** WTSR20 WSSS 170600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 171200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 171200 UTC 00HR 22.4N 116.7E 955HPA 40M/S 30KTS 540KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR NNE 25KM/H P+24HR 27.4N 119.9E 985HPA 25M/S P+48HR 32.2N 124.9E 995HPA 20M/S P+72HR 36.1N 132.3E 995HPA 20M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 171200 *** WARNING 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0601 CHANCHU (0601) 955 HPA AT 22.5N 116.6E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 27.3N 120.9E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 32.2N 126.9E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 171200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0601 CHANCHU (0601) ANALYSIS PSTN 171200UTC 22.5N 116.6E GOOD MOVE NNE 12KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 90NM SOUTHEAST 70NM NORTHWEST 30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 240NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 181200UTC 27.3N 120.9E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 15KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 48HF 191200UTC 32.2N 126.9E 160NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 171300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 171300 UTC 00HR 22.6N 116.7E 955HPA 40M/S 30KTS 540KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR NNE 25KM/H= ** WTPN31 PGTW 171500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (CHANCHU) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z --- NEAR 22.5N 116.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N 116.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 24.8N 117.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 27.5N 119.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z --- 30.1N 122.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 171500Z POSITION NEAR 23.1N 116.8E. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (CHANCHU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 171032Z SSM/I PASS INDICATE THAT TY 02W HAS BEGUN TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIG- NIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z, 180300Z, 180900Z AND 181500Z.// ** WTSS20 VHHH 171345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 171200 UTC, TYPHOON CHANCHU (0601) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (22.5 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181200 UTC TWO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (27.6 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (120.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 191200 UTC THREE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (32.8 N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (124.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 201200 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ** WTSS20 VHHH 171345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 171200 UTC, TYPHOON CHANCHU (0601) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (22.5 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181200 UTC TWO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (27.6 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (120.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 191200 UTC THREE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (32.8 N) ONE TWO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (124.7 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 201200 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 171400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 171400 UTC 00HR 22.8N 116.8E 955HPA 40M/S 30KTS 540KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR NNE 25KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 171500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 171500 UTC 00HR 23.0N 116.8E 955HPA 40M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR NNE 25KM/H= ** WTJP31 RJTD 171500 *** WARNING 171500. WARNING VALID 181500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0601 CHANCHU (0601) 960 HPA AT 22.9N 117.0E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181500UTC AT 28.3N 121.6E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 171500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0601 CHANCHU (0601) ANALYSIS PSTN 171500UTC 22.9N 117.0E GOOD MOVE NNE 10KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 075KT 50KT 90NM SOUTHEAST 70NM NORTHWEST 30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 240NM NORTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 181500UTC 28.3N 121.6E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 17KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 45HF 191200UTC 32.2N 126.9E 160NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 171600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 171600 UTC 00HR 23.2N 116.9E 955HPA 40M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR NNE 25KM/H= ** WTNT80 EGRR 171644 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.05.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 171644 ** WTSS20 VHHH 171645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 171500 UTC, TYPHOON CHANCHU (0601) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (22.9 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 16 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181500 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (28.6 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (121.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 191500 UTC THREE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (33.4 N) ONE TWO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (125.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 201500 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ** WTSS20 VHHH 171645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 171500 UTC, TYPHOON CHANCHU (0601) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (22.9 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 16 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181500 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (28.6 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (121.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 191500 UTC THREE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (33.4 N) ONE TWO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (125.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 201500 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 171700 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 171700 UTC 00HR 23.3N 116.9E 955HPA 40M/S 30KTS 500KM 50KTS 150KM P12HR NNE 25KM/H=