** WTSR20 WSSS 041800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPZ42 KNHC 050229 *** TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022006 800 PM PDT SUN JUN 04 2006 THE LAST-LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGES OF THE DEPRESSION SUGGESTED THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS BECOMING ILL-DEFINED. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM ACAPULCO SHOWED ONLY SLIGHT EVIDENCE OF THE NEARBY CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WHEN IT PASSED JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THAT STATION A FEW HOURS AGO. IT IS ESTIMATED THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO AROUND 20 KT. THE CYCLONE LACKS SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND ADVISORIES ARE BEING TERMINATED AT THIS TIME. THE MOTION...CURRENTLY ESTIMATED TO BE 100/8...MAY BE JUST FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF DUE EAST SO THAT THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION... OR ITS REMNANTS...MAY NOT MOVE INLAND. HOWEVER THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE COASTLINE SO THAT THE INTERACTION WITH LAND WOULD CONTINUE TO CAUSE WEAKENING...OR AT LEAST PREVENT REGENERATION. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0300Z 16.4N 99.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 05/1200Z 16.0N 98.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTPZ22 KNHC 050230 *** TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022006 0300Z MON JUN 05 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 99.0W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 100 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT...DISSIPATING. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 99.0W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 99.3W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.0N 98.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 99.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTPZ32 KNHC 050233 *** TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022006 800 PM PDT SUN JUN 04 2006 ...DEPRESSION DISSIPATING NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO... SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS WEAKENED AND IS NOW DISSIPATING. AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...110 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND ON THIS TRACK THE REMNANTS OF THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE VERY NEAR...OR ALONG...THE COAST OF MEXICO OVERNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 25 MPH...35 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN A FEW OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME VERY DISORGANIZED...AND IS DISSIPATING. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...WITH THE THREAT OF LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...16.4 N...99.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM...UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT80 EGRR 050528 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.06.2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 99.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022006 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.06.2006 15.9N 99.0W WEAK 12UTC 05.06.2006 15.3N 98.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.06.2006 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 050528