** WTSR20 WSSS 150600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTJP21 RJTD 151200 *** WARNING 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0601 CHANCHU (0601) 930 HPA AT 15.3N 115.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 18.7N 114.3E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 22.7N 115.5E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 27.3N 118.9E WITH 290 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 151200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0601 CHANCHU (0601) ANALYSIS PSTN 151200UTC 15.3N 115.2E GOOD MOVE N 06KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 100NM 30KT 300NM FORECAST 24HF 161200UTC 18.7N 114.3E 90NM 70% MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 48HF 171200UTC 22.7N 115.5E 160NM 70% MOVE N 10KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 72HF 181200UTC 27.3N 118.9E 290NM 70% MOVE NNE 13KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 151200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 151200 UTC 00HR 15.4N 115.1E 945HPA 45M/S 30KTS 540KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR NNW 15KM/H P+24HR 18.4N 114.6E 940HPA 50M/S P+48HR 21.6N 114.6E 945HPA 45M/S P+72HR 25.2N 116.4E 980HPA 25M/S= ** WTSS20 VHHH 151345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 151200 UTC, TYPHOON CHANCHU (0601) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (15.3 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (115.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 90 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 240 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 100 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 50 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 360 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 161200 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (114.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 95 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 171200 UTC TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (22.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (115.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181200 UTC TWO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (25.9 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (117.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 151345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 151200 UTC, TYPHOON CHANCHU (0601) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (15.3 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (115.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 90 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 240 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 100 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 50 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 360 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 161200 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (114.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 95 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 171200 UTC TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (22.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (115.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181200 UTC TWO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (25.9 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (117.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 151500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (CHANCHU) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z --- NEAR 15.4N 115.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 115.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z --- 16.9N 115.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 18.7N 115.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z --- 20.4N 115.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z --- 22.2N 115.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z --- 26.6N 118.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 151500Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 115.2E. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (CHANCHU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 415 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 37 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z, 160300Z, 160900Z AND 161500Z.// ** WTPQ20 BABJ 151500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY CHANCHU 0601 (0601) INITIAL TIME 151500 UTC 00HR 15.9N 115.0E 945HPA 45M/S 30KTS 540KM 50KTS 160KM P12HR NNW 15KM/H= ** WTJP31 RJTD 151500 *** WARNING 151500. WARNING VALID 161500. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0601 CHANCHU (0601) 930 HPA AT 15.6N 115.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161500UTC AT 19.1N 114.4E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 151500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0601 CHANCHU (0601) ANALYSIS PSTN 151500UTC 15.6N 115.1E GOOD MOVE N 06KT PRES 930HPA MXWD 090KT 50KT 100NM 30KT 300NM FORECAST 24HF 161500UTC 19.1N 114.4E 90NM 70% MOVE NNW 08KT PRES 925HPA MXWD 095KT 45HF 171200UTC 22.7N 115.5E 160NM 70% MOVE N 10KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 085KT 69HF 181200UTC 27.3N 118.9E 290NM 70% MOVE NNE 13KT PRES 975HPA MXWD 060KT = ** WTNT80 EGRR 151654 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.05.2006 NO TROPICAL STORMS ARE ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 3 DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 151654 ** WTSS20 VHHH 151645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 151500 UTC, TYPHOON CHANCHU (0601) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (115.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 90 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 240 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 100 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 50 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 161500 UTC ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (19.0 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (114.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 95 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 171500 UTC TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (23.0 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (115.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181500 UTC TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (27.0 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 151645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 151500 UTC, TYPHOON CHANCHU (0601) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (115.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 90 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 240 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 100 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 50 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 330 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 161500 UTC ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (19.0 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (114.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 95 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 171500 UTC TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (23.0 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (115.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 181500 UTC TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (27.0 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.