRACOASTAL WATERS WILL BECOME ROUGH NORTH OF COCOA BEACH. ...MARINE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD. SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH...ALBERTO WILL CAUSE SEAS TO BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FEET OVER THE WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO FLAGLER BEACH AND OUT 20 NAUTICAL MILES WITH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS. BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES SEAS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BUILD TO 8 FEET OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS AS WELL. ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET...LOCAL WINDS WILL GUST TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IN PASSING SQUALLS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR WATERSPOUTS. MARINERS...AND OTHERS WITH MARINE INTERESTS...SHOULD LISTEN CLOSELY FOR CHANGES IN THE FORECAST. AS ALBERTO COMES ON SHORE TUESDAY...GUSTY WINDS FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COULD PRODUCE ROUGH CONDITIONS...DAMAGING SOME DOCKS AND BOATS ALONG THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY...ESPECIALLY IN VOLUSIA COUNTY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE WILL BE ISSUED BY MIDNIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ DWS ** WTUS82 KTAE 130040 *** HLSTAE FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GMZ750-755-770-775-130500- TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 840 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO MOVING CLOSER TO THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST OF FLORIDA... ...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS NEARING THE WARNING AREAS... ....NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED INFORMATION ON WINDS...TIDES...RAINFALL AND STORM COORDINATES. ...AREAS AFFECTED...THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN SECTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. THIS INCLUDES DIXIE...TAYLOR...JEFFERSON AND WAKULLA COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS...WHICH INCLUDES FRANKLIN COUNTY. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. A FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR BAY AND COASTAL WALTON COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 8 PM EDT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...ACCOMPANIED BY A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WHILE SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LAND FALL... ALBERTO STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A MINIMAL HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE FLORIDA GULF COAST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND DOPPLER RADAR DATA INDICATE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE FROM THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY DETERIORATING IN THE WARNED AREA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE BIG BEND ON THE WEAKER SIDE OF THE STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS OF 8 PM EDT MONDAY...TIDES WERE RUNNING ABOUT TWO TO THREE FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE APALACHEE BAY COAST. THE LATEST STORM SURGE MODELS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST A STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 8 FEET ACROSS DIXIE COUNTY. STORM SURGE ALONG THE COAST OF TAYLOR COUNTY...WAKULLA COUNTY...OCHLOCKONEE BAY AND ACROSS APALACHICOLA BAY ARE FORECAST TO BE 4 TO 6 FEET. THESE PEAK STORM SURGE HEIGHTS WILL OCCUR IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS TUESDAY AND WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RESIDENTS IN THE NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND KNOW WHERE TO GO SHOULD AN EVACUATION BE NEEDED. A HIGH TIDE AT THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER OCCURRED AT 543 PM TODAY. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AT 737 AM TUESDAY. A HIGH TIDE AT ST MARKS OCCURRED AT 237 PM TODAY. THE NEXT TWO HIGH TIDES WILL BE AT 447 AM TUESDAY AND AT 318 PM EDT TUESDAY. A HIGH TIDE AT APALACHICOLA OCCURRED AT 313 PM TODAY. THE NEXT TWO HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 846 AM TUESDAY AND 405 PM EDT TUESDAY. ...WINDS... AS OF 8 PM EDT...WINDS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST WERE EAST TO NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 25 MPH. WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WERE 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS AND SEAS AT THE PANAMA CITY BUOY AT 12 FEET AND 18 FEET AT THE APALACHICOLA BUOY. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 45 TO 55 KNOTS OVER APALACHEE BAY LATER TONIGHT WITH SEAS INCREASING TO 18 TO 23 FEET. ALONG THE COAST...WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS EVENING...REACHING SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH LATER TONIGHT AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BIG BEND. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN CAUSE LARGE TREE BRANCHES TO FALL...AS WELL AS A FEW TREES. UNSECURED ITEMS LIKE PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS MAY BE BLOWN OVER OR DISPLACED. SPORADIC...BRIEF POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. DRIVING LARGE PROFILE VEHICLES CAN BE DIFFICULT IN THESE CONDITIONS. ...INLAND FLOODING... A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE BIG BEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES. THROUGH 8 PM EDT CROSS CITY HAS RECEIVED 1.08 INCHES OF RAIN AND PERRY FLORIDA HAS REPORTED 0.47 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH UP TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT... AND MANY TROPICAL STORM RELATED DEATHS HAVE OCCURRED WHEN MOTORISTS TRIED TO CROSS STANDING WATER. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO MAY BECOME A MINIMAL HURRICANE BEFORE LAND FALL TUESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. ...TORNADO... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF TORNADOES ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY MIDNIGHT EDT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ BARRY ** WTUS82 KCHS 130042 *** HLSCHS AMZ330-350-352-354-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040- 042>045-047>051-130430- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 840 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHERN FLORIDA TUESDAY MORNING... ...ITS EFFECTS WILL BE FELT IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PAST FEW HOURS AS THE TROPICAL STORM CONTINUES TO MOVE CLOSER TO THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST. PLEASE REFER TO THE STORM INFORMATION SECTION FOR THE LATEST CHANGES. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS BE TAKEN BY ALL PERSONS IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER TO THE ALTAMAHA SOUND. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF CHATHAM...BRYAN...LIBERTY AND MCINTOSH...AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OUT 60 NM. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS INDICATES THAT SUSTAINED WINDS CAN REACH 39 MPH OR GREATER IN THE WARNING AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 800 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DARIEN...350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAVANNAH AND 425 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHARLESTON. MOVEMENT WAS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. BASED ON THIS MOVEMENT THE SYSTEM MAY REACH THE NORTH COAST OF FLORIDA EARLY TUESDAY...AND THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT ALBERTO MAY BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PERSONS IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...MUCH OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WILL BE IN THE SO CALLED STRONGER PORTION OF THE SYSTEM AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA. BE PREPARED TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. AFTER COORDINATION WITH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS...THERE ARE NO EVACUATION RECOMMENDATIONS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 KT OR HIGHER ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE UP TO 25 OR 30 KT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA COAST DURING THIS TIME. THIS WILL RESULT IN TIDES THAT ARE AT LEAST 1 TO 2 FT ABOVE PREDICTED VALUES. THESE HIGH TIDES ARE ALREADY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS WITH THE RECENT FULL MOON AND THE UPCOMING PERIGEE. TIDE LEVELS WILL BE FURTHER AGGRAVATED BY THE STRONG ONSHORE WIND...INCREASING SURF AND LOW PRESSURE AS ALBERTO APPROACHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... AS ALBERTO MOVES INLAND ON TUESDAY...WINDS DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA DURING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL REACH AS HIGH AS 35 TO 45 MPH ALONG THE COAST FROM TYBEE ISLAND TO SAPELO ISLAND DURING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...AS HIGH AS 30 TO 40 MPH IN LOCATIONS SUCH AS SAVANNAH AND PEMBROKE. WINDS UP TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT IN CLAXTON...REIDSVILLE AND LUDOWICI. HIGHEST WINDS IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA WILL BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS WINDS REACH UP TO 30 MPH NEAR AND ALONG THE COAST. HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL AREAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...AS WELL AS ACROSS THE ELEVATED BRIDGES IN METROPOLITAN AREAS OF CHARLESTON...BEAUFORT AND SAVANNAH. