** WTNT31 KNHC 112029 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 400 PM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006 ...DISORGANIZED ALBERTO MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO... AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO STEINHATCHEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE BROAD CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES...605 KM...WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 400 MILES...640 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THIS TROPICAL STORM ARE WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER...AND EXTEND MAINLY EASTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. ALBERTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 30 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS THROUGH TUESDAY. REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...24.5 N...87.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT21 KNHC 112029 *** TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 2100Z SUN JUN 11 2006 AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO STEINHATCHEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 87.8W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......200NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 87.8W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 87.8W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 25.4N 87.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 26.5N 87.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 27.8N 85.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 29.0N 83.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 33.0N 77.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 39.0N 67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 46.0N 54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 87.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT41 KNHC 112031 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 500 PM EDT SUN JUN 11 2006 SEVERAL HOURS AGO...THE HURRICANE HUNTERS AGAIN MEASURED FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF CLOSE TO 50 KT...BUT IN A BAND THAT WAS EVEN FARTHER FROM THE CENTER THAN IN THE EARLIER PASS. SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT THE BANDS OF HEAVIER SHOWERS HAVE BECOME DISPLACED FARTHER EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER THAN THEY WERE THIS MORNING. INDEED...THE SYSTEM HAS SOMEWHAT OF A SUBTROPICAL APPEARANCE AT THE MOMENT. BECAUSE THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED SINCE EARLIER TODAY...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE CYCLONE IS WEAKENING...AND DATA FROM THE NEXT MISSION OF THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS AROUND 0000 UTC COULD CONFIRM THIS SUSPICION. DYNAMICAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ABOUT AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR IN THE PATH OF ALBERTO. EVEN SO...THE SHIPS AND GFDL GUIDANCE DO PREDICT SOME STRENGTHENING. GIVEN THE CURRENT TREND AND THE LESS THAN CONDUCIVE ENVIRONMENT... ONLY SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS SHOWN IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE CIRCULATION IS BROAD...SO IT IS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT A CENTER. THE FIXES HAVE BEEN BOUNCING AROUND A BIT...BUT OVERALL A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS ESTIMATED. ASSUMING THAT ALBERTO IS ABLE TO HOLD TOGETHER VERTICALLY...A DEEPENING MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WOULD GRADUALLY TURN THE CYCLONE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. HOWEVER...THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE ARE NOT IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT. SOME MODELS...SUCH AS THE U.K. MET OFFICE GLOBAL MODEL...SHOW A WEAKENING SYSTEM THAT DOES NOT CROSS FLORIDA. THE GFS SHOWS AN ELONGATED LOWER-TROPOSPHERIC VORTICITY MAXIMUM THAT SPREADS ACROSS FLORIDA WITH A NON-TROPICAL-LOOKING AMPLIFICATION NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE STATE. BECAUSE OF THE DIVERGENCE IN MODEL GUIDANCE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE. HOWEVER SINCE THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE IN BANDS AS MUCH AS 200 N MI EAST OF THE CENTER WHICH COULD REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS BEING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE FLORIDA GULF COAST ON THIS ADVISORY. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/2100Z 24.5N 87.8W 40 KT 12HR VT 12/0600Z 25.4N 87.7W 45 KT 24HR VT 12/1800Z 26.5N 87.0W 45 KT 36HR VT 13/0600Z 27.8N 85.4W 45 KT 48HR VT 13/1800Z 29.0N 83.5W 40 KT 72HR VT 14/1800Z 33.0N 77.0W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 15/1800Z 39.0N 67.0W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 16/1800Z 46.0N 54.0W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 112048 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL ALBERTO ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 7 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 400 AM CDT DOMINGO 11 DE JUNIO DE 2006 ...ALBERTO DESORGANIZADO MOVIENDOSE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL NORTE SOBRE EL GOLFO DE MEXICO... A LAS 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...SE EMITIO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA OESTE DE FLORIDA DESDE EL NORTE DE BONITA BEACH HASTA STEINHATCHEE. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SON POSIBLES DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA... GENERALMETE DENTRO DE 36 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS...REFIERASE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA DE METEOROLOGIA LOCAL. A LAS 4 PM CDT...2100Z...EL AMPLIO CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ALBERTO SE ESTIMABA CERCA DE LA LATITUD 24.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 87.8 OESTE O COMO 375 MILLAS...605 KILOMETROS...AL OESTE DE CAYO HUESO FLORIDA Y COMO A 400 MILLAS...640 KILOMETROS...AL SUR SUROESTE DE APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. ALBERTO SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH...11 KILOMETROS POR HORA Y SE ESPERA GIRO GRADUAL HACIA EL NORESTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 45 MPH...75 KILOMETROS PR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. NO SE ESPERA CAMBIO SIGNIFICATIVO EN INTENSIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAS FUERTES DE ESTA TORMENTA TROPICAL OCURREN LEJOS DEL CENTRO Y SE EXTIENDEN MAYORMENTE HACIA EL ESTE HASTA 230 MILLAS... 370 KILOMETROS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1004 MILIBARAS...29.65 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE ALBERTO PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 10 A 20 PULGADAS SOBRE LA MITAD OESTE DE CUBA...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS TOTALES DE HASTA 30 PULGADAS EN TERRENOS ALTOS. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN CAUSAR INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS PELIGROSAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO. CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES SOBRE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y LA PENINSULA DE LA FLORIDA HASTA EL MARTES. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 400 PM CDT...24.5 NORTE... 