** WTSR20 WSSS 120600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTCA41 TJSJ 121203 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL ALBERTO ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 9A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL012006 700 AM CDT LUNES 12 DE JUNIO DE 2006 ...ALBERTO SE DIRIGE HACIA EL NORESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO... ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DE FLORIDA DESDE ENGLEWOOD HASTA INDIAN PASS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE EL SUR DE ENGLEWOOD HASTA BONITA BEACH. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA DE METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. A LAS 700 AM CDT...1200Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ALBERTO ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 26.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 87.0 OESTE O COMO 240 MILLAS...390 KILOMETROS...AL SUR-SUROESTE DE APALACHICOLA FLORIDA Y COMO A 295 MILLAS...475 KILOMETROS...AL SUROESTE DE CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH... 13 KILOMETROS POR HORA...Y SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL NORESTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 50 MPH...85 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA UNIDAD DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA SE ESTA ACERCANDO AL CENTRO DE ALBERTO. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS...370 KILOMETROS...AL NORESTE Y SURESTE DEL CENTRO. LA GRAN EXTENSION DE LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE ESTOS VIENTOS SE SENTIRAN A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA BIEN DELANTE DE LA LLEGADA DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1001 MB...29.56 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 6 A 8 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...SE PUEDEN ESPERAR SOBRE GRAN PARTE DEL AREA BAJO AVISO. CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS HASTA 10 PULGADAS...SON POSIBLES HASTA EL MARTES A TRAVES DE PARTES DEL CENTRO Y NORTE DE FLORIDA Y EL SURESTE DE GEORGIA... MAYORMENTE A LO LARGO Y A LA DERECHA DE LA TRAYECTORIA DE ALBERTO. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE EL OESTE-CENTRAL Y NOROESTE DE FLORIDA ESTA NOCHE. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 700 AM CDT...26.7 NORTE...87.0 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...50 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1001 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 1000 AM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 121038 *** HLSTAE FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GMZ750-755-770-775-121530- TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 638 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO STRENGTHENS OVER THE EASTERN GULF... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO INDIAN PASS... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR BAY AND COASTAL WALTON COUNTIES... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EAST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE...TAYLOR...JEFFERSON...WAKULLA...FRANKLIN...GULF COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM EDT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. ALBERTO WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 50 MPH....WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO THE EASTERN SEMI CIRCLE OF ALBERTO AND EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1001MB...29.56 INCHES. THE CENTER OF ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ACROSS NORTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY...BUT THE WORST WEATHER WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE BIG BEND ON THE WEAKER SIDE OF THE STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... AS OF 6 AM EDT MONDAY...TIDES WERE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT OR SO ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE APALACHEE BAY COAST. EVEN THOUGH ALBERTO WILL LIKELY REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM...IT DOES NOT TAKE VERY HIGH WINDS TO CAUSE FLOODING ACROSS APALACHEE BAY DUE TO ITS SHALLOW WATER LEVELS. IN FACT...THE LATEST STORM SURGE MODELS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RESIDENTS IN THE NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND KNOW WHERE TO GO SHOULD AN EVACUATION BE NEEDED. THE FORECAST HIGH TIDES AT THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE ARE AT 656 AM EDT TODAY...543 PM TODAY...AND 737 AM TUESDAY. THE HIGH TIDES AT SAINT MARKS ARE 406 AM TODAY...237 PM TODAY...AND 447 AM TUESDAY. THE HIGH TIDES AT APALACHICOLA ARE AT 807 AM EDT TODAY... 313 PM TODAY...AND 846 AM TUESDAY. ...WIND IMPACTS... AS OF 6 AM EDT...THE WINDS WERE VERY LIGHT ACROSS THE WARNED COASTAL AREA OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. THEY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY TODAY...REACHING SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG THE COAST...AND 20 TO 30 MPH LATER TONIGHT AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...WHICH CAN CAUSE LARGE TREE BRANCHES TO FALL...AS WELL AS A FEW TREES. UNSECURED ITEMS LIKE PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS MAY BE BLOWN OVER OR DISPLACED. SPORADIC...BRIEF POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. DRIVING LARGE PROFILE VEHICLES CAN BE DIFFICULT IN THESE CONDITIONS. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS THE BIG BEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...AND MANY TROPICAL STORM RELATED DEATHS HAVE OCCURRED WHEN MOTORISTS TRIED TO CROSS STANDING WATER AND GOT SWEPT AWAY. THIS HAPPENED IN 2001 IN TALLAHASSEE NEAR FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY...WHEN THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ALLISON CAUSED FLOODING RAINS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF TORNADOES ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF THE BIG BEND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT BEFORE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 11 AM EDT. $$ FOURNIER ** WTUS82 KTAE 121256 *** HLSTAE WTUS82 KTAE 121237 HLSTAE FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GMZ750-755-770-775-131245- TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 855 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO STRENGTHENS OVER THE EASTERN GULF... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO INDIAN PASS... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR BAY AND COASTAL WALTON COUNTIES... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN SECTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE...TAYLOR...JEFFERSON...WAKULLA...FRANKLIN...GULF COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 AM EDT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 50 MPH....WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO THE EASTERN SEMI CIRCLE OF ALBERTO AND EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1001MB...29.56 INCHES. THE CENTER OF ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ACROSS NORTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY...BUT THE WORST WEATHER WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE BIG BEND ON THE WEAKER SIDE OF THE STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... AS OF 8 AM EDT MONDAY...TIDES WERE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT OR SO ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE APALACHEE BAY COAST. EVEN THOUGH ALBERTO WILL LIKELY REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM...IT DOES NOT TAKE VERY HIGH WINDS TO CAUSE FLOODING ACROSS APALACHEE BAY DUE TO ITS SHALLOW WATER LEVELS. IN FACT...THE LATEST STORM SURGE MODELS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RESIDENTS IN THE NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND KNOW WHERE TO GO SHOULD AN EVACUATION BE NEEDED. THE FORECAST HIGH TIDES AT THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE OCCURRED AT 656 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE NEXT TWO HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 543 PM TODAY...AND 737 AM TUESDAY. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES AT ST MARKS ARE 237 PM TODAY...AND 447 AM TUESDAY. THE HIGH TIDE AT APALACHICOLA OCCURED AT 807 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 313 PM TODAY...AND 846 AM TUESDAY. ...WIND IMPACTS... AS OF 8 AM EDT...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WERE EAST TO NORTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH. WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WERE 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH SEAS AT THE PANAMA CITY AND APALACHICOLA BUOYS AT 11 FEET. WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY TODAY...REACHING SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG THE COAST...AND 20 TO 30 MPH LATER TONIGHT AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...WHICH CAN CAUSE LARGE TREE BRANCHES TO FALL...AS WELL AS A FEW TREES. UNSECURED ITEMS LIKE PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS MAY BE BLOWN OVER OR DISPLACED. SPORADIC...BRIEF POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. DRIVING LARGE PROFILE VEHICLES CAN BE DIFFICULT IN THESE CONDITIONS. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS THE BIG BEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...AND MANY TROPICAL STORM RELATED DEATHS HAVE OCCURRED WHEN MOTORISTS TRIED TO CROSS STANDING WATER. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF TORNADOES ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF THE BIG BEND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT BEFORE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 12 PM (MIDDAY) EDT. $$ BLOCK/GOREE $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 121038 *** HLSTAE FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GMZ750-755-770-775-121530- TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 638 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO STRENGTHENS OVER THE EASTERN GULF... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO INDIAN PASS... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR BAY AND COASTAL WALTON COUNTIES... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EAST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE...TAYLOR...JEFFERSON...WAKULLA...FRANKLIN...GULF COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM EDT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. ALBERTO WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 50 MPH....WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO THE EASTERN SEMI CIRCLE OF ALBERTO AND EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1001MB...29.56 INCHES. THE CENTER OF ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ACROSS NORTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY...BUT THE WORST WEATHER WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE BIG BEND ON THE WEAKER SIDE OF THE STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... AS OF 6 AM EDT MONDAY...TIDES WERE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT OR SO ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE APALACHEE BAY COAST. EVEN THOUGH ALBERTO WILL LIKELY REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM...IT DOES NOT TAKE VERY HIGH WINDS TO CAUSE FLOODING ACROSS APALACHEE BAY DUE TO ITS SHALLOW WATER LEVELS. IN FACT...THE LATEST STORM SURGE MODELS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RESIDENTS IN THE NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND KNOW WHERE TO GO SHOULD AN EVACUATION BE NEEDED. THE FORECAST HIGH TIDES AT THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE ARE AT 656 AM EDT TODAY...543 PM TODAY...AND 737 AM TUESDAY. THE HIGH TIDES AT SAINT MARKS ARE 406 AM TODAY...237 PM TODAY...AND 447 AM TUESDAY. THE HIGH TIDES AT APALACHICOLA ARE AT 807 AM EDT TODAY... 313 PM TODAY...AND 846 AM TUESDAY. ...WIND IMPACTS... AS OF 6 AM EDT...THE WINDS WERE VERY LIGHT ACROSS THE WARNED COASTAL AREA OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. THEY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY TODAY...REACHING SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG THE COAST...AND 20 TO 30 MPH LATER TONIGHT AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...WHICH CAN CAUSE LARGE TREE BRANCHES TO FALL...AS WELL AS A FEW TREES. UNSECURED ITEMS LIKE PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS MAY BE BLOWN OVER OR DISPLACED. SPORADIC...BRIEF POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. DRIVING LARGE PROFILE VEHICLES CAN BE DIFFICULT IN THESE CONDITIONS. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS THE BIG BEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...AND MANY TROPICAL STORM RELATED DEATHS HAVE OCCURRED WHEN MOTORISTS TRIED TO CROSS STANDING WATER AND GOT SWEPT AWAY. THIS HAPPENED IN 2001 IN TALLAHASSEE NEAR FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY...WHEN THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM ALLISON CAUSED FLOODING RAINS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF TORNADOES ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF THE BIG BEND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT BEFORE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 11 AM EDT. $$ FOURNIER ** WTUS82 KTAE 121310 *** HLSTAE FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GMZ750-755-770-775-131315- TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 910 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO STRENGTHENS OVER THE EASTERN GULF... ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO INDIAN PASS... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT TUESDAY OR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR BAY AND COASTAL WALTON COUNTIES... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN SECTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE...TAYLOR...JEFFERSON...WAKULLA...FRANKLIN...GULF COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 AM EDT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 50 MPH....WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO THE EASTERN SEMI CIRCLE OF ALBERTO AND EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1001MB...29.56 INCHES. THE CENTER OF ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ACROSS NORTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY...BUT THE WORST WEATHER WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE BIG BEND ON THE WEAKER SIDE OF THE STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... AS OF 8 AM EDT MONDAY...TIDES WERE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT OR SO ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE APALACHEE BAY COAST. EVEN THOUGH ALBERTO WILL LIKELY REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM...IT DOES NOT TAKE VERY HIGH WINDS TO CAUSE FLOODING ACROSS APALACHEE BAY DUE TO ITS SHALLOW WATER LEVELS. IN FACT...THE LATEST STORM SURGE MODELS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RESIDENTS IN THE NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND KNOW WHERE TO GO SHOULD AN EVACUATION BE NEEDED. THE FORECAST HIGH TIDES AT THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE OCCURRED AT 656 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE NEXT TWO HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 543 PM TODAY...AND 737 AM TUESDAY. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES AT ST MARKS ARE 237 PM TODAY...AND 447 AM TUESDAY. THE HIGH TIDE AT APALACHICOLA OCCURED AT 807 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 313 PM TODAY...AND 846 AM TUESDAY. ...WIND IMPACTS... AS OF 8 AM EDT...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WERE EAST TO NORTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH. WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WERE 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH SEAS AT THE PANAMA CITY AND APALACHICOLA BUOYS AT 11 FEET. WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY TODAY...REACHING SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG THE COAST...AND 20 TO 30 MPH LATER TONIGHT AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...WHICH CAN CAUSE LARGE TREE BRANCHES TO FALL...AS WELL AS A FEW TREES. UNSECURED ITEMS LIKE PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS MAY BE BLOWN OVER OR DISPLACED. SPORADIC...BRIEF POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. DRIVING LARGE PROFILE VEHICLES CAN BE DIFFICULT IN THESE CONDITIONS. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS THE BIG BEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...AND MANY TROPICAL STORM RELATED DEATHS HAVE OCCURRED WHEN MOTORISTS TRIED TO CROSS STANDING WATER. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF TORNADOES ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF THE BIG BEND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT BEFORE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 12 PM (MIDDAY) EDT. $$ BLOCK/GOREE $$ ** WTUS82 KTAE 121327 CCA *** HLSTAE FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GMZ750-755-770-775-131315- TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED FOR FORMAT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 910 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO HEADED FOR NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO... ....NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED INFORMATION ON WINDS AND SURGES AND STROM COORDINATES. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN SECTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO INDIAN PASS. THIS INCLUDES DIXIE... TAYLOR...JEFFERSON...WAKULLA...FRANKLIN AND GULF COUNTIES.AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. A FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR BAY AND COASTAL WALTON COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 AM EDT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 50 MPH....WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO THE EASTERN SEMI CIRCLE OF ALBERTO AND EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1001MB...29.56 INCHES. THE CENTER OF ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ACROSS NORTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY...BUT THE WORST WEATHER WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE BIG BEND ON THE WEAKER SIDE OF THE STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS OF 8 AM EDT MONDAY...TIDES WERE RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT OR SO ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE APALACHEE BAY COAST. EVEN THOUGH ALBERTO WILL LIKELY REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM...IT DOES NOT TAKE VERY HIGH WINDS TO CAUSE FLOODING ACROSS APALACHEE BAY DUE TO ITS SHALLOW WATER LEVELS. IN FACT...THE LATEST STORM SURGE MODELS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RESIDENTS IN THE NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND KNOW WHERE TO GO SHOULD AN EVACUATION BE NEEDED. THE FORECAST HIGH TIDES AT THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE OCCURRED AT 656 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE NEXT TWO HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 543 PM TODAY...AND 737 AM TUESDAY. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES AT ST MARKS ARE 237 PM TODAY...AND 447 AM TUESDAY. THE HIGH TIDE AT APALACHICOLA OCCURRED AT 807 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 313 PM TODAY...AND 846 AM TUESDAY. ...WINDS... AS OF 8 AM EDT...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WERE EAST TO NORTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH. WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WERE 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH SEAS AT THE PANAMA CITY AND APALACHICOLA BUOYS AT 11 FEET. WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY TODAY...REACHING SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG THE COAST...AND 20 TO 30 MPH LATER TONIGHT AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...WHICH CAN CAUSE LARGE TREE BRANCHES TO FALL...AS WELL AS A FEW TREES. UNSECURED ITEMS LIKE PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS MAY BE BLOWN OVER OR DISPLACED. SPORADIC...BRIEF POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. DRIVING LARGE PROFILE VEHICLES CAN BE DIFFICULT IN THESE CONDITIONS. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS THE BIG BEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...AND MANY TROPICAL STORM RELATED DEATHS HAVE OCCURRED WHEN MOTORISTS TRIED TO CROSS STANDING WATER. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO IS STILL A RATHER DISORGANIZED STORM AND FUTURE FORECASTS MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE TIMING LOCATION. CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. ...TORNADO... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF TORNADOES ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF THE BIG BEND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT BEFORE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 12 PM (MIDDAY) EDT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ BLOCK $$ ** WTNT21 KNHC 121432 *** TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 1500Z MON JUN 12 2006 AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO ENGLEWOOD...AND WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO BONITA BEACH. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 85.9W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT.......125NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 0SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 85.9W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 86.4W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.6N 85.