** WTPZ41 KNHC 302041 *** TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006 200 PM PDT TUE MAY 30 2006 VISIBLE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON REVEALS THAT THE CIRCULATION OF ALETTA HAS BECOME DIFFUSE AND ILL-DEFINED. CONSEQUENTLY...THE SYSTEM IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY. THE CONVECTION THAT WAS PRESENT EARLIER HAS LARGELY EVAPORATED. VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONG OVER THE SYSTEM AND EXPECTED TO GET STRONGER. GIVEN THIS AND THE DRY ENVIRONMENT...REGENERATION IS UNLIKELY. THE REMNANTS OF ALETTA ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF A MID- TO LOWER-LEVEL RIDGE. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/2100Z 16.4N 103.9W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 31/0600Z 16.4N 104.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 31/1800Z 16.4N 105.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTPZ21 KNHC 302041 *** TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALETTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012006 2100Z TUE MAY 30 2006 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 103.9W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 103.9W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 103.7W FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 16.4N 104.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.4N 105.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 103.9W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$