87.8 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...45 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1004 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRONACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 700 PM CDT SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 1000 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ TRADUCCION CORTESIA DE LA OFICINA DE PRONOSTICOS DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ** WTNT81 KNHC 112103 *** TCVAT1 ALBERTO WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 400 PM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006 .TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FLC015-017-027-029-053-057-071-075-081-101-103-115-120300- /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.A.1001.060611T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 PM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006 STEINHATCHEE-RIVER-FL 29.67N 83.40W BONITA-BEACH-FL 26.33N 81.85W $$ GMZ755-775-830-850-853-856-870-873-876-120300- /E.NEW.KNHC.TR.A.1001.060611T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ 400 PM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006 STEINHATCHEE-RIVER-FL 29.67N 83.40W BONITA-BEACH-FL 26.33N 81.85W $$ ATTN...WFO...TAE...TBW... ** WTUS82 KTBW 112134 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055-060>062-065-120330- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 530 PM EDT SUN JUN 11 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO HEADED FOR THE SUNCOAST... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COASTAL AREAS OF LEE... CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...SARASOTA...MANATEE...HILLSBOROUGH...PINELLAS... PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NON COASTAL AND NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...SUMTER PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR LEE... CHARLOTTE...SARASOTA...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS...MANATEE... PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK...PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS...LEVY AND SUMTER COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST...OR ABOUT 415 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA. ALBERTO WAS MOVING NORTH AT 7 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ...WINDS... BRIEF THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY AS THE RAIN BANDS FROM ALBERTO BLOW THROUGH. COASTAL AREAS COULD SEE SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TUESDAY MORNING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR INLAND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 4 BY NOON TUESDAY. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... TIDES WILL BE 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON COMBINED WITH THE SURGE FROM ALBERTO COULD CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING FROM TAMPA BAY NORTH THROUGH CEDAR KEY. THE STORM SURGE JUST TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE ALBERTO MAKES LANDFALL COULD REACH 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE. ...INLAND FLOODING... TOTAL RAIN FALL THROUGH TUESDAY WILL BE 4 TO 8 INCHES. RECENT DRY CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW THE GROUND TO ABSORB A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF RAINFALL. HOWEVER...HEAVY BURSTS OF RAIN MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO THROUGH TUESDAY. ...BEACH EROSION... SWELLS FROM ALBERTO WILL CAUSE BREAKING WAVES OF 4 TO 7 FEET THROUGH MONDAY. ONSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY WITH HIGH SURF AND MINOR BEACH EROSION EXPECTED. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH TUESDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO IS A DISORGANIZED STORM AND FUTURE FORECASTS MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE TIMING LOCATION. CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1115 PM THIS EVENING. $$ NOAH ** WTUS82 KTAE 112202 *** HLSTAE FLZ034-GMZ755-775-120515- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 602 PM EDT SUN JUN 11 2006 ...DISORGANIZED TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO... ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO STEINHATCHEE FLORIDA... ...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT TUESDAY... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA BIG BEND...ESPECIALLY DIXIE COUNTY. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO STEINHATCHEE. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 PM EDT...THE BROAD CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES...SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THIS TROPICAL STORM ARE WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER...AND EXTEND MAINLY EASTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... SOME MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IN ASSOCIATION WITH LONG DURATION ONSHORE FLOW AND UNUSUALLY HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES CAN BE EXPECTED. LOCAL TIDES FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY ARE AS FOLLOWS... SAINT MARKS RIVER ENTRANCE... TODAY: HIGH/ 03:25 AM...LOW/ 08:09 AM...HIGH/ 01:58 PM...LOW/ 09:30 PM: APALACHICOLA... TODAY: HIGH/ 07:25 AM...LOW/ 09:44 AM...HIGH/ 02:27 PM...LOW/ 11:32 PM: SAINT ANDREW BAY AT PANAMA CITY... TODAY: HIGH/ 09:37 AM...LOW/ 08:57 PM: ...WIND IMPACTS... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THIS TROPICAL STORM ARE WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER...AND EXTEND MAINLY EASTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. REPRESENTATIVE WINDS AT SOME OFFSHORE BUOY AND COASTAL LOCATIONS AT 5 PM EDT IN AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA. CEDAR KEY...SOUTH AT 17 MPH. KEATON BEACH...SOUTH AT 29 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 36 MPH. BUOY 42036...SOUTHEAST AT 29 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 33 MPH. ...FLOODING IMPACTS... AT THIS TIME THE MOST SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA...HOWEVER RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING CAN STILL BE EXPECTED. ...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO HAS GENERATED LARGE SWELLS THAT ARE RADIATING TOWARDS THE COASTAL REGIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST BIG BEND...ESPECIALLY DIXIE COUNTY. MINOR FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THESE COASTAL SECTIONS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY MIDNIGHT EDT. $$ WATSON/BAM ** WTNT31 KNHC 112339 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 700 PM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006 ...ALBERTO CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO STEINHATCHEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 700 PM CDT...0000Z...THE BROAD CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST OR ABOUT 360 MILES...585 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THIS TROPICAL STORM ARE WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER...AND EXTEND MAINLY EASTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. ALBERTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 30 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS THROUGH TUESDAY. REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION...25.1 N...87.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$