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...125NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 28.8N 84.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...125NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 30.0N 83.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 125SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.0N 82.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.5N 77.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 38.0N 70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 45.0N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 85.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT81 KNHC 121436 *** TCVAT1 ALBERTO WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 1000 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 .TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FLC017-029-053-057-065-075-081-101-103-123-129-122100- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /E.NEW.KNHC.HU.W.1001.060612T1500Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 OCHLOCKONEE-RIVER-FL 29.96N 84.40W LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W $$ GMZ755-775-830-850-853-870-873-122100- /E.CAN.KNHC.TR.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /E.NEW.KNHC.HU.W.1001.060612T1500Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 OCHLOCKONEE-RIVER-FL 29.96N 84.40W LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W $$ FLC037-122100- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 INDIAN-PASS-FL 29.68N 85.27W OCHLOCKONEE-RIVER-FL 29.96N 84.40W $$ GMZ750-770-122100- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 INDIAN-PASS-FL 29.68N 85.27W OCHLOCKONEE-RIVER-FL 29.96N 84.40W $$ FLC115-122100- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W ENGLEWOOD-FL 26.94N 82.37W $$ FLC015-027-071-122100- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.A.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 ENGLEWOOD-FL 26.94N 82.37W BONITA-BEACH-FL 26.33N 81.85W $$ GMZ856-876-122100- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.A.1001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 ENGLEWOOD-FL 26.94N 82.37W BONITA-BEACH-FL 26.33N 81.85W $$ ATTN...WFO...TAE...TBW... ** WTNT31 KNHC 121453 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 1000 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...AIR FORCE PLANE FINDS ALBERTO LOCATED FARTHER TO THE NORTHEAST AND STRONGER... AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO ENGLEWOOD...AND WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO BONITA BEACH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF ALBERTO HAS REFORMED TO THE NORTHEAST OF ITS PREVIOUS LOCATION. AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES...300 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 220 MILES...355 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR ...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALBERTO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM...TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE LARGE EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MEANS THAT THESE WINDS WILL BE FELT ALONG THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE ARRIVAL OF THE CENTER. THE HURRICANE HUNTERS RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK OF ALBERTO. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...27.1 N...85.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 PM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT41 KNHC 121503 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 1100 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FOUND THAT THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE HAS ABRUPTLY REFORMED NEAR THE DEEP CONVECTION...AND IT IS NOW RELOCATED SOME 60 N MI TO THE NORTHEAST OF ITS PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED POSITION. THE HURRICANE HUNTERS ALSO REPORTED A PEAK 2500-FT FLIGHT LEVEL WIND OF 74 KT...AND A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 997 MB. BASED ON THIS OBSERVATION THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED TO 60 KT. THE STORM HAS BEEN INTERACTING WITH THE WARM GULF OF MEXICO LOOP CURRENT...WHICH HAS LIKELY BEEN A CONTRIBUTOR TO THE INTENSIFICATION. AS ALBERTO CONTINUES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD IT WILL BE DEPARTING THE LOOP CURRENT AND ENCOUNTERING A REGION OF LOWER OCEANIC HEAT CONTENT. STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THESE ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS WOULD APPEAR TO MITIGATE AGAINST SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING. NONETHELESS....GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTIES IN PREDICTING INTENSITY CHANGE WE MUST NOW ALLOW FOR THE DISTINCT POSSIBILITY THAT ALBERTO COULD BECOME A HURRICANE. THEREFORE A HURRICANE WARNING IS NECESSARY FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST. A MID-LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN U.S. IS EXPECTED TO CARRY THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ON A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD HEADING. THE GFDL AND NOGAPS GUIDANCE SHOW A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK...BUT THIS IS DIFFICULT TO ACCEPT GIVEN THE NORTHEASTWARD REFORMATION OF THE CENTER. THEREFORE ONLY A SLIGHT LEFTWARD ADJUSTMENT HAS BEEN MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. ALONG WITH THE HEAVY RAINFALL...THE GREATEST CONCERN WITH ALBERTO IS LIKELY TO BE STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG AN EXTENSIVE PORTION OF THE FLORIDA GULF COAST. OWING TO THE CONFIGURATION OF THE COASTLINE AND THE SHALLOW CONTINENTAL SHELF...A STRONG TROPICAL STORM OR A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE CAN PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT SURGE IN THIS AREA. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/1500Z 27.1N 85.9W 60 KT 12HR VT 13/0000Z 27.6N 85.5W 65 KT 24HR VT 13/1200Z 28.8N 84.6W 65 KT 36HR VT 14/0000Z 30.0N 83.6W 60 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 14/1200Z 32.0N 82.0W 30 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 15/1200Z 34.5N 77.5W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 16/1200Z 38.0N 70.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 17/1200Z 45.0N 60.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 121516 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL ALBERTO ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 10 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL012006 1000 AM CDT LUNES 12 DE JUNIO DE 2006 ...AVION DE LA FUERZA AEREA ENCUENTRA ALBERTO LOCALIZADO MAS AL NORESTE Y MAS FUERTE... A LAS 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...UN AVISO DE HURACAN HA SIDO EMITIDO PARA LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DE FLORIDA DESDE LONGBOAT KEY HASTA EL RIO OCHLOCKONEE. UN AVISO DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LAS PREPARACIONES PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COPLETARSE DE INMEDIATO. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISODE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE AL SUR DE LONGBOAT KEY HASTA ENGLEWOOD...Y AL OESTE DEL RIO OCHLOCKONEE HASTA INDIAN PASS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE AL SUR DE ENGLEWOOD HASTA BONITA BEACH. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA DE METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. REPORTES DESED UN AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA INDICAN QUE EL CENTRO DE ALBERTO SE HA REFORMADO AL NORESTE DE SI LOCALIZACION ANTERIOR. A LAS 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ALBERTO ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 27.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 85.9 OESTE O COMO 190 MILLAS...300 KILOMETROS...AL SUR-SUROESTE DE APALACHICOLA FLORIDA Y COMO A 220 MILLAS...355 KILOMETROS...AL SUROESTE DE CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH... 11 KILOMETROS POR HORA...Y SE ESPERA CONTINUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 70 MPH...110 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ALBERTO TIENE EL POTENCIAL PARA CONVERTIRSE EN HURACAN DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS...370 KILOMETROS...AL NORESTE Y SURESTE DEL CENTRO. LA GRAN EXTENSION DE LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE ESTOS VIENTOS SE SENTIRAN A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA BIEN DELANTE DE LA LLEGADA DEL CENTRO. EL CAZAHURACANES RECIENTEMENTE REPORTO UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MB...29.44 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 8 A 10 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...SE PUEDEN ESPERAR SOBRE GRAN PARTE DEL AREA BAJO AVISO. CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS HASTA 10 PULGADAS...SON POSIBLES HASTA EL MARTES A TRAVES DE PARTES DEL CENTRO Y NORTE DE FLORIDA Y EL SURESTE DE GEORGIA... MAYORMENTE A LO LARGO Y A LA DERECHA DE LA TRAYECTORIA DE ALBERTO. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE ELCENTRO DE LA FLORIDA HOY Y ESTA NOCHE. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 1000 AM CDT...27.1 NORTE...85.9 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...70 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 100 PM CDT SEGUIDO POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 121519 CCA *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL ALBERTO ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 10 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL AL012006 1000 AM CDT LUNES 12 DE JUNIO DE 2006 ...AVION DE LA FUERZA AEREA ENCUENTRA ALBERTO LOCALIZADO MAS AL NORESTE Y MAS FUERTE... A LAS 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...UN AVISO DE HURACAN HA SIDO EMITIDO PARA LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DE LA FLORIDA DESDE LONGBOAT KEY HASTA EL RIO OCHLOCKONEE. UN AVISO DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LAS PREPARACIONES PARA PROTEGER LA VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN COPLETARSE DE INMEDIATO. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISODE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE AL SUR DE LONGBOAT KEY HASTA ENGLEWOOD...Y AL OESTE DEL RIO OCHLOCKONEE HASTA INDIAN PASS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL DESDE AL SUR DE ENGLEWOOD HASTA BONITA BEACH. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA DE METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. REPORTES DESED UN AVION CAZAHURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA INDICAN QUE EL CENTRO DE ALBERTO SE HA REFORMADO AL NORESTE DE SU LOCALIZACION ANTERIOR. A LAS 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ALBERTO ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 27.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 85.9 OESTE O COMO 190 MILLAS...300 KILOMETROS...AL SUR-SUROESTE DE APALACHICOLA FLORIDA Y COMO A 220 MILLAS...355 KILOMETROS...AL SUROESTE DE CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH... 11 KILOMETROS POR HORA...Y SE ESPERA CONTINUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 70 MPH...110 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ALBERTO TIENE EL POTENCIAL PARA CONVERTIRSE EN HURACAN DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS...370 KILOMETROS...AL NORESTE Y SURESTE DEL CENTRO. LA GRAN EXTENSION DE LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE ESTOS VIENTOS SE SENTIRAN A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA BIEN DELANTE DE LA LLEGADA DEL CENTRO. EL CAZAHURACANES RECIENTEMENTE REPORTO UNA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MB...29.44 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 8 A 10 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...SE PUEDEN ESPERAR SOBRE GRAN PARTE DEL AREA BAJO AVISO. CANTIDADES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS HASTA 10 PULGADAS...SON POSIBLES HASTA EL MARTES A TRAVES DE PARTES DEL CENTRO Y NORTE DE FLORIDA Y EL SURESTE DE GEORGIA... MAYORMENTE A LO LARGO Y A LA DERECHA DE LA TRAYECTORIA DE ALBERTO. SON POSIBLES TORNADOS AISLADOS SOBRE ELCENTRO DE LA FLORIDA HOY Y ESTA NOCHE. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 1000 AM CDT...27.1 NORTE...85.9 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORTE-NORESTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...70 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 100 PM CDT SEGUIDO POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ TRADUCCION CORTESIA DE LA OFICINA DE PRONOSTICOS DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ** WTUS82 KTBW 121534 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055-060>062-065-121800- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 1135 AM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO STRENGTHENING OVER THE EASTERN GULF... ...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO IS STRENGTHENING OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND MAY BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL. FOR THIS REASON...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. THE STORM SURGE JUST TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE ALBERTO MAKES LANDFALL COULD REACH 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NON COASTAL AREAS OF LEVY...CITRUS...AND HERNANDO COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NON COASTAL AND NON TIDAL AREAS OF PASCO...HILLSBOROUGH...PINELLAS... MANATEE...POLK...AND SUMTER COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AREAS OF LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES. THE FLOOD WATCH ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH 2 PM TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AREAS FROM LONGBOAT KEY THROUGH THE SUWANNEE RIVER...WHICH INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF MANATEE...HILLSBOROUGH...PINELLAS...PASCO...HERNANDO... CITRUS AND LEVY. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL AND NON TIDAL LEVY...CITRUS...AND HERNANDO COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD TO LONGBOAT KEY...WHICH INCLUDES THE COASTAL AREAS OF SARASOTA COUNTY. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL AND NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...SUMTER... AND PASCO COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AREAS OF LEE AND CHARLOTTE COUNTIES. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM FOR CITRUS...SUMTER... HERNANDO...PASCO...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...MANATEE... SARASOTA...HARDEE...DESOTO...HIGHLANDS...CHARLOTTE...AND LEE COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR LEE... CHARLOTTE...SARASOTA...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...MANATEE... PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS...LEVY AND SUMTER COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 215 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA...OR 220 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY. ALBERTO WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...WINDS... BRIEF THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TODAY AS THE RAIN BANDS FROM ALBERTO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. COASTAL AREAS COULD SEE SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BY LATE THIS EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR INLAND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 4 BY TUESDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF HERNANDO...CITRUS...AND LEVY COUNTIES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... TIDES WILL BE 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TODAY. THE HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON COMBINED WITH THE SURGE FROM ALBERTO COULD CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING FROM TAMPA BAY NORTH THROUGH CEDAR KEY. THE STORM SURGE JUST TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE ALBERTO MAKES LANDFALL COULD REACH 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE. ...INLAND FLOODING... TOTAL RAIN FALL THROUGH TUESDAY WILL BE 4 TO 8 INCHES. RECENT DRY CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW THE GROUND TO ABSORB A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL. HOWEVER...HEAVY BURSTS OF RAIN MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO THROUGH TONIGHT. ...BEACH EROSION... SWELLS FROM ALBERTO WILL CAUSE BREAKING WAVES OF 4 TO 7 FEET THROUGH TONIGHT. ONSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY WITH HIGH SURF AND MINOR BEACH EROSION EXPECTED. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH TUESDAY. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 130 PM THIS AFTERNOON OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ EO ** WTUS82 KMLB 121641 *** HLSMLB AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 122200- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 1230 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...ALBERTO HAS PROMPTED AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LAKE COUNTY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. ALBERTO IS CURRENTLY A TROPICAL STORM WITH WINDS NEAR 70 MPH...BUT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE LATEST WIND FORECAST HAS PROMPTED AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LAKE COUNTY FOR EXPECTED TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AS ALBERTO PASSES BY TO THE NORTH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ATTENTION SHOULD NOW BE DIRECTED TOWARD RESPONSIBLE PREPARATIONS FOR PROTECTING LIFE AND PROPERTY...ESPECIALLY FOR PEOPLE IN LAKE COUNTY. THE THREAT OF HAZARDOUS IMPACTS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO HAS INCREASED REGARDING WIND SPEEDS...TORNADOES...AND FLOODING RAIN. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS...ESPECIALLY LAKE COUNTY. PERSONS IN ORANGE...SEMINOLE...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES SHOULD LISTEN CLOSELY FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST AS NOT TO GET CAUGHT OFF GUARD. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR LAKE COUNTY THROUGH TUESDAY. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL UNTIL 5 PM EDT. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 215 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA...OR 220 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY. ALBERTO WAS MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARD APALACHEE BAY ON TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE...ESPECIALLY IN SQUALLS...TO LAKE COUNTY. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AND WILL LIKELY GUST OVER TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS EAST OF THE CENTER AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST. THE FORECAST FOR THE ADJACENT COUNTIES OF ORANGE...SEMINOLE...AND VOLUSIA...IS FOR WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN PASSING SQUALLS. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 40 MPH OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A LANDFALLING HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM IN LESS THAN 24 HOURS. WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES...FALLEN TREES...MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE... AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS THROUGH 5 PM TODAY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED TORNADOES... PARTICULARLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM THE TOWN OF OKEECHOBEE...TO THE TOWN OF SEBASTIAN. ...INLAND FLOODING... WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS WESTERN FLORIDA...WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND THREE INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH TUESDAY. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES OR SO WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND SQUALLS OCCUR. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE FOUR CORRIDOR. WIDESPREAD FLOODING APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME AS WATER RETENTION AREAS CAN HANDLE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF. HOWEVER... TEMPORARY INUNDATION OF ROADS AND OTHER LOW LYING FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... THE EFFECTS OF STORM TIDE ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEGLIGIBLE FOR THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS. HOWEVER...SURF CONDITIONS MAY BECOME ROUGH NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL WITH AN INCREASED THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS. INTRACOASTAL WATERS WILL BECOME ROUGH NORTH OF COCOA BEACH. ...MARINE... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WILL CAUSE SEAS TO BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET OVER THE WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO FLAGLER BEACH AND OUT 20 NAUTICAL MILES WITH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS. BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES SEAS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BUILD TO 8 FEET TONIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH WINDS TO 30 KNOTS AS WELL. ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET...LOCAL WINDS WILL GUST TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IN PASSING SQUALLS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR WATERSPOUTS. MARINERS...AND OTHERS WITH MARINE INTERESTS...SHOULD LISTEN CLOSELY FOR CHANGES IN THE FORECAST. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE WILL BE ISSUED BY 6 PM THIS AFTERNOON OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ DWS ** WTUS82 KJAX 121648 *** HLSJAX FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-122200- TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 1205 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: HAMILTON...SUWANNEE...COLUMBIA...BAKER...UNION... BRADFORD...GILCHRIST...ALACHUA...MARION...ECHOLS AND CLINCH... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: CLAY...PUTNAM...ATKINSON...WARE...CHARLTON... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...HAMILTON...SUWANNEE... COLUMBIA...BAKER...UNION...BRADFORD...GILCHRIST...ALACHUA...MARION... CLAY AND PUTNAM. THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...ECHOLS...CLINCH... ATKINSON...WARE AND CHARLTON. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: HAMILTON...SUWANNEE...COLUMBIA...BAKER...UNION... BRADFORD...GILCHRIST...ALACHUA...MARION...ECHOLS AND CLINCH... ...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: CLAY...PUTNAM...ATKINSON...WARE...CHARLTON... ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALBERTO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ACROSS THE SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY OF INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE I-75 CORRIDOR IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON THE STRONGER SIDE OF THE STORM... BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE... SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS OVER THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. SURF CONDITIONS WILL BUILD AND AN INCREASED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TIDES WILL RUN AROUND 1 FOOT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING OR BEACH EROSION EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ...WINDS... WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH IN THE WARNING AREAS ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING AND DECREASE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. IN THE WATCH AREAS WIND ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING AND DECREASE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ELSEWHERE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH AT TIMES. ...INLAND FLOODING... STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. AREAS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE WATCH AND WARNING AREAS CAN EXPECT 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND SPREAD INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON TUESDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS NEXT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 5 PM EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ HESS ** WTUS82 KTAE 121654 *** HLSTAE FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GMZ750-755-770-775-131700- TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1254 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO HEADED FOR NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO... ....NEW INFORMATION... REDEFINED WARNING AND WATCH AREAS. UPDATED INFORMATION ON WINDS... STORM SURGES AND STORM COORDINATES. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN SECTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. THIS INCLUDES DIXIE... TAYLOR...JEFFERSON...WAKULLA COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS N EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS... WHICH INCLUDES FRANKLIN COUNTY. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. A FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR BAY AND COASTAL WALTON COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH....WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALBERTO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE LARGE EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MEANS THAT THESE WINDS WILL BE FELT ALONG THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE ARRIVAL OF THE CENTER. THE CENTER OF ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ACROSS NORTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY...BUT THE WORST WEATHER WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE BIG BEND ON THE WEAKER SIDE OF THE STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS OF 11 AM EDT MONDAY...TIDES WERE RUNNING ABOUT ONE TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE APALACHEE BAY COAST. THE LATEST STORM SURGE MODELS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 10 FEET ALONG THE TAYLOR AND DIXIE COASTS...5 TO 8 FEET ALONG WAKULLA COUNTY AND OCHLOCKONEE BAY...5 TO 7 FEET ACROSS APALACHICOLA BAY. THESE PEAK STORM SURGE HEIGHTS WILL OCCUR IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS TUESDAY AND WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RESIDENTS IN THE NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND KNOW WHERE TO GO SHOULD AN EVACUATION BE NEEDED. THE FORECAST HIGH TIDES AT THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE OCCURRED AT 656 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE NEXT TWO HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 543 PM TODAY...AND 737 AM TUESDAY. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES AT ST MARKS ARE 237 PM TODAY...AND 447 AM TUESDAY. THE HIGH TIDE AT APALACHICOLA OCCURRED AT 807 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 313 PM TODAY...AND 846 AM TUESDAY. ...WINDS... AS OF 11 AM EDT...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WERE EAST TO NORTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH. WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WERE 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS WITH SEAS AT THE PANAMA CITY AND APALACHICOLA BUOYS AT 10 TO 14 FEET. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 50 TO 60 KNOTS OVER APALACHEE BAY LATER TONIGHT WITH SEAS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 FEET. ALONG THE COAST...WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY TODAY...REACHING SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH LATER TONIGHT AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...WHICH CAN CAUSE LARGE TREE BRANCHES TO FALL...AS WELL AS A FEW TREES. UNSECURED ITEMS LIKE PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS MAY BE BLOWN OVER OR DISPLACED. SPORADIC...BRIEF POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. DRIVING LARGE PROFILE VEHICLES CAN BE DIFFICULT IN THESE CONDITIONS. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE BIG BEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...AND MANY TROPICAL STORM RELATED DEATHS HAVE OCCURRED WHEN MOTORISTS TRIED TO CROSS STANDING WATER. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO MAY BECOME A MINIMAL HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. ...TORNADO... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF TORNADOES ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF THE BIG BEND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT BEFORE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 3 PM (MIDDAY) EDT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ BLOCK/GOREE/BARRY ** WTNT80 EGRR 121657 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.06.2006 TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO ANALYSED POSITION : 26.4N 86.