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. THE HEAVIEST AND STEADIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. ALTHOUGH THESE AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING PROBLEMS...IF YOU EXPERIENCE FLOODING IN POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW-LYING AREAS...BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION. FLOODING WILL BE ENHANCED IF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS IN AND NEAR HIGH TIDE. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. REMEMBER THAT TORNADOES CAN AND DO FORM WITH LITTLE TO NO ADVANCE NOTICE DURING TROPICAL STORMS. REMAIN ON THE ALERT AND BE PREPARED TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD WATCHES OR WARNINGS BE ISSUED AT A LATER TIME. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE AREA BEACHES ON TUESDAY...AS DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. ALL PERSONS ARE ADVISED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER ON TUESDAY DUE TO THESE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SURF WILL RESULT IN MODERATE TO SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AROUND 12 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO CAN BE FOUND IN ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE. $$ ** WTUS82 KJAX 130142 *** HLSJAX FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-130300- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 940 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TORNADO WATCH 473 IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA UNTIL 8 AM... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALACHUA...FLAGLER...GILCHRIST... MARION AND PUTNAM COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM EDT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...ALACHUA...BAKER... BRADFORD...CLAY...COLUMBIA...DUVAL...FLAGLER...GILCHRIST... HAMILTON...MARION...NASSAU...PUTNAM...ST JOHNS...SUWANNEE AND UNION. THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON... BACON...BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE..ECHOLS... GLYNN...JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE AND WAYNE. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA UNTIL 4 AM WEDNESDAY... ...TORNADO WATCH 473 HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALACHUA...FLAGLER... GILCHRIST...MARION AND PUTNAM COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM EDT... ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 800 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES...SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...ACCOMPANIED BY A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER COULD REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA EARLY TUESDAY. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY DETERIORATING IN THE WARNED AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WHILE SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL... ALBERTO STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE FLORIDA GULF COAST. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE I-75 CORRIDOR IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON THE STRONGER SIDE OF THE STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE... SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS OVER THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. SURF CONDITIONS WILL BUILD AND AN INCREASED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STORM TIDES OF TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ARE LIKELY EARLY TUESDAY. THIS IS AROUND 1 FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING OR BEACH EROSION EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ...WINDS... WEST OF INTERSTATE 75 INCLUDING THE LAKE CITY...LIVE OAK...OCALA AND GAINESVILLE AREAS...AS THE STRONGER RAINBANDS MOVE OVER THE REGION...SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 45 TO 60 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE FROM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. EAST OF INTERSTATE 75 INCLUDING THE JACKSONVILLE METRO AREA... BRUNSWICK...WAYCROSS...ST. AUGUSTINE AND PALM COAST...AS THE STRONGER RAINBANDS MOVE OVER THE REGION...SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 60 MPH WITH THE STRONGER RAINBANDS ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...INLAND FLOODING... STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. OTHER AREAS CAN EXPECT CAN EXPECT GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. INTERESTS IN AREAS WHICH EXPERIENCE POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION SHOULD FLOODING OCCUR. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND SPREAD INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON TUESDAY. REMEMBER TORNADOES CAN AND DO FORM WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING DURING TROPICAL STORMS...REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA. ...MARINE... WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...LATE TONIGHT CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS NEXT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 PM EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ SANDRIK ** WTNT21 KNHC 130231 *** TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 0300Z TUE JUN 13 2006 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO ENGLEWOOD... AND WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER...AT THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 84.6W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT.......140NE 140SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..140NE 175SE 100SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 84.6W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 84.9W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 29.5N 83.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 140SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 31.1N 82.5W...INLAND BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.1N 80.6W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 35.0N 77.2W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 39.5N 68.0W...OVER WATER EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 44.0N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 49.5N 50.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N 84.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT81 KNHC 130233 *** TCVAT1 ALBERTO WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 1000 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 .TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FLC017-029-053-057-065-075-081-101-103-123-129-130900- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 OCHLOCKONEE-RIVER-FL 29.96N 84.40W LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W $$ GMZ755-775-830-850-853-870-873-130900- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 OCHLOCKONEE-RIVER-FL 29.96N 84.40W LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W $$ FLC037-130900- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 INDIAN-PASS-FL 29.68N 85.27W OCHLOCKONEE-RIVER-FL 29.96N 84.40W $$ GMZ750-770-130900- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 INDIAN-PASS-FL 29.68N 85.27W OCHLOCKONEE-RIVER-FL 29.96N 84.40W $$ FLC115-130900- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W ENGLEWOOD-FL 26.94N 82.37W $$ FLC031-035-089-109-GAC029-039-051-127-179-191-130900- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 FLAGLER-BEACH-FL 29.47N 81.12W SAVANNAH-RIVER-GA 32.03N 80.86W $$ AMZ354-374-450-452-454-470-472-474-130900- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 FLAGLER-BEACH-FL 29.47N 81.12W SAVANNAH-RIVER-GA 32.03N 80.86W $$ ATTN...WFO...CHS...TBW...TAE...JAX... ** WTNT31 KNHC 130241 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 1000 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...ALBERTO CONTINUES TO CHURN TOWARD THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO ENGLEWOOD... AND WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER...AT THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES...150 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 105 MILES...165 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WHILE SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL... ALBERTO STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE FLORIDA GULF COAST TUESDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM ...TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS... DOPPLER RADAR DATA... AND REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO SPREAD ONSHORE THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM VENICE NORTHWARD TO APALACHEEE BAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA. TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREAS ARE ALREADY RUNNING MORE THAN 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES... ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA... AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...28.4 N...84.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTUS82 KJAX 130248 *** HLSJAX FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-130900- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 1100 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...ALBERTO STILL A STRONG TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO... ...NEW INFORMATION... ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS REMAIN THE UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS STATEMENT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...ALACHUA...BAKER... BRADFORD...CLAY...COLUMBIA...DUVAL...FLAGLER...GILCHRIST... HAMILTON...MARION...NASSAU...PUTNAM...ST JOHNS...SUWANNEE AND UNION. THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON... BACON...BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE..ECHOLS... GLYNN...JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE AND WAYNE. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA UNTIL 4 AM WEDNESDAY... ...TORNADO WATCH 473 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALACHUA...FLAGLER... GILCHRIST...MARION AND PUTNAM COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM EDT... ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1100 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 105 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WHILE SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL... ALBERTO STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE FLORIDA GULF COAST TUESDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS... DOPPLER RADAR DATA... AND REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO SPREAD ONSHORE THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM VENICE NORTHWARD TO APALACHEE BAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE I-75 CORRIDOR IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON THE STRONGER SIDE OF THE STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE... SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 KNOTS OVER THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. SURF CONDITIONS WILL BUILD AND AN INCREASED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STORM TIDES OF TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ARE LIKELY EARLY TUESDAY. THIS IS AROUND ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING OR BEACH EROSION EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ...WINDS... WEST OF INTERSTATE 75 INCLUDING THE LAKE CITY...LIVE OAK...OCALA AND GAINESVILLE AREAS...AS THE STRONGER RAINBANDS MOVE OVER THE REGION...SUSTAINED WINDS MAY INCREASE TO 45 TO 60 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. EAST OF INTERSTATE 75 INCLUDING THE JACKSONVILLE METRO AREA... BRUNSWICK...WAYCROSS...ST. AUGUSTINE AND PALM COAST...AS THE STRONGER RAINBANDS MOVE OVER THE REGION...SUSTAINED WINDS MAY INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 60 MPH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...INLAND FLOODING... AROUND TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER PORTIONS OF FLAGLER COUNTY...ST. JOHNS COUNTY AND THE SUWANNEE VALLEY SINCE YESTERDAY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE IN NORTH FLORIDA ABOUT ONE HALF TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER HE SAME PERIOD. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. INTERESTS IN AREAS WHICH EXPERIENCE POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION SHOULD FLOODING OCCUR. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA THROUGH 8 AM. THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SPREAD INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON TUESDAY. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA. REMEMBER TORNADOES CAN AND DO FORM WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING DURING TROPICAL STORMS...REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. ...MARINE... WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...LATE TONIGHT CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR OR PREPARE FOR HEAVY WEATHER AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS NEXT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ SANDRIK ** WTUS82 KJAX 130252 *** HLSJAX FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-130900- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 1100 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...ALBERTO STILL A STRONG TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO... ...NEW INFORMATION... ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS REMAIN THE UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS STATEMENT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...ALACHUA...BAKER... BRADFORD...CLAY...COLUMBIA...DUVAL...FLAGLER...GILCHRIST... HAMILTON...MARION...NASSAU...PUTNAM...ST JOHNS...SUWANNEE AND UNION. THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON... BACON...BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE..ECHOLS... GLYNN...JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE AND WAYNE. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA UNTIL 4 AM WEDNESDAY... ...TORNADO WATCH 473 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALACHUA...FLAGLER... GILCHRIST...MARION AND PUTNAM COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM EDT... ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1100 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 105 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WHILE SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL... ALBERTO STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE FLORIDA GULF COAST TUESDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS... DOPPLER RADAR DATA... AND REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO SPREAD ONSHORE THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM VENICE NORTHWARD TO APALACHEE BAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE I-75 CORRIDOR IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON THE STRONGER SIDE OF THE STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE... SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 KNOTS OVER THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. SURF CONDITIONS WILL BUILD AND AN INCREASED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STORM TIDES OF TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ARE LIKELY EARLY TUESDAY. THIS IS AROUND ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING OR BEACH EROSION EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ...WINDS... WEST OF INTERSTATE 75 INCLUDING THE LAKE CITY...LIVE OAK...OCALA AND GAINESVILLE AREAS...AS THE STRONGER RAINBANDS MOVE OVER THE REGION...SUSTAINED WINDS MAY INCREASE TO 45 TO 60 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. EAST OF INTERSTATE 75 INCLUDING THE JACKSONVILLE METRO AREA... BRUNSWICK...WAYCROSS...ST. AUGUSTINE AND PALM COAST...AS THE STRONGER RAINBANDS MOVE OVER THE REGION...SUSTAINED WINDS MAY INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 60 MPH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...INLAND FLOODING... AROUND TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER PORTIONS OF FLAGLER COUNTY...ST. JOHNS COUNTY AND THE SUWANNEE VALLEY SINCE YESTERDAY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE IN NORTH FLORIDA ABOUT ONE HALF TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER HE SAME PERIOD. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. INTERESTS IN AREAS WHICH EXPERIENCE POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION SHOULD FLOODING OCCUR. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA THROUGH 8 AM. THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SPREAD INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON TUESDAY. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA. REMEMBER TORNADOES CAN AND DO FORM WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING DURING TROPICAL STORMS...REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. ...MARINE... WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...LATE TONIGHT CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR OR PREPARE FOR HEAVY WEATHER AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS NEXT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ SANDRIK ** WTNT41 KNHC 130301 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 1100 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT MEASURED 68-KT WINDS AT 700 MB IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT JUST NORTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORDIA... WHICH WAS IN AN AREA OF 64+ KT DOPPELR VELOCITY DATA FROM TAMPA BAY AND TALLAHASSEE. THESE WIND REPORTS WERE IN AREAS OF CONVECTIVE BANDING WITH REFLECTIVITIES OF AT LEAST 40 DBZ...SO USING A 90 PERCENT REDUCTION FACTOR SEEMS APPROPROPRIATE...WHICH MEANS THAT ALBERTO REMAINS A 60-KT TROPICAL STORM. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 995 MB IS BASED ON EARLIER RECON DROPSONDE REPORT OF 996 MB WITH A 15-KT SURFACE WIND...AND NOAA BUOY 42036...LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER... REPORTING 997.2 MB PRESSURE AT 13/02Z. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 040/09 KT. UPPER-AIR DATA THIS EVENING INDICATE A NARROW 850-500 MB RIDGE EXTENDING NORTHWESTWARD AHEAD OF ALBERTO ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO NUDGE THE CYCLONE A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF ITS CURRENT MOTION...BEFORE THE BEING TURNED BACK TO THE NORTHEAST AHEAD OF A DIGGING MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS THE TENNESSEE AND MISSOURI VALLEYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK REMAINS NEAR THE RIGHT OR EAST SIDE OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...AND IS A LITTRL FATER THAN THE PREVIOSU ADVISORY AFTER ALBERTO BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW MAY FORCE THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CLOSER TO THE CAROLINA COASTS BY 48 HOURS...RESULTING IN AN OVER WATER EXTRATROPICAL GALE AREA. SOME SHALLOW CONVECTION HAS BEEN DEVELOPING AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. WHILE GULF WATER TEMPERATURES ARE ONLY AROUND 79-80F AHEAD OF ALBERTO... THE 00Z UPPER-AIR SOUNDING FROM TAMPA INDICATES THAT THE ATMOPSHERE AHEAD OF THE CYCLONE AHS BECOME MORE UNSTABLE SINCE 12Z THIS MORNING. SINCE THERE IS AVAILABLE INSTABOLILY TO SUPPORT THE REGENERATION OF SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING... A FORECAST OF ALBERTO POSSIBLY REACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE LANDFALL APPEARS TO STILL BE IN ORDER. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINS...THE MAIN HAZARD ASSOCIATED WITH ALBERTO WILL LIKELY BE STORM SURGE FLOODING...WHICH COULD BE 8-10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS EVEN FOR A STRONG TROPICAL STORM IN THIS AREA. IT IS...HOWEVER...IMPOSSIBLE TO SPECIFY EXACTLY WHICH LOCATIONS WILL EXPERIENCE THE GREATEST STORM SURGE FLOODING BECAUSE THIS WILL DEPEND UPON THE PRECISE TRACK AND WIND FIELD NEAR LANDFALL. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 28.4N 84.6W 60 KT 12HR VT 13/1200Z 29.5N 83.7W 65 KT 24HR VT 14/0000Z 31.1N 82.5W 40 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 14/1200Z 33.1N 80.6W 30 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 15/0000Z 35.0N 77.2W 30 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 16/0000Z 39.5N 68.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 17/0000Z 44.0N 60.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 18/0000Z 49.5N 50.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 130301 CCA *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL ALBERTO ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 12 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 1000 PM CDT LUNES 12 DE JUNIO DE 2006 ...ALBERTO CONTINUA MOVIENDOSE HACIA EL AREA DE BIG BEND EN LA FLORIDA... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DE LA FLORIDA DESDE LONGBOAT KEY HASTA EL RIO OCHLOCKONEE. UN AVISO DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE HURACAN DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL SUR DE LONGBOAT KEY HASTA ENGLEWOOD...Y DESDE EL OESTE DEL RIO OCHLOCKONEE HASTA INDIAN PASS. TAMBIEN ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO DESDE FLAGER BEACH FLORIDA HACIA EL NORTE HASTA SAVANNAH RIVER...Y PARA LA FRONTERA DE GEORGIA Y CAROLINA DEL SUR. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA DE METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. A LAS 10 PM CDT...0300Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ALBERTO ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 28.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 84.6 OESTE O COMO 95 MILLAS...150 KILOMETROS...AL SUR-SURESTE DE APALACHICOLA FLORIDA Y COMO A 130 MILLAS...165 KILOMETROS...AL OESTE-SUROESTE DE CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH...17 KILOMETROS POR HORA...Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE CON ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 70 MPH...110 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. AUNQUE SON POSIBLES ALGUNAS FLUCTUACIONES EN INTENSIDAD...ALBERTO AUN TIENE EL POTENCIAL PARA CONVERTIRSE EN HURACAN ANTES DE ALCANZAR LA COSTA DE FLORIDA EN EL GOLFO EL MARTES EN LA MANANA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 160 MILLAS...260 KILOMETROS...AL NORESTE Y SURESTE DEL CENTRO. OBSERVACIONES DEL RADAR DOPPLER...OBSERVACIONES DE SUPERFICIE Y DATA DEL AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA INDICAN QUE VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL ESTAN COMENZANDO A DESPLAZARSE HACIA LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DE LA FLORIDA DESDE VENICE HACIA EL NORTE HASTA APALACHEE BAY. LA PRESION CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 995 MB...29.38 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS POR MAREJADAS CICLONICAS DE 8 A 10 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA SON POSIBLES SOBRE UNA EXTENSA PORCION DEL AREA BAJO AVISO. LAS MAREJADAS EN LAS AREAS BAJO AVISO ESTAN YA A MAS DE DOS PIES SOBRE EL NIVEL NORMAL. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE SECTORES DE LA PARTE CENTRAL Y NORTE DE FLORIDA...Y SOBRE EL SUR DE GEORGIA ESTA NOCHE Y EL MARTES. CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE HASTA 10 PULGADAS...SON POSIBLES HASTA EL MARTES A TRAVES DE LOS SECTORES CENTRALES Y DEL NORTE DE LA FLORIDA Y EL SUR Y SURESTE DE GEORGIA. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE SECTORES DEL NORTE Y EL CENTRO DE LA FLORIDA...Y SOBRE EL SUR DE GEORGIA ESTA NOCHE Y EL MARTES. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 10 PM CDT...28.4 NORTE...84.6 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORESTE A CERCA DE 10 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...70 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...995 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 1 AM SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 4 AM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ TRADUCCION CORTESIA DE LA OFICINA DE PRONOSTICOS DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ** WTUS82 KJAX 130303 AAA *** HLSJAX FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-130900- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...AMENDED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 1100 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...AMENDED WINDS SECTION.... ...ALBERTO STILL A STRONG TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO... ...NEW INFORMATION... ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS REMAIN THE UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS STATEMENT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...ALACHUA...BAKER... BRADFORD...CLAY...COLUMBIA...DUVAL...FLAGLER...GILCHRIST... HAMILTON...MARION...NASSAU...PUTNAM...ST JOHNS...SUWANNEE AND UNION. THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON... BACON...BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE..ECHOLS... GLYNN...JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE AND WAYNE. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL COUNTIES OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA UNTIL 4 AM WEDNESDAY... ...TORNADO WATCH 473 REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALACHUA...FLAGLER... GILCHRIST...MARION AND PUTNAM COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM EDT... ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1100 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 105 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WHILE SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL... ALBERTO STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE FLORIDA GULF COAST TUESDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS... DOPPLER RADAR DATA... AND REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO SPREAD ONSHORE THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM VENICE NORTHWARD TO APALACHEE BAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE I-75 CORRIDOR IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON THE STRONGER SIDE OF THE STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE... SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 KNOTS OVER THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. SURF CONDITIONS WILL BUILD AND AN INCREASED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. STORM TIDES OF TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ARE LIKELY EARLY TUESDAY. THIS IS AROUND ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING OR BEACH EROSION EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ...WINDS... WEST OF INTERSTATE 75 INCLUDING THE LAKE CITY...LIVE OAK...OCALA AND GAINESVILLE AREAS...AS THE STRONGER RAINBANDS MOVE OVER THE REGION...SUSTAINED WINDS MAY INCREASE TO 40 TO 50 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. EAST OF INTERSTATE 75 INCLUDING THE JACKSONVILLE METRO AREA... BRUNSWICK...WAYCROSS...ST. AUGUSTINE AND PALM COAST...AS THE STRONGER RAINBANDS MOVE OVER THE REGION...SUSTAINED WINDS MAY INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ...INLAND FLOODING... AROUND TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER PORTIONS OF FLAGLER COUNTY...ST. JOHNS COUNTY AND THE SUWANNEE VALLEY SINCE YESTERDAY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE IN NORTH FLORIDA ABOUT ONE HALF TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER HE SAME PERIOD. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. INTERESTS IN AREAS WHICH EXPERIENCE POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION SHOULD FLOODING OCCUR. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA THROUGH 8 AM. THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SPREAD INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON TUESDAY. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA. REMEMBER TORNADOES CAN AND DO FORM WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING DURING TROPICAL STORMS...REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. ...MARINE... WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...LATE TONIGHT CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR OR PREPARE FOR HEAVY WEATHER AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS NEXT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ SANDRIK ** WTUS82 KTBW 130308 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055-060-130930- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 1100 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO MOVING TOWARD THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY BUT CONTINUES TO PUSH TOWARD THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED NORTHWEST OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER BY MID TUESDAY MORNING. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AREAS FROM LONGBOAT KEY THROUGH THE SUWANNEE RIVER...WHICH INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF MANATEE...HILLSBOROUGH...PINELLAS...PASCO...HERNANDO... CITRUS AND LEVY. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL AND NON TIDAL LEVY...CITRUS...AND HERNANDO COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD TO LONGBOAT KEY...WHICH INCLUDES THE COASTAL AREAS OF SARASOTA COUNTY. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL AND NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...SUMTER... AND PASCO COUNTIES. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM TUESDAY FOR LEVY...CITRUS... HERNANDO... SUMTER...PASCO...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK... MANATEE...SARASOTA...HARDEE...DESOTO...HIGHLANDS...CHARLOTTE...AND LEE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 2 PM TUESDAY FOR LEE... CHARLOTTE...SARASOTA...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...MANATEE... PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS...LEVY AND SUMTER COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST...ABOUT 150 MILES WEST OF TAMPA...OR 125 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALBERTO WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...ACCOMPANIED BY A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...WINDS... WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH RAIN SQUALLS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT AS RAIN BANDS FROM ALBERTO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. COASTAL AREAS COULD SEE SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR INLAND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 4 OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF HERNANDO...CITRUS...AND LEVY COUNTIES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... TIDES ARE RUNNING SLIGHTLY OVER 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL THIS EVENING. THE HIGH TIDE LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON COMBINED WITH THE SURGE FROM ALBERTO COULD CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING FROM TAMPA BAY NORTH THROUGH CEDAR KEY. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE TAMPA BAY AREA...5 TO 6 FEET ALONG HERNANDO AND PASCO COUNTY...6 TO 8 FEET IN CITRUS COUNTY...AND 7 TO 10 FEET IN LEVY COUNTY. THIS IS ON TOP OF THE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE. THE STORM SURGE JUST SOUTH OF WHERE ALBERTO MAKES LANDFALL COULD REACH 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE. ...INLAND FLOODING... STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH TUESDAY WILL BE 4 TO 8 INCHES. RECENT DRY CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW THE GROUND TO ABSORB A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL. HOWEVER...HEAVY DOWNPOURS MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. ...BEACH EROSION... SWELLS FROM ALBERTO WILL CAUSE BREAKING WAVES OF 4 TO 7 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT. ONSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY WITH HIGH SURF AND MINOR BEACH EROSION EXPECTED. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH TUESDAY. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 530 AM TUESDAY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ CP ** WTUS82 KCHS 130314 *** HLSCHS AMZ330-350-352-354-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040- 042>045-047>051-130900- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 1113 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHERN FLORIDA DURING MIDDAY TUESDAY... ...HEAVY RAINS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES EXPECTED IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... HAVE MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS ON THE TIMING OF THE EXPECTED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. PLEASE REFER TO THE WIND IMPACTS SECTION. HAVE INCLUDED MENTION OF STORM PREDICTION CENTER RISK OF TORNADOES. PLEASE REFER TO THE TORNADO IMPACTS SECTION. AND HAVE ADJUSTED LATEST STORM INFORMATION BASED ON 1100 PM EDT ADVISORY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS BE TAKEN BY ALL PERSONS IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER TO THE ALTAMAHA SOUND. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF CHATHAM...BRYAN...LIBERTY AND MCINTOSH...AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OUT 60 NM. