** WTSR20 WSSS 160600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 161200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 161200 UTC 00HR 18.8N 115.1E 945HPA 45M/S 30KTS 540KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR N 15KM/H P+24HR 22.8N 116.2E 960HPA 38M/S P+48HR 27.0N 119.3E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 31.3N 124.8E 998HPA 15M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 161200 *** WARNING 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0601 CHANCHU (0601) 945 HPA AT 18.8N 115.2E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 22.3N 116.2E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 28.1N 120.4E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 31.8N 127.3E WITH 290 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 161200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0601 CHANCHU (0601) ANALYSIS PSTN 161200UTC 18.8N 115.2E GOOD MOVE N 10KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 100NM 30KT 300NM FORECAST 24HF 171200UTC 22.3N 116.2E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 10KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 48HF 181200UTC 28.1N 120.4E 160NM 70% MOVE NNE 17KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 72HF 191200UTC 31.8N 127.3E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 161300 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST STY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 161300 UTC 00HR 18.9N 115.1E 945HPA 45M/S 30KTS 540KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR N 15KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 161345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 161200 UTC, TYPHOON CHANCHU (0601) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (115.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 85 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 171200 UTC TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (22.3 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (116.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181200 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (28.2 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (120.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 191200 UTC THREE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (34.1 N) ONE TWO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (125.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 161400 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 161400 UTC 00HR 19.0N 115.1E 945HPA 45M/S 30KTS 540KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR N 15KM/H= ** WTSS20 VHHH 161345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 161200 UTC, TYPHOON CHANCHU (0601) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (115.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 9 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 85 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 270 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 210 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 171200 UTC TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (22.3 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (116.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181200 UTC TWO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (28.2 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (120.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 191200 UTC THREE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (34.1 N) ONE TWO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (125.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 161500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (CHANCHU) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z --- NEAR 18.8N 115.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N 115.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 20.8N 115.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 22.7N 116.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z --- 24.6N 116.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 27.3N 118.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 161500Z POSITION NEAR 19.3N 115.2E. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (CHANCHU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. A 161035Z AMSU/B IMAGE REVEALS A SMALL, COMPACT EYE SURROUNDED BY A WEAKENING OUTER EYEWALL. MAX- IMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z, 170300Z, 170900Z AND 171500Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 161500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 161500 UTC 00HR 19.2N 115.1E 945HPA 45M/S 30KTS 540KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR N 15KM/H= ** WTJP31 RJTD 161500 *** WARNING 161500. WARNING VALID 171500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0601 CHANCHU (0601) 945 HPA AT 19.2N 115.3E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171500UTC AT 23.0N 116.4E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 161500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0601 CHANCHU (0601) ANALYSIS PSTN 161500UTC 19.2N 115.3E GOOD MOVE N 09KT PRES 945HPA MXWD 085KT 50KT 100NM 30KT 300NM FORECAST 24HF 171500UTC 23.0N 116.4E 100NM 70% MOVE NNE 10KT PRES 960HPA MXWD 070KT 45HF 181200UTC 28.1N 120.4E 160NM 70% MOVE NNE 17KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT 69HF 191200UTC 31.8N 127.3E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 161600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 161600 UTC 00HR 19.3N 115.1E 945HPA 45M/S 30KTS 540KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR N 15KM/H= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 161600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 161600 UTC 00HR 19.3N 115.1E 945HPA 45M/S 30KTS 540KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR N 15KM/H= ** WTNT80 EGRR 161648 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 16.05.2006 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 161648 ** WTSS20 VHHH 161645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 161500 UTC, TYPHOON CHANCHU (0601) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (19.1 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (115.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 85 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 171500 UTC TWO TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (22.8 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (116.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181500 UTC TWO NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (29.2 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (121.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 191500 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ** WTSS20 VHHH 161645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 161500 UTC, TYPHOON CHANCHU (0601) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (19.1 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (115.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 85 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 90 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 171500 UTC TWO TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (22.8 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (116.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181500 UTC TWO NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (29.2 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (121.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 191500 UTC BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 161700 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 161700 UTC 00HR 19.4N 115.1E 945HPA 45M/S 30KTS 540KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR N 15KM/H=