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL012006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.06.2006 26.4N 86.8W MODERATE 00UTC 13.06.2006 26.8N 86.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.06.2006 28.8N 84.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.06.2006 30.3N 83.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.06.2006 33.6N 81.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.06.2006 36.2N 76.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.06.2006 EXTRA-TROPICAL THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 121657 ** WTUS82 KTAE 121707 *** HLSTAE FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GMZ750-755-770-775-131715- TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 107 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO IS STRENGTHENING AND HEADED FOR THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO... ....NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO IS STRENGTHENING OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AND MAY BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL. FOR THIS REASON...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. THE STORM SURGE JUST TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE ALBERTO MAKES LANDFALL COULD REACH 8 TO 10 FEET ALONG THE TAYLOR AND DIXIE COASTS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN SECTION OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. THIS INCLUDES DIXIE... TAYLOR...JEFFERSON...WAKULLA COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS N EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS... WHICH INCLUDES FRANKLIN COUNTY. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. A FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR BAY AND COASTAL WALTON COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH....WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALBERTO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE LARGE EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MEANS THAT THESE WINDS WILL BE FELT ALONG THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE ARRIVAL OF THE CENTER. THE CENTER OF ALBERTO IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ACROSS NORTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY...BUT THE WORST WEATHER WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL CENTER. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD PLACE MOST OF THE BIG BEND ON THE WEAKER SIDE OF THE STORM...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE PATH OF ALBERTO. PLEASE FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... AS OF 11 AM EDT MONDAY...TIDES WERE RUNNING ABOUT ONE TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE APALACHEE BAY COAST. THE LATEST STORM SURGE MODELS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST A STORM SURGE OF 8 TO 10 FEET ALONG THE TAYLOR AND DIXIE COASTS...5 TO 8 FEET ALONG WAKULLA COUNTY AND OCHLOCKONEE BAY...5 TO 7 FEET ACROSS APALACHICOLA BAY. THESE PEAK STORM SURGE HEIGHTS WILL OCCUR IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS TUESDAY AND WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. RESIDENTS IN THE NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PREVENT PROPERTY DAMAGE...AND KNOW WHERE TO GO SHOULD AN EVACUATION BE NEEDED. THE FORECAST HIGH TIDES AT THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER ENTRANCE OCCURRED AT 656 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE NEXT TWO HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 543 PM TODAY...AND 737 AM TUESDAY. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES AT ST MARKS ARE 237 PM TODAY...AND 447 AM TUESDAY. THE HIGH TIDE AT APALACHICOLA OCCURRED AT 807 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE NEXT HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 313 PM TODAY...AND 846 AM TUESDAY. ...WINDS... AS OF 11 AM EDT...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WERE EAST TO NORTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH. WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WERE 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS WITH SEAS AT THE PANAMA CITY AND APALACHICOLA BUOYS AT 10 TO 14 FEET. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 50 TO 60 KNOTS OVER APALACHEE BAY LATER TONIGHT WITH SEAS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 FEET. ALONG THE COAST...WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE DAY TODAY...REACHING SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH LATER TONIGHT AND DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...WHICH CAN CAUSE LARGE TREE BRANCHES TO FALL...AS WELL AS A FEW TREES. UNSECURED ITEMS LIKE PATIO FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS MAY BE BLOWN OVER OR DISPLACED. SPORADIC...BRIEF POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. DRIVING LARGE PROFILE VEHICLES CAN BE DIFFICULT IN THESE CONDITIONS. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL AVERAGE 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE BIG BEND...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FLOODING CAN BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...AND MANY TROPICAL STORM RELATED DEATHS HAVE OCCURRED WHEN MOTORISTS TRIED TO CROSS STANDING WATER. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO MAY BECOME A MINIMAL HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. ...TORNADO... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF TORNADOES ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF THE BIG BEND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT BEFORE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 3 PM (MIDDAY) EDT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ BLOCK/GOREE/BARRY ** WTNT31 KNHC 121758 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 100 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2006 ...ALBERTO MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO COAST... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO ENGLEWOOD...AND WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO BONITA BEACH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.4 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES...250 KM...SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 180 MILES...285 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/HR ...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER COULD REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA EARLY TUESDAY...HOWEVER CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY DETERIORATING IN THE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALBERTO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM...TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE LARGE EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MEANS THAT THESE WINDS WILL BE FELT ALONG THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE ARRIVAL OF THE CENTER. THE HURRICANE HUNTERS REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK OF ALBERTO. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...27.5 N...85.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$