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS INDICATES THAT SUSTAINED WINDS CAN REACH 39 MPH OR GREATER IN THE WARNING AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1100 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE ALTAMAHA RIVER...325 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAVANNAH AND 400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHARLESTON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ALMOST TO HURRICANE STRENGTH AT 70 MPH. MOVEMENT WAS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. BASED ON THIS MOVEMENT THE SYSTEM WILL REACH THE NORTH COAST OF FLORIDA DURING MIDDAY TUESDAY...AND THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT ALBERTO MAY BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PERSONS IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...MUCH OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WILL BE IN THE SO CALLED STRONGER PORTION OF THE SYSTEM AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA. BE PREPARED TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. AFTER COORDINATION WITH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS...THERE ARE NO EVACUATION RECOMMENDATIONS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 KT OR HIGHER ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS BY LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE UP TO 25 OR 30 KT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA COAST DURING THIS TIME. THIS WILL RESULT IN TIDES THAT ARE AT LEAST 1 TO 2 FT ABOVE PREDICTED VALUES. THESE HIGH TIDES ARE ALREADY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS WITH THE RECENT FULL MOON AND THE UPCOMING PERIGEE. TIDE LEVELS WILL BE FURTHER AGGRAVATED BY THE STRONG ONSHORE WIND...INCREASING SURF AND LOW PRESSURE AS ALBERTO APPROACHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... AS ALBERTO MOVES INLAND ON TUESDAY...WINDS DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA DURING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL REACH AS HIGH AS 35 TO 45 MPH ALONG THE COAST FROM TYBEE ISLAND TO SAPELO ISLAND DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT...AND AS HIGH AS 30 TO 40 MPH IN LOCATIONS SUCH AS SAVANNAH AND PEMBROKE. WINDS UP TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT IN LOCATIONS SUCH AS CLAXTON...REIDSVILLE AND LUDOWICI. HIGHEST WINDS IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA WILL BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS WINDS REACH UP TO 30 MPH NEAR AND ALONG THE COAST. ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA WINDS WILL BE MAINLY 25 MPH OR LESS. HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY...AS WELL AS ACROSS THE ELEVATED BRIDGES IN METROPOLITAN AREAS OF CHARLESTON...BEAUFORT AND SAVANNAH. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. THE HEAVIEST AND STEADIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. ALTHOUGH THESE AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING PROBLEMS...IF YOU EXPERIENCE FLOODING IN POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW-LYING AREAS...BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION. FLOODING WILL BE ENHANCED IF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS IN AND NEAR HIGH TIDE. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. AT THE PRESENT TIME THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT PARTS OF OUR AREA ARE IN A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER...WITH THE MAIN HAZARD BEING TORNADOES. REMEMBER THAT TORNADOES CAN AND DO FORM WITH LITTLE TO NO ADVANCE NOTICE DURING TROPICAL STORMS. REMAIN ON THE ALERT AND BE PREPARED TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD WATCHES OR WARNINGS BE ISSUED AT A LATER TIME. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE AREA BEACHES ON TUESDAY...AS DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. ALL PERSONS ARE ADVISED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER ON TUESDAY DUE TO THESE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SURF WILL RESULT IN MODERATE TO SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AROUND 4 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO CAN BE FOUND IN ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE. $$ ** WTNT41 KNHC 130317 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 12...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 1100 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 CORRECTED SPELLING ERRORS AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT MEASURED 68-KT WINDS AT 700 MB IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT JUST NORTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA... WHICH WAS IN AN AREA OF 64+ KT DOPPLER VELOCITY DATA FROM TAMPA BAY AND TALLAHASSEE. THESE WIND REPORTS WERE IN AREAS OF CONVECTIVE BANDING WITH REFLECTIVITIES OF AT LEAST 40 DBZ...SO USING A 90 PERCENT REDUCTION FACTOR SEEMS APPROPRIATE...WHICH MEANS THAT ALBERTO REMAINS A 60-KT TROPICAL STORM. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 995 MB IS BASED ON EARLIER RECON DROPSONDE REPORT OF 996 MB WITH A 15-KT SURFACE WIND...AND NOAA BUOY 42036...LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER... REPORTING 997.2 MB PRESSURE AT 13/02Z. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 040/09 KT. UPPER-AIR DATA THIS EVENING INDICATE A NARROW 850-500 MB RIDGE EXTENDING NORTHWESTWARD AHEAD OF ALBERTO ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO NUDGE THE CYCLONE A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF ITS CURRENT MOTION...BEFORE THE BEING TURNED BACK TO THE NORTHEAST AHEAD OF A DIGGING MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS THE TENNESSEE AND MISSOURI VALLEYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK REMAINS NEAR THE RIGHT OR EAST SIDE OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...AND IS A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AFTER ALBERTO BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW MAY FORCE THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW CLOSER TO THE CAROLINA COASTS BY 48 HOURS...RESULTING IN AN OVER WATER EXTRATROPICAL GALE AREA. SOME SHALLOW CONVECTION HAS BEEN DEVELOPING AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. WHILE GULF WATER TEMPERATURES ARE ONLY AROUND 79-80F AHEAD OF ALBERTO... THE 00Z UPPER-AIR SOUNDING FROM TAMPA INDICATES THAT THE ATMOSPHERE AHEAD OF THE CYCLONE HAS BECOME MORE UNSTABLE SINCE 12Z THIS MORNING. SINCE THERE IS AVAILABLE INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT THE REGENERATION OF SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING... A FORECAST OF ALBERTO POSSIBLY REACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE LANDFALL APPEARS TO STILL BE IN ORDER. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINS...THE MAIN HAZARD ASSOCIATED WITH ALBERTO WILL LIKELY BE STORM SURGE FLOODING...WHICH COULD BE 8-10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS EVEN FOR A STRONG TROPICAL STORM IN THIS AREA. IT IS...HOWEVER...IMPOSSIBLE TO SPECIFY EXACTLY WHICH LOCATIONS WILL EXPERIENCE THE GREATEST STORM SURGE FLOODING BECAUSE THIS WILL DEPEND UPON THE PRECISE TRACK AND WIND FIELD NEAR LANDFALL. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 28.4N 84.6W 60 KT 12HR VT 13/1200Z 29.5N 83.7W 65 KT 24HR VT 14/0000Z 31.1N 82.5W 40 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 14/1200Z 33.1N 80.6W 30 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 15/0000Z 35.0N 77.2W 30 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 16/0000Z 39.5N 68.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 17/0000Z 44.0N 60.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 18/0000Z 49.5N 50.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ ** WTUS82 KMLB 130322 *** HLSMLB AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 130700- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 1122 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO MOVING CLOSER TO THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA... ...NEW INFORMATION... WITH ALBERTO DRAWING CLOSER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE CONDUCIVE FOR TORNADOES TO OCCUR OVERNIGHT. THEREFORE...A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH 8 AM EDT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...ESPECIALLY FOR LAKE AND INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. PERSONS IN ORANGE...SEMINOLE...OSCEOLA...BREVARD AND COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTIES SHOULD LISTEN CLOSELY FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST TRACK AS NOT TO GET CAUGHT OFF GUARD. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE AND INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY. ON THE COAST...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD INTO GEORGIA. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE... VOLUSIA...OSCEOLA...AND BREVARD COUNTIES...TO INCLUDE THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 10 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALBERTO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDIANS...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS SHOULD BE RAPIDLY NEARING COMPLETION FOR LOCATIONS UNDER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. IMPORTANTLY...EVERYONE SHOULD BE SURE TO CHECK THE LATEST FORECAST BEFORE GOING TO BED TONIGHT...AND THEN CHECK IT AGAIN FIRST THING IN THE MORNING. FACTOR THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF ALBERTO INTO YOUR FAMILY OR BUSINESS PLANS FOR TUESDAY...KEEPING SAFETY AS YOUR FIRST CONCERN. ALSO...TURN ON THE AUTO ALERT FEATURE OF YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO IN CASE A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR LOCATION DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE NIGHT. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO IS STILL FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARD APALACHEE BAY EARLY TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...30 TO 40 MPH...FOR PARTS OF LAKE AND INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTIES EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND POSSIBLY CONTINUING INTO THE AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AND WILL LIKELY GUST OVER 50 MPH IN PASSING SQUALLS. THE FORECAST FOR THE NEARBY COUNTIES OF ORANGE...SEMINOLE... OSCEOLA...BREVARD...AND COASTAL VOLUSIA...IS FOR WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH IN PASSING SQUALLS. WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES... A FEW FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 AM EDT...GENERALLY FROM AROUND SEBASTIAN AND YEEHAW JUNCTION NORTHWARD. LOW LEVEL ENVIRONMENTAL WIND SHEAR HAS BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SUPPORTING ROTATING STORMS. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS ARE BETTER OVER THE WESTERN PENINSULA AT THIS TIME...THE TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE EASTWARD AS RAINBANDS TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER MORE READILY AFFECT THE FORECAST AREA COINCIDENT WITH AN IMPROVED SHEAR PROFILE. THE THREAT IS FOR SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES. ...INLAND FLOODING... WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS WESTERN FLORIDA...WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH TUESDAY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF FIVE INCHES OR SO WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OCCUR. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 4 CORRIDOR. WIDESPREAD FLOODING APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME AS WATER RETENTION AREAS CAN HANDLE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF. HOWEVER...TEMPORARY INUNDATION OF ROADS AND OTHER LOW LYING FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE LOCALLY POSSIBLE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... WITH THE FORECAST WIND DIRECTION TO EVENTUALLY BECOME OFFSHORE...THE EFFECTS OF STORM TIDE ARE EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL FOR THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS WITH HEIGHTS LESS THAN 2 FEET...MAINLY NEAR TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD. SURF CONDITIONS MAY BECOME ROUGH NORTH OF COCOA BEACH WITH SOME MINOR BEACH EROSION. ...MARINE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET. SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH...ALBERTO WILL CAUSE SEAS TO BUILD TO 5 TO 7 FEET OVER THE WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO FLAGLER BEACH AND OUT 20 NAUTICAL MILES WITH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS. BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES SEAS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BUILD TO 8 FEET OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS AS WELL. ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET...LOCAL WINDS WILL GUST TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IN PASSING SQUALLS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR WATERSPOUTS. MARINERS...AND OTHERS WITH MARINE INTERESTS...SHOULD LISTEN CLOSELY FOR CHANGES IN THE FORECAST. AS ALBERTO COMES ON SHORE TUESDAY... GUSTY WINDS FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST COULD PRODUCE ROUGH CONDITIONS...DAMAGING SOME DOCKS AND BOATS ALONG THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY...ESPECIALLY IN VOLUSIA COUNTY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE WILL BE ISSUED BY 6 AM OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ DD ** WTUS82 KCHS 130314 *** HLSCHS AMZ330-350-352-354-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040- 042>045-047>051-130900- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 1113 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHERN FLORIDA DURING MIDDAY TUESDAY... ...HEAVY RAINS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES EXPECTED IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... HAVE MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS ON THE TIMING OF THE EXPECTED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. PLEASE REFER TO THE WIND IMPACTS SECTION. HAVE INCLUDED MENTION OF STORM PREDICTION CENTER RISK OF TORNADOES. PLEASE REFER TO THE TORNADO IMPACTS SECTION. AND HAVE ADJUSTED LATEST STORM INFORMATION BASED ON 1100 PM EDT ADVISORY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS BE TAKEN BY ALL PERSONS IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER TO THE ALTAMAHA SOUND. THIS INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF CHATHAM...BRYAN...LIBERTY AND MCINTOSH...AS WELL AS THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OUT 60 NM. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS INDICATES THAT SUSTAINED WINDS CAN REACH 39 MPH OR GREATER IN THE WARNING AREA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1100 PM EDT...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE ALTAMAHA RIVER...325 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAVANNAH AND 400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHARLESTON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ALMOST TO HURRICANE STRENGTH AT 70 MPH. MOVEMENT WAS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. BASED ON THIS MOVEMENT THE SYSTEM WILL REACH THE NORTH COAST OF FLORIDA DURING MIDDAY TUESDAY...AND THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT ALBERTO MAY BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PERSONS IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...MUCH OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WILL BE IN THE SO CALLED STRONGER PORTION OF THE SYSTEM AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA. BE PREPARED TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. AFTER COORDINATION WITH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS...THERE ARE NO EVACUATION RECOMMENDATIONS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 35 KT OR HIGHER ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS BY LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE UP TO 25 OR 30 KT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA COAST DURING THIS TIME. THIS WILL RESULT IN TIDES THAT ARE AT LEAST 1 TO 2 FT ABOVE PREDICTED VALUES. THESE HIGH TIDES ARE ALREADY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS WITH THE RECENT FULL MOON AND THE UPCOMING PERIGEE. TIDE LEVELS WILL BE FURTHER AGGRAVATED BY THE STRONG ONSHORE WIND...INCREASING SURF AND LOW PRESSURE AS ALBERTO APPROACHES. ...WIND IMPACTS... AS ALBERTO MOVES INLAND ON TUESDAY...WINDS DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA DURING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL REACH AS HIGH AS 35 TO 45 MPH ALONG THE COAST FROM TYBEE ISLAND TO SAPELO ISLAND DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT...AND AS HIGH AS 30 TO 40 MPH IN LOCATIONS SUCH AS SAVANNAH AND PEMBROKE. WINDS UP TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT IN LOCATIONS SUCH AS CLAXTON...REIDSVILLE AND LUDOWICI. HIGHEST WINDS IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA WILL BE LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS WINDS REACH UP TO 30 MPH NEAR AND ALONG THE COAST. ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA WINDS WILL BE MAINLY 25 MPH OR LESS. HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY...AS WELL AS ACROSS THE ELEVATED BRIDGES IN METROPOLITAN AREAS OF CHARLESTON...BEAUFORT AND SAVANNAH. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. THE HEAVIEST AND STEADIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. ALTHOUGH THESE AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING PROBLEMS...IF YOU EXPERIENCE FLOODING IN POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW-LYING AREAS...BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION. FLOODING WILL BE ENHANCED IF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS IN AND NEAR HIGH TIDE. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. AT THE PRESENT TIME THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT PARTS OF OUR AREA ARE IN A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER...WITH THE MAIN HAZARD BEING TORNADOES. REMEMBER THAT TORNADOES CAN AND DO FORM WITH LITTLE TO NO ADVANCE NOTICE DURING TROPICAL STORMS. REMAIN ON THE ALERT AND BE PREPARED TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD WATCHES OR WARNINGS BE ISSUED AT A LATER TIME. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS... THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE AREA BEACHES ON TUESDAY...AS DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. ALL PERSONS ARE ADVISED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER ON TUESDAY DUE TO THESE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SURF WILL RESULT IN MODERATE TO SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AROUND 4 AM EDT...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO CAN BE FOUND IN ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS WELL AS PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND SHORT TERM FORECASTS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE. $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 130442 *** HLSTAE FLZ008-012-014>019-026>029-034-GAZ146>148-156>161-GMZ750-755-770- 775-140900- TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1242 AM EDT TUE JUN 13 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO NEARING THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA COAST... ...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OCCURRING ACROSS APALACHEE BAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY...SIZE...AND MOTION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG BEND COAST. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. THIS INCLUDES DIXIE...TAYLOR...JEFFERSON...AND WAKULLA COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS...WHICH INCLUDES FRANKLIN COUNTY. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. A FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR BAY AND COASTAL WALTON COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 PM EDT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 105 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY. ALBERTO WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THERE IS STILL A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT ALBERTO COULD BECOME A MINIMAL HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD NOW BE COMPLETED ALONG THE WARNED AREA. HEAVY RAIN IS CURRENTLY AFFECTING MUCH OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...MAKING TRAVEL DIFFICULT. THE WORST OF THE WEATHER WILL LIKELY OCCUR ACROSS THE WARNED AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WELL BEFORE THE STORM CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS OF MIDNIGHT EDT TUESDAY...TIDES WERE GENERALLY 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS APALACHEE BAY. THE LATEST STORM SURGE MODELS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 10 FEET ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WARNED AREA. THESE PEAK SURGE HEIGHTS WILL OCCUR DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TODAY...AND WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RESIDENTS IN THE NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND KNOW WHERE TO GO SHOULD AN EVACUATION BE NEEDED. A HIGH TIDE AT THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER OCCURRED AT 543 PM MONDAY. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AT 737 AM TUESDAY. A HIGH TIDE AT ST MARKS OCCURRED AT 237 PM MONDAY. THE NEXT TWO HIGH TIDES WILL BE AT 447 AM TUESDAY AND AT 318 PM EDT TUESDAY. A HIGH TIDE AT APALACHICOLA OCCURRED AT 313 PM MONDAY. THE NEXT TWO HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 846 AM TUESDAY AND 405 PM EDT TUESDAY. ...WINDS... AS OF MIDNIGHT EDT...WINDS AT PERRY AND CROSS CITY WERE OUT OF THE EAST AT ABOUT 15 MPH...WITH GUSTS FROM 20 TO 25 MPH. THE WIND AT CEDAR KEY WAS SOUTHEAST AT 31 MPH GUSTING TO 37 MPH. IT APPEARS THAT THE CENTER HAD JUST PASSED THE APALACHICOLA BUOY IN THE NORTHEAST GULF...AS THE SURFACE WIND SWITCHED FROM SOUTHEAST TO WEST DURING THE PAST HOUR. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH...ARE OCCURRING ACROSS APALACHEE BAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL LATER THIS MORNING. THIS WIND WILL SPREAD INLAND DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...BUT WILL WEAKEN QUITE A BIT OVER LAND. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES NEAR THE COAST. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH CAN CAUSE LARGE TREE BRANCHES TO FALL...AS WELL AS A FEW TREES. UNSECURED ITEMS LIKE PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS MAY BE BLOWN OVER OR DISPLACED. SPORADIC...BRIEF POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. DRIVING LARGE PROFILE VEHICLES CAN BE DIFFICULT IN THESE CONDITIONS. ...INLAND FLOODING... A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE BIG BEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTIES. THROUGH 8 PM EDT CROSS CITY HAS RECEIVED 1.08 INCHES OF RAIN AND PERRY FLORIDA HAS REPORTED 0.47 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH UP TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT... AND MANY TROPICAL STORM RELATED DEATHS HAVE OCCURRED WHEN MOTORISTS TRIED TO CROSS STANDING WATER. ...TORNADOS... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF TORNADOES ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TONIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 4 AM EDT. $$ FOURNIER ** WTNT80 EGRR 130444 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 13.06.2006 TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO ANALYSED POSITION : 28.6N 84.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL012006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.06.2006 28.6N 84.5W MODERATE 12UTC 13.06.2006 29.1N 84.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.06.2006 30.6N 83.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.06.2006 33.1N 81.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.06.2006 35.6N 75.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.06.2006 38.9N 68.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.06.2006 EXTRA-TROPICAL THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 130444 ** WTNT31 KNHC 130546 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 200 AM EDT TUE JUN 13 2006 ...ALBERTO NOT STRENGTHENING AS IT APPROACHES THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO ENGLEWOOD... AND WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC COAST FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER...AT THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...140 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF ALBERTO IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE FLORIDA GULF COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATE THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...105 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH ALBERTO HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY...SOME POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR RESTRENGTHENING PRIOR TO LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM ...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE BEING FELT ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST FROM VENICE NORTHWARD TO APALACHEE BAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA. TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREAS ARE ALREADY RUNNING MORE THAN 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES... ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA... AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...28.8 N...84